Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.79K
Hit rate
43.0%
Resolved (7d)
41
Trades (7d)
1,071
3,662 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$41.4K
$173.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$48.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-29 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
40% 47% -$2,404
Politics
37% 50% +$10
Crypto
12% 36% +$646
Sports
8% 44% +$4,924
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +7,260 $5,173 98¢ $7.1K +$1,912 10-29 17:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,883 $3,343 99¢ $6.8K +$3,482 10-27 15:16
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +3,749 $2,354 100¢ $3.7K +$1,378 10-28 12:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +18,330 $3,462 18¢ $3.2K -$254 10-30 00:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,151 $2,413 60¢ $3.1K +$696 10-22 18:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,939 $3,102 40¢ $2.8K -$292 10-28 13:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7,084 $3,039 40¢ $2.8K -$230 10-29 23:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,003 $2,884 57¢ $2.3K -$582 10-26 08:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,005 $1,133 42¢ $1.7K +$569 10-23 19:38
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,801 $1,556 84¢ $1.5K -$48 10-04 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,504 $1,439 94¢ $1.4K -$32 10-26 10:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,715 $611 70¢ $1.2K +$594 10-27 13:12
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,027 $606 98¢ $1.0K +$406 10-12 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +971 $769 100¢ $967 +$198 10-26 08:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +991 $863 94¢ $932 +$69 10-20 15:44
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +868 $710 95¢ $825 +$114 10-28 20:50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +809 $796 99¢ $804 +$8 10-28 20:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +1,372 $387 50¢ $686 +$300 10-08 16:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,372 $935 50¢ $686 -$249 10-24 15:32
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,065 $437 30¢ $609 +$172 10-28 21:39
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,267 $673 24¢ $533 -$140 10-29 10:52
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,480 $490 36¢ $525 +$35 10-28 16:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,716 $1,086 30¢ $510 -$577 10-27 13:06
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +497 $469 97¢ $483 +$15 10-03 22:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +441 $416 100¢ $440 +$24 10-21 15:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $365 26¢ $424 +$59 10-28 01:55
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +406 $352 98¢ $398 +$46 10-27 03:09
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? No +673 $514 51¢ $344 -$169 10-30 00:25
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? Yes +677 $60 49¢ $331 +$271 10-09 23:35
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +349 $290 87¢ $304 +$14 10-30 00:14