Realized P&L
-$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$121
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
232
Trades
3,786
lifetime
Volume
$180.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$28.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 11-01 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
40% 54% -$143
Politics
37% 50% +$10
Crypto
11% 23% -$8,318
Sports
9% 45% +$4,930
Tech
3% 100% +$2,319
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +20,627 $3,875 18¢ $3.8K -$59 10-30 00:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7,084 $3,039 43¢ $3.0K +$11 10-29 23:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,939 $3,102 44¢ $3.0K -$84 10-28 13:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,151 $2,413 57¢ $2.9K +$521 10-22 18:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,003 $2,884 60¢ $2.4K -$461 10-26 08:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,005 $1,133 40¢ $1.6K +$448 10-23 19:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,479 $1,453 98¢ $1.5K +$2 10-30 18:43
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +2,065 $1,309 66¢ $1.4K +$44 10-31 11:09
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,801 $1,556 73¢ $1.3K -$243 10-04 02:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,715 $611 65¢ $1.1K +$501 10-27 13:12
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +991 $863 92¢ $917 +$54 10-20 15:44
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,065 $437 34¢ $712 +$276 10-28 21:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,716 $1,086 35¢ $603 -$483 10-27 13:06
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,480 $490 34¢ $511 +$20 10-28 16:29
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +497 $469 98¢ $485 +$17 10-03 22:20
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,267 $673 20¢ $465 -$208 10-29 10:52
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $365 26¢ $408 +$43 10-28 01:55
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +399 $333 84¢ $337 +$4 10-30 07:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +423 $296 67¢ $284 -$13 10-23 07:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +739 $244 30¢ $218 -$26 10-30 18:43
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +837 $193 26¢ $213 +$21 10-29 08:09
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +360 $194 56¢ $203 +$9 10-28 11:33
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,974 $266 6¢ $193 -$73 10-29 06:14
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +721 $231 26¢ $191 -$40 10-28 15:22
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +875 $259 22¢ $188 -$71 10-28 17:49
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +1,186 $165 16¢ $184 +$19 10-17 19:18
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,235 $185 15¢ $179 -$6 10-30 00:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +750 $222 22¢ $161 -$61 10-25 23:21
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +275 $193 56¢ $155 -$37 10-16 23:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +423 $141 33¢ $139 -$1 10-29 15:17