Realized P&L
-$73.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.74K
Hit rate
30.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,750
lifetime
Volume
$3.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$741
Open exposure
$136.3K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
46% 60% $-67,841
Other
46% 75% $-5,698
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 639 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +45,000 $42,810 98¢ $43.9K +$1,088 06-10 00:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +29,070 $28,042 98¢ $28.4K +$316 06-09 23:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +17,276 $14,512 84¢ $14.6K +$86 06-10 05:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +13,592 $12,923 99¢ $13.4K +$498 06-09 00:35
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +14,000 $11,774 86¢ $12.0K +$245 06-07 18:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +8,497 $6,628 82¢ $6.9K +$297 05-30 22:20
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +4,859 $4,815 100¢ $4.9K +$39 06-09 15:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -4,420 $-4,110 94¢ $-4177 $-66 06-06 01:34
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +2,609 $2,570 100¢ $2.6K +$37 06-09 08:49
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +2,109 $2,047 99¢ $2.1K +$45 06-08 23:00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -1,576 $-1,450 94¢ $-1487 $-37 06-07 01:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +761 $748 99¢ $756 +$8 06-05 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5,000 $-1,500 10¢ $-475 +$1,025 05-31 15:03
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +383 $368 98¢ $376 +$8 05-30 19:52
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -1,145 $-389 20¢ $-235 +$155 06-03 19:08