Realized P&L
+$1.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$139
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,518
lifetime
Volume
$176.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$2.64K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-30 07:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
41% 67% +$1,112
Other
33% 67% $-1
Crypto
26%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,174 $2,000 93¢ $2.0K +$24 06-08 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,195 $449 14¢ $296 $-152 06-12 17:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +247 $176 98¢ $243 +$67 06-28 22:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -51 $-43 84¢ $-43 $-0 06-27 02:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +43 $20 54¢ $23 +$3 06-20 20:24
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-05 10:30
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes -59 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-14 06:03
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +79 $75 $1 $-73 06-30 05:30
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +28 $8 $0 $-7 06-13 18:02