Realized P&L
+$1.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$458
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,558
lifetime
Volume
$178.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$3.54K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-16 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
40% 67% +$1,112
Other
34% 67% $-1
Crypto
25%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,174 $2,000 94¢ $2.1K +$53 06-08 14:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +778 $544 88¢ $685 +$140 07-12 00:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,195 $449 30¢ $647 +$199 06-12 17:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +150 $27 46¢ $70 +$43 07-01 17:07
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -51 $-43 66¢ $-34 +$9 06-27 02:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +43 $20 58¢ $25 +$5 06-20 20:24
Diddy released from custody in 2026? Yes +40 $5 23¢ $9 +$4 07-06 18:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +82 $5 10¢ $8 +$3 07-15 21:15
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-05 10:30
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes -59 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-14 06:03