Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.19K
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved (30d)
157
Trades (30d)
3,484
3,741 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$166.0K
$178.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$52.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-31 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
40% 54% -$1,359
Politics
37% 50% +$10
Crypto
12% 33% +$643
Sports
9% 44% +$4,924
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +7,260 $5,173 99¢ $7.2K +$2,043 10-29 17:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,883 $3,343 100¢ $6.9K +$3,523 10-27 15:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +20,627 $3,875 18¢ $3.8K -$59 10-30 00:40
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +3,749 $2,354 100¢ $3.7K +$1,389 10-28 12:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,151 $2,413 58¢ $3.0K +$585 10-22 18:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7,084 $3,039 42¢ $3.0K -$78 10-29 23:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,939 $3,102 42¢ $2.9K -$153 10-28 13:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,003 $2,884 57¢ $2.3K -$582 10-26 08:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,005 $1,133 42¢ $1.7K +$569 10-23 19:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,504 $1,439 100¢ $1.5K +$59 10-26 10:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,479 $1,453 98¢ $1.5K +$2 10-30 18:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,372 $935 93¢ $1.3K +$342 10-24 15:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,801 $1,556 71¢ $1.3K -$284 10-04 02:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,715 $611 67¢ $1.2K +$540 10-27 13:12
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,027 $606 98¢ $1.0K +$406 10-12 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +971 $769 100¢ $969 +$200 10-26 08:14
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,009 $510 95¢ $954 +$445 10-31 02:18
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +991 $863 94¢ $932 +$69 10-20 15:44
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +868 $710 96¢ $838 +$127 10-28 20:50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +809 $796 100¢ $807 +$10 10-28 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,235 $780 64¢ $784 +$5 10-31 05:12
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,065 $437 36¢ $754 +$317 10-28 21:39
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? No +673 $514 96¢ $644 +$131 10-30 00:25
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,267 $673 26¢ $578 -$95 10-29 10:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,716 $1,086 33¢ $564 -$523 10-27 13:06
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,480 $490 36¢ $525 +$35 10-28 16:29
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +497 $469 98¢ $485 +$16 10-03 22:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +441 $416 100¢ $441 +$25 10-21 15:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $365 28¢ $440 +$75 10-28 01:55
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +406 $352 100¢ $405 +$52 10-27 03:09