Realized P&L (90d)
+$228.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$40.6K
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved (90d)
8,167
Trades (90d)
75,427
375,542 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$12.4M
$35.7M lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$508.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 11-10 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
73% 48% -$1,441,763
Sports
24% 52% -$70,420
Politics
3% 37% +$45,810
Crypto
0% 57% +$24
Tech
0% 33% -$2,518
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6,780
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +115,564 $88,629 86¢ $100.0K +$11,334 11-05 16:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +79,954 $66,624 98¢ $78.7K +$12,091 11-04 07:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +54,530 $41,225 92¢ $50.4K +$9,216 11-05 16:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +49,953 $27,709 61¢ $30.6K +$2,912 11-10 09:39
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +26,920 $22,418 82¢ $22.2K -$209 11-07 20:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,563 $16,952 78¢ $20.1K +$3,115 11-06 14:45
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,766 $18,185 98¢ $18.3K +$121 11-09 02:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +37,845 $17,067 39¢ $14.6K -$2,421 11-09 19:31
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +14,191 $13,920 99¢ $14.1K +$172 09-23 10:31
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18,943 $11,857 72¢ $13.5K +$1,688 11-09 22:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,560 $10,214 99¢ $11.4K +$1,196 11-06 04:13
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,177 $10,126 99¢ $10.1K -$10 10-27 12:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,708 $8,030 99¢ $9.6K +$1,556 11-04 01:57
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,285 $9,240 100¢ $9.3K +$21 10-27 12:37
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,285 $9,257 100¢ $9.3K +$5 10-27 12:37
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,285 $9,266 100¢ $9.3K -$14 10-27 12:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10,221 $7,944 89¢ $9.1K +$1,152 11-04 21:00
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,000 $8,982 100¢ $9.0K -$4 10-27 12:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +60,549 $14,670 14¢ $8.2K -$6,496 11-04 14:26
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +8,128 $5,188 99¢ $8.1K +$2,863 11-06 12:26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +11,581 $7,212 56¢ $6.5K -$727 09-29 15:39
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,978 $2,493 99¢ $5.9K +$3,416 11-04 22:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26,858 $10,329 22¢ $5.8K -$4,555 11-06 16:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10,275 $1,479 55¢ $5.6K +$4,121 11-06 21:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,912 $4,751 92¢ $5.4K +$659 10-25 08:33
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +6,597 $4,681 77¢ $5.1K +$399 10-31 17:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,987 $7,297 46¢ $5.0K -$2,298 09-13 08:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,737 $3,287 70¢ $4.7K +$1,463 11-06 08:00
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10,476 $4,552 44¢ $4.6K +$58 11-03 21:48
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +5,609 $4,580 78¢ $4.3K -$233 11-06 14:43