Realized P&L
+$70.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.3K
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
43,622
lifetime
Volume
$15.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$355
Open exposure
$199.7K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 10:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
66% 80% +$70,111
Other
32% 67% +$89
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 515 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +101,935 $57,336 100¢ $101.7K +$44,344 06-19 20:46
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -44,253 $-43,947 100¢ $-44164 $-218 06-20 04:06
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +25,904 $10,664 95¢ $24.7K +$14,023 06-30 04:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +170,587 $34,257 14¢ $23.0K $-11,228 06-13 18:58
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -3,422 $-2,874 84¢ $-2857 +$17 06-24 16:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2,881 $1,066 52¢ $1.5K +$447 06-19 12:14
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +26,078 $7,879 $1.2K $-6,653 06-30 10:03
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,910 $267 16¢ $296 +$29 06-29 23:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +84,848 $14,603 $212 $-14,391 06-19 20:03
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +735 $40 $15 $-26 06-12 11:14
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +819 $24 $4 $-20 06-28 15:14