Silky-Geometry 0x032eb1…2f2a9e
whale cold
4Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.45M
Unrealized P&L
+$89.6K
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
14,304
Trades
361,329
lifetime
Volume
$32.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$903.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 10-27 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
75% 48% -$1,359,448
Sports
23% 52% -$111,957
Politics
2% 51% +$15,550
Crypto
0% 57% +$24
Tech
0% 33% -$1,922
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6,596
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +108,072 $72,404 92¢ $100.0K +$27,562 10-26 21:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +99,523 $58,191 94¢ $93.1K +$34,863 10-25 22:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +92,902 $64,764 94¢ $87.3K +$22,563 10-27 04:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +70,235 $57,310 96¢ $67.6K +$10,291 10-26 11:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +54,919 $50,996 92¢ $50.8K -$195 10-24 01:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +59,232 $44,730 76¢ $44.7K -$10 10-24 19:34
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +42,193 $34,911 97¢ $40.8K +$5,911 10-23 22:54
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +40,265 $6,703 97¢ $38.9K +$32,234 10-23 20:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +57,978 $34,044 66¢ $38.6K +$4,512 10-25 16:19
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +44,070 $37,732 79¢ $34.8K -$2,916 10-27 04:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +49,940 $32,301 66¢ $33.2K +$909 10-26 20:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +27,759 $27,537 100¢ $27.7K +$194 10-23 01:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +39,599 $25,320 66¢ $25.9K +$617 10-25 22:41
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +26,795 $22,313 84¢ $22.4K +$61 10-11 18:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +21,577 $19,892 92¢ $19.7K -$149 10-27 01:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +29,875 $15,902 63¢ $18.9K +$3,024 10-27 06:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +17,389 $15,162 96¢ $16.8K +$1,619 10-20 15:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +22,977 $15,567 70¢ $16.2K +$631 10-26 06:03
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat? No +14,601 $14,017 97¢ $14.2K +$204 09-26 16:16
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +14,191 $13,920 99¢ $14.1K +$165 09-23 10:31
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18,289 $11,386 69¢ $12.6K +$1,234 09-29 19:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +187,542 $63,266 6¢ $12.2K -$51,076 10-27 03:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +29,920 $13,922 37¢ $11.0K -$2,956 10-27 06:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +14,501 $10,572 68¢ $9.9K -$639 10-27 07:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +9,773 $8,631 98¢ $9.6K +$947 10-26 01:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +15,355 $9,068 60¢ $9.3K +$221 10-27 08:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,448 $8,240 72¢ $8.3K +$60 10-27 07:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +24,421 $8,614 34¢ $8.2K -$433 10-26 20:14
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12,380 $7,994 66¢ $8.2K +$176 10-27 08:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +20,155 $7,973 40¢ $8.0K -$12 10-26 21:26