Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?
open
Total volume
$59,418
Trades
243
Unique wallets
64
Liquidity
$37,876
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-08 08:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $35.9K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $54.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $1.5K | $18.9K | $17.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $568 | $32.7K | $32.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $14 | $30 | $16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $0 | $371 | $370 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $207 | $35.7K | $35.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $756 | — | +$756 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $529 | $11.5K | $11.0K |
| Median | 6 | $6 | $217 | $212 |
| Below median | 8 | $76 | $758 | $682 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $515 | $3.9K | $3.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | No | +32,980 | $31,989 | $31,989 | 3 | 10-07 17:18 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +25,000 | $750 | $750 | 10 | 10-07 17:14 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +12,036 | $11,444 | $11,444 | 23 | 08-26 13:54 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +11,036 | $529 | $529 | 33 | 08-26 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | +5,292 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 10-07 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | +5,262 | $158 | $158 | 1 | 10-07 17:18 |
| Silky-Geometry 0x032e…2a9e | No | +2,733 | $2,627 | $2,627 | 1 | 09-26 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +608 | $41 | $108 | 8 | 08-26 22:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +608 | $584 | $584 | 1 | 08-23 21:52 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +449 | $13 | $20 | 4 | 10-07 17:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +276 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-18 03:07 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | +200 | $13 | $33 | 9 | 08-26 13:54 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | +147 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-06 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | +141 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-07 17:14 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-20 21:09 |
| Candid-Encirclement 0x6ae0…b747 | Yes | +83 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-17 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4383…170c | Yes | +71 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-07 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d67…0021 | No | +59 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 09-26 07:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +57 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-03 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-07 17:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc90…aec4 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 09-21 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-26 13:54 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-07 17:15 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 10-07 17:18 |
| Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-24 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-07 17:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6ad…939e | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-07 17:18 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-07 17:14 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-24 21:24 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-08 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x14ff…15cb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 08:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:32:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf900f0… |
| 10-08 08:32:11 | (anonymous) 0x14ff…15cb | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf900f0… |
| 10-07 17:18:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2293b3… |
| 10-07 17:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 5,292 | 3¢ | $159 | 0x2293b3… |
| 10-07 17:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xf6ad…939e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2293b3… |
| 10-07 17:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | BUY | 5,262 | 3¢ | $158 | 0x2293b3… |
| 10-07 17:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | No | BUY | 10,593 | 97¢ | $10,275 | 0x2293b3… |
| 10-07 17:15:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x296e8f… |
| 10-07 17:15:25 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x296e8f… |
| 10-07 17:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x4383…170c | Yes | BUY | 71 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x296e8f… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x0b7f…8c1d | No | SELL | 55 | 97¢ | $54 | 0xbb982b… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x5a51a8… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x5a51a8… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | Arid-Index 0x9a71…163c | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xbb982b… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | No | BUY | 22,268 | 97¢ | $21,599 | 0xbb982b… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x8738…e1c5 | No | SELL | 74 | 97¢ | $72 | 0xbb982b… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x5a51a8… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xbb982b… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x5a51a8… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | BUY | 141 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x5a51a8… |
| 10-07 17:14:22 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 22,048 | 3¢ | $661 | 0xbb982b… |
| 10-03 23:09:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x44ab32… |
| 10-03 23:09:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x44ab32… |
| 09-26 16:19:17 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | SELL | 2,733 | 96¢ | $2,627 | 0xf1087e… |
| 09-26 16:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | No | BUY | 119 | 96¢ | $114 | 0x90d109… |
| 09-26 16:19:17 | Silky-Geometry 0x032e…2a9e | No | BUY | 2,733 | 96¢ | $2,627 | 0xf1087e… |
| 09-26 16:19:17 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | SELL | 119 | 96¢ | $114 | 0x90d109… |
