Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.33K
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved (90d)
179
Trades (90d)
3,627
3,627 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$168.4K
$168.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$49.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-30 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
40% 47% -$2,404
Politics
37% 50% +$10
Crypto
12% 33% +$643
Sports
8% 44% +$4,924
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +7,260 $5,173 99¢ $7.2K +$1,981 10-29 17:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,883 $3,343 100¢ $6.9K +$3,513 10-27 15:16
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +3,749 $2,354 100¢ $3.7K +$1,385 10-28 12:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +20,627 $3,875 18¢ $3.7K -$162 10-30 00:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,151 $2,413 59¢ $3.1K +$642 10-22 18:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7,084 $3,039 41¢ $2.9K -$156 10-29 23:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,939 $3,102 40¢ $2.8K -$292 10-28 13:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,003 $2,884 59¢ $2.4K -$522 10-26 08:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,005 $1,133 41¢ $1.6K +$509 10-23 19:38
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,801 $1,556 84¢ $1.5K -$41 10-04 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,504 $1,439 99¢ $1.5K +$48 10-26 10:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,715 $611 67¢ $1.1K +$532 10-27 13:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,372 $935 83¢ $1.1K +$207 10-24 15:32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,027 $606 98¢ $1.0K +$395 10-12 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +971 $769 100¢ $967 +$198 10-26 08:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +991 $863 95¢ $941 +$79 10-20 15:44
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +868 $710 95¢ $825 +$114 10-28 20:50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +809 $796 100¢ $807 +$10 10-28 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,065 $437 30¢ $630 +$193 10-28 21:39
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? No +673 $514 90¢ $609 +$95 10-30 00:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,480 $490 40¢ $585 +$94 10-28 16:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,716 $1,086 33¢ $571 -$515 10-27 13:06
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,267 $673 24¢ $533 -$140 10-29 10:52
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +497 $469 97¢ $483 +$15 10-03 22:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +441 $416 100¢ $440 +$25 10-21 15:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $365 26¢ $424 +$59 10-28 01:55
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +406 $352 99¢ $401 +$48 10-27 03:09
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +399 $333 86¢ $345 +$12 10-30 07:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +423 $296 62¢ $261 -$35 10-23 07:30
Will Solana reach $130 in October? No +260 $217 100¢ $260 +$43 10-24 02:04