Realized P&L
+$1.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$83
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
165,672
lifetime
Volume
$13.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$8.11K
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 07-20 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
76% 43% $-544
Sports
24% 100% +$2,083
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 9930 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +5,261 $3,073 62¢ $3.3K +$215 07-19 05:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,146 $1,404 98¢ $2.1K +$709 07-10 22:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,792 $1,255 38¢ $1.0K $-208 07-16 13:05
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +667 $501 71¢ $474 $-28 07-13 06:50
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +702 $146 29¢ $204 +$57 07-08 15:46
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +202 $194 95¢ $192 $-2 07-18 12:52
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +260 $189 72¢ $188 $-1 07-20 03:00
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +197 $174 87¢ $172 $-2 07-19 06:15
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +131 $115 89¢ $117 +$1 07-14 20:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +210 $78 48¢ $100 +$22 07-19 20:34
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +253 $26 13¢ $32 +$7 07-20 00:43
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +59 $32 54¢ $32 +$0 07-11 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,048 $719 $32 $-687 07-14 18:34
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +89 $27 28¢ $24 $-3 07-15 08:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +48 $19 45¢ $22 +$3 07-13 10:50
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +401 $17 $21 +$4 07-19 01:33
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +430 $15 $14 $-2 07-17 03:03
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +122 $20 11¢ $13 $-6 07-06 11:03
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +27 $11 46¢ $12 +$1 07-11 15:38
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +59 $7 15¢ $9 +$2 07-18 10:03
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +14 $4 29¢ $4 +$0 07-17 20:15