Awesome-Availability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

6,350

lifetime

Volume

$5.94M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$936

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-10 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% 75% $-5,698

Politics

43% 60% $-67,841

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 639 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	10	$839.2K	420,000	420,000	+0	open	—	06-25 03:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	93	$447.6K	403,964	50,000	+353,964	open	—	04-08 03:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	26	$212.7K	171,000	50,000	+121,000	open	—	06-18 00:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	46	$205.0K	119,201	105,968	+13,232	open	—	06-01 00:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	85	$171.1K	59,789	114,356	-54,567	open	—	06-17 23:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	87	$152.0K	73,846	81,061	-7,216	open	—	05-18 07:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$146.1K	147,003	0	+147,003	open	—	06-03 21:20
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	22	$134.9K	135,252	0	+135,252	open	—	06-18 00:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$110.6K	113,046	35,046	+78,000	open	—	04-08 23:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	76	$99.5K	83,772	20,000	+63,772	open	—	07-02 17:05
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	22	$95.0K	95,354	0	+95,354	open	—	04-21 23:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	49	$86.3K	72,923	20,000	+52,923	open	—	06-01 00:37
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	116	$83.4K	77,104	36,094	+41,010	open	—	04-25 13:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	33	$82.2K	107,993	30,654	+77,339	open	—	04-30 22:23
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	59	$78.1K	59,000	19,528	+39,472	open	—	05-15 06:09
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	136	$77.1K	38,954	38,953	+1	open	—	04-23 01:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	15	$74.3K	38,479	38,479	+0	open	—	04-28 07:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	32	$73.0K	37,633	37,633	+0	open	—	05-04 18:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	43	$66.3K	69,714	0	+69,714	Yes	$-66,300	05-08 02:13
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	49	$62.5K	54,964	31,502	+23,462	open	—	04-16 03:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	24	$52.6K	39,023	15,000	+24,023	open	—	06-15 01:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	21	$52.6K	46,544	8,199	+38,345	open	—	05-13 21:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	17	$51.7K	45,000	9,000	+36,000	open	—	06-15 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	147	$50.9K	30,920	30,920	+0	open	—	04-10 05:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$49.0K	51,000	0	+51,000	open	—	07-08 09:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	23	$47.1K	24,000	24,000	+0	open	—	04-27 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	139	$46.7K	24,894	24,893	+1	open	—	04-29 06:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	81	$46.3K	24,000	23,889	+111	open	—	05-20 22:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	27	$45.8K	23,310	23,310	+0	open	—	04-22 09:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	7	$43.8K	52,000	0	+52,000	open	—	07-01 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:37:31	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x00d08b…
08-10 08:37:30	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9b9d46…
08-10 08:37:28	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xdbdace…
08-10 07:24:06	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	224	63¢	$141	0x6b8e26…
08-10 06:37:24	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	116	63¢	$73	0xfdbaf1…
08-10 05:12:24	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	1,947	65¢	$1,261	0x3ce2a3…
08-10 05:01:31	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	240	69¢	$166	0x808f98…
08-10 04:27:12	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7ffefd…
08-10 04:25:13	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	66	69¢	$46	0x4a33d5…
08-10 03:31:30	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x5c92c5…
08-10 03:25:07	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xc89584…
08-10 03:19:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,328	14¢	$180	0xac13d3…
08-10 03:19:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,119	45¢	$505	0xb6c20b…
08-10 03:19:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	46¢	$11	0x595a70…
08-10 03:18:16	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	736	79¢	$583	0x401dc1…
08-10 03:14:37	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	No	BUY	810	10¢	$77	0xa979b8…
08-10 03:14:16	will openais astra model be released by september 30 2026 20260801214557732	No	BUY	83	26¢	$22	0x5be4ad…
08-10 03:13:46	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd625f7…
08-10 03:13:45	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xab6e5b…
08-10 03:13:43	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	1,519	48¢	$722	0xf66321…
08-10 03:13:16	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	294	69¢	$202	0x430079…
08-10 02:55:31	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5a17d0…
08-10 02:55:30	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	Yes	BUY	1,115	28¢	$316	0xeaa36b…
08-10 02:55:06	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$53	0xc302fe…
08-10 02:55:04	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x381fd1…
08-10 02:44:39	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x9aafb9…
08-10 02:44:25	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xd828b6…
08-10 02:37:55	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x42b3b8…
08-10 02:30:36	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0xae1f17…
08-10 02:03:16	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	370	55¢	$205	0xf542ee…
08-10 02:03:16	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x5ad161…
08-10 01:59:40	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	17	69¢	$11	0x2b30a3…
08-10 00:45:07	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	136	69¢	$93	0x1fc1ab…
08-10 00:43:40	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0xe75804…
08-10 00:43:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5,551	81¢	$4,494	0x68fd47…
