Realized P&L (30d)
+$205.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$30.2K
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved (30d)
2,955
Trades (30d)
32,942
375,217 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.29M
$35.6M lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$501.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 11-09 06:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
73% 48% -$1,441,140
Sports
24% 52% -$35,547
Politics
3% 36% +$45,658
Crypto
0% 57% +$24
Tech
0% 33% -$2,518
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6,780
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +115,564 $88,629 76¢ $88.4K -$222 11-05 16:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +79,954 $66,624 98¢ $78.0K +$11,371 11-04 07:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +54,530 $41,225 78¢ $42.3K +$1,036 11-05 16:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +49,883 $27,666 64¢ $32.0K +$4,359 11-04 22:57
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +26,920 $22,418 82¢ $22.2K -$209 11-07 20:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,563 $16,952 81¢ $20.6K +$3,664 11-06 14:45
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,766 $18,185 98¢ $18.3K +$140 11-09 02:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +60,549 $14,670 24¢ $14.2K -$441 11-04 14:26
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +14,191 $13,920 99¢ $14.1K +$172 09-23 10:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +37,835 $17,063 36¢ $13.5K -$3,518 11-08 22:05
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18,289 $11,386 72¢ $13.1K +$1,691 09-29 19:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +53,934 $11,322 22¢ $12.1K +$813 11-06 08:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,560 $10,214 98¢ $11.4K +$1,149 11-06 04:13
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,177 $10,126 99¢ $10.1K -$20 10-27 12:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,708 $8,030 98¢ $9.6K +$1,527 11-04 01:57
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,285 $9,240 100¢ $9.3K +$21 10-27 12:37
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,285 $9,257 100¢ $9.3K -$5 10-27 12:37
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,285 $9,266 100¢ $9.2K -$19 10-27 12:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10,221 $7,944 88¢ $9.0K +$1,101 11-04 21:00
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,000 $8,982 100¢ $9.0K -$9 10-27 12:37
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +8,128 $5,188 99¢ $8.0K +$2,851 11-06 12:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10,275 $1,479 64¢ $6.6K +$5,148 11-06 21:05
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +11,581 $7,212 56¢ $6.5K -$669 09-29 15:39
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,978 $2,493 99¢ $5.9K +$3,404 11-04 22:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,912 $4,751 94¢ $5.5K +$777 10-25 08:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26,858 $10,329 19¢ $5.2K -$5,132 11-06 16:17
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +6,597 $4,681 77¢ $5.1K +$389 10-31 17:01
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10,476 $4,552 44¢ $4.6K +$5 11-03 21:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,737 $3,287 66¢ $4.4K +$1,126 11-06 08:00
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +5,609 $4,580 76¢ $4.2K -$345 11-06 14:43