(anonymous) 0x43834c…34170c
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$659
Unrealized P&L
-$104
Hit rate
4.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
652
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-24
last 10-25 15:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
71% 39% -$432
Politics
24% 14% -$227
Tech
5% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +452 $381 82¢ $369 -$12 10-24 15:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +352 $334 78¢ $275 -$59 09-19 00:43
No one announced as next James Bond? No +267 $209 75¢ $200 -$9 10-16 15:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +96 $82 81¢ $78 -$4 09-03 00:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +85 $79 90¢ $77 -$2 10-21 05:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +75 $36 92¢ $69 +$33 10-15 13:52
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +66 $59 91¢ $60 +$1 10-15 13:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +877 $44 5¢ $44 +$0 09-03 00:09
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +205 $40 20¢ $40 $0 10-01 09:48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +930 $60 4¢ $36 -$24 09-16 15:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +325 $34 10¢ $32 -$2 09-03 00:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +35 $30 85¢ $30 +$0 09-29 21:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +375 $45 8¢ $28 -$17 10-24 12:32
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +71 $21 38¢ $27 +$6 09-24 11:09
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +27 $26 97¢ $26 +$0 09-03 00:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +129 $25 19¢ $25 +$0 10-04 09:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +46 $21 53¢ $25 +$4 10-21 09:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +170 $26 14¢ $23 -$3 09-03 11:42
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +26 $21 87¢ $23 +$1 09-06 20:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +344 $26 6¢ $22 -$4 10-02 04:33
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +886 $22 2¢ $22 +$0 09-03 00:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +23 $21 86¢ $20 -$1 10-01 18:57
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$1 10-25 15:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +110 $32 16¢ $18 -$13 10-06 05:02
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,525 $15 1¢ $16 +$1 09-03 00:22
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +16 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 09-06 17:14
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +28 $13 52¢ $15 +$2 10-16 23:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +70 $14 18¢ $13 -$1 09-29 21:02
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +18 $11 68¢ $12 +$1 09-03 00:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +17 $14 68¢ $11 -$3 09-03 00:09