08-10 00:43:25	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd5c4ae…
08-10 00:42:54	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x090669…
08-10 00:42:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	8,993	91¢	$8,169	0xbd4b1d…
08-10 00:42:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,525	94¢	$2,363	0x22369a…
08-09 23:50:33	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,317	71¢	$1,651	0x305377…
08-09 22:30:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	5,133	28¢	$1,447	0x7999f5…
08-09 22:30:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	538	38¢	$204	0x6b0afe…
08-09 22:29:46	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	1,353	38¢	$517	0xb918a6…
08-09 22:29:22	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	1,621	71¢	$1,158	0x7d244d…
08-09 22:29:01	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	Yes	BUY	1,253	79¢	$995	0xcaa93c…
08-09 19:10:43	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	1,257	91¢	$1,144	0x708044…
08-09 15:47:52	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x07c640…
08-09 12:14:06	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	2,249	71¢	$1,597	0xa582b0…
08-09 10:41:58	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	429	69¢	$296	0x34eb73…
08-09 10:23:09	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	2,545	69¢	$1,756	0x7b52d1…
08-09 10:23:09	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x774c8e…
08-09 10:21:48	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	3,000	73¢	$2,190	0x9ebd0f…
08-09 10:14:00	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	SELL	68	95¢	$65	0xe1608d…
08-09 08:57:10	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	SELL	2,031	95¢	$1,929	0x5ab188…
08-09 08:57:01	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	BUY	1,500	60¢	$897	0xba2be1…
08-09 07:41:04	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xde531d…
08-09 06:00:13	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xb0eb27…
08-09 00:34:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xecfa9c…
08-08 23:51:25	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	SELL	349	96¢	$335	0x80189d…
08-08 22:53:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa526cf…
08-08 22:39:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	90	24¢	$22	0x935f77…
08-08 22:38:34	will rhaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401073	No	BUY	142	97¢	$138	0x4ad6b6…
08-08 22:38:06	will rhaenyra targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401065	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x10dcb9…
08-08 22:37:39	will daemon targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401066	No	BUY	221	92¢	$204	0xba501d…
08-08 22:37:15	will aegon ii targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401068	No	BUY	162	93¢	$151	0x6adda6…
08-08 22:36:25	will baela targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401072	No	BUY	226	92¢	$207	0x97a457…
08-08 22:36:04	will aemond targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401069	No	BUY	1,459	90¢	$1,310	0xf4e73e…
08-08 22:35:25	will alicent hightower die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401067	No	BUY	65	90¢	$58	0x1f3010…
08-08 22:34:28	will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x8dd297…
08-08 22:33:30	will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	Yes	BUY	255	82¢	$210	0xad1c72…
08-08 22:12:45	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 10 1786098036074	Yes	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x91939b…
08-08 22:11:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	Yes	BUY	390	70¢	$271	0xcaca3b…
08-08 22:09:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 13 1786098036077	Yes	BUY	203	56¢	$114	0x68f9d0…
08-08 22:08:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 12 1786098036076	Yes	BUY	282	57¢	$161	0x84962d…
08-08 22:07:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	63	65¢	$41	0x3d965a…
08-08 22:06:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 10 1786098036074	Yes	BUY	274	67¢	$182	0xf2b8fb…
08-08 19:05:24	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	BUY	170	66¢	$112	0xcd3121…
08-08 15:25:39	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x61f360…
08-08 15:24:55	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x882ef3…
08-08 10:10:33	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe238ea…
08-08 10:09:54	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	BUY	115	66¢	$76	0x3babaa…
08-08 09:35:18	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	470	50¢	$235	0x94d376…
08-08 09:30:51	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x625354…
08-08 09:24:12	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	SELL	184	91¢	$167	0xc858a7…
08-08 09:09:48	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election turnout up or down 20260806110617592	Up	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xd03145…
08-08 09:09:19	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election turnout up or down 20260806110617592	Up	BUY	193	91¢	$175	0xcd7355…
08-08 08:37:37	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8991fe…
08-08 08:37:36	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	1,600	79¢	$1,264	0x785c81…
08-08 07:47:39	berlin state election turnout up or down 20260806112259580	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xcbce75…
08-08 06:39:48	will scotus let trump build the white house ballroom by september 30 20260807171000966	Yes	SELL	99	67¢	$66	0xcce432…
08-08 06:12:42	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	SELL	1,202	4¢	$48	0x518adf…
08-08 06:08:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0x5e2d40…
08-08 04:14:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x5ecfa5…
08-08 04:12:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x26d040…
08-08 04:12:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb1cd62…
08-08 03:56:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6f1710…
08-08 03:42:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0xdeabfa…
08-08 03:28:33	berlin state election turnout up or down 20260806112259580	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1d9946…
08-08 03:18:46	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	BUY	563	90¢	$508	0x4dbab9…
08-08 03:15:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6b0942…