| 09-26 07:23:27 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | SELL | 83 | 96¢ | $79 | 0xb931b9… |
| 09-26 07:23:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb931b9… |
| 09-26 07:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x8d67…0021 | No | BUY | 59 | 96¢ | $56 | 0xb931b9… |
| 09-25 22:11:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xcd3869… |
| 09-25 22:11:54 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xcd3869… |
| 09-24 21:24:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa5a15f… |
| 09-24 21:24:33 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa5a15f… |
| 09-21 08:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xfc90…aec4 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x19ed9c… |
| 09-21 08:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x0b7f…8c1d | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x19ed9c… |
| 09-21 08:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x8738…e1c5 | No | BUY | 74 | 97¢ | $72 | 0x19ed9c… |
| 09-21 08:31:24 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x19ed9c… |
| 09-20 21:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x0b7f…8c1d | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0x48ed96… |
| 09-20 21:09:31 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x48ed96… |
| 09-20 21:09:31 | Arid-Index 0x9a71…163c | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x48ed96… |
| 09-20 21:08:04 | Arid-Index 0x9a71…163c | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x1de064… |
| 09-20 21:08:04 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1de064… |
| 09-18 08:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x492219… |
| 09-18 08:59:15 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x492219… |
| 09-17 12:19:42 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x61a06b… |
| 09-17 12:19:42 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x61a06b… |
| 09-17 12:16:28 | Candid-Encirclement 0x6ae0…b747 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd60005… |
| 09-17 12:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 82 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd60005… |
| 09-17 12:16:28 | Arid-Index 0x9a71…163c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd60005… |
| 09-08 11:15:24 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 734 | 3¢ | $23 | 0xb444aa… |
| 09-08 11:15:24 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | SELL | 713 | 97¢ | $691 | 0xb444aa… |
| 09-08 11:15:24 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xb444aa… |
| 09-06 08:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x87502c… |
| 09-06 08:44:37 | Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x87502c… |
| 09-06 08:44:37 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 192 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x87502c… |
| 09-05 22:34:24 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fe141… |
| 09-05 22:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fe141… |
| 09-04 05:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x2bef…ffd3 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc04993… |
| 09-04 05:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc04993… |
| 09-03 05:56:09 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe4528a… |
| 09-03 05:56:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe4528a… |
| 08-26 22:52:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x9ce130… |
| 08-26 22:52:40 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 144 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x9ce130… |
| 08-26 22:51:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xada04b… |
| 08-26 22:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xada04b… |
| 08-26 22:50:49 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 387 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x97701a… |
| 08-26 22:50:49 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 387 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x97701a… |
| 08-26 13:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x2bef…ffd3 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x481623… |
| 08-26 13:58:39 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x481623… |
| 08-26 13:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x71df…9aa0 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x4d45b4… |
| 08-26 13:58:12 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x4d45b4… |
| 08-26 13:54:27 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x359cfb… |
| 08-26 13:54:27 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x359cfb… |
| 08-26 13:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 3¢ | $12 | 0xb0759c… |
| 08-26 13:54:24 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 3¢ | $12 | 0xb0759c… |
| 08-26 13:54:19 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x7c4f76… |
| 08-26 13:54:19 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x7c4f76… |
| 08-26 13:54:16 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd64afa… |
| 08-26 13:54:16 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd64afa… |
| 08-26 13:54:15 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 97¢ | $1,940 | 0x8a3db4… |
| 08-26 13:54:15 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 3¢ | $60 | 0x8a3db4… |
| 08-26 13:54:13 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa31e8b… |
| 08-26 13:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa31e8b… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 4¢ | $40 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x71df…9aa0 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | Revolving-Plant 0xfc55…5c33 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 581 | 5¢ | $29 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:54:10 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 2,624 | 96¢ | $2,506 | 0x9dd1e4… |
| 08-26 13:07:03 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 304 | 5¢ | $15 | 0xd5be31… |
| 08-26 13:07:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd5be31… |
| 08-26 13:07:03 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 325 | 5¢ | $16 | 0xd5be31… |
| 08-24 15:18:49 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x170344… |
| 08-24 15:18:49 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x170344… |
| 08-24 14:32:15 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc4523f… |