Ample-Instance 0x9d84ce…dc1344
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$70.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$36.8K
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
43,814
lifetime
Volume
$15.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$358
Open exposure
$112.3K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-16 19:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
66% 80% +$70,111
Other
33% 67% +$89
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 515 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +195,587 $38,507 26¢ $51.8K +$13,324 07-13 10:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +57,332 $26,921 88¢ $50.7K +$23,817 07-09 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10,000 $1,900 46¢ $4.5K +$2,650 07-01 13:53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -3,422 $-2,874 70¢ $-2412 +$462 06-24 16:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2,881 $1,066 62¢ $1.8K +$735 06-19 12:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,825 $4,750 12¢ $555 $-4,195 06-30 15:04
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +2,555 $358 14¢ $345 $-13 07-16 19:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +654 $39 14¢ $89 +$49 07-15 21:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 07-15 05:04
Diddy released from custody in 2026? Yes +5 $1 23¢ $1 +$1 07-03 16:32