Silky-Geometry 0x032eb1…2f2a9e
whale cold
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$16.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$60.7K
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved (7d)
678
Trades (7d)
9,484
368,648 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.75M
$34.4M lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$829.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 11-02 11:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
73% 48% -$1,333,109
Sports
23% 52% -$61,970
Politics
3% 45% +$14,357
Crypto
0% 57% +$24
Tech
0% 33% -$2,518
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6,728
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +108,590 $72,846 99¢ $107.6K +$34,767 10-30 21:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +70,235 $57,310 97¢ $68.0K +$10,713 10-26 11:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +90,255 $61,385 72¢ $64.5K +$3,147 11-02 11:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +57,459 $53,408 94¢ $54.3K +$891 11-02 01:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +71,214 $43,441 72¢ $51.6K +$8,189 11-01 21:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +52,620 $48,871 94¢ $49.7K +$855 10-30 21:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +60,702 $45,853 70¢ $42.8K -$3,059 10-30 19:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +50,118 $32,428 76¢ $37.8K +$5,412 10-31 15:56
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +44,095 $37,751 68¢ $30.2K -$7,545 10-29 04:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +40,492 $30,317 72¢ $29.4K -$960 11-01 00:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +38,913 $21,267 59¢ $22.9K +$1,653 11-02 03:47
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +26,874 $22,379 83¢ $22.3K -$74 10-29 21:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +25,489 $17,425 74¢ $18.7K +$1,310 11-01 11:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +59,856 $14,525 30¢ $17.7K +$3,133 10-30 19:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +24,153 $16,348 72¢ $17.5K +$1,163 11-02 03:02
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +17,558 $17,006 98¢ $17.1K +$130 10-27 14:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,332 $16,774 66¢ $16.8K +$72 11-01 11:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +53,609 $11,232 28¢ $14.7K +$3,511 10-29 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat? No +14,601 $14,017 99¢ $14.4K +$394 09-26 16:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +34,677 $15,825 41¢ $14.3K -$1,573 11-02 07:27
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +14,191 $13,920 100¢ $14.2K +$236 09-23 10:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +44,729 $14,660 29¢ $12.7K -$1,912 11-01 02:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +13,112 $12,164 94¢ $12.4K +$227 11-02 06:34
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18,289 $11,386 67¢ $12.3K +$868 09-29 19:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +43,835 $14,688 28¢ $12.1K -$2,633 10-31 07:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +19,295 $13,687 62¢ $12.0K -$1,637 11-02 12:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +14,444 $9,495 74¢ $10.8K +$1,266 11-01 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +16,819 $9,995 63¢ $10.6K +$601 11-02 07:36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +14,119 $8,601 72¢ $10.2K +$1,636 10-30 12:45
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,177 $10,126 99¢ $10.1K -$35 10-27 12:37