Realized P&L (90d)
+$204.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$56.4K
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved (90d)
8,010
Trades (90d)
74,935
376,508 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$12.3M
$35.8M lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$539.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 11-12 04:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
72% 48% -$1,436,681
Sports
24% 52% -$87,815
Politics
3% 37% +$46,729
Crypto
0% 57% +$24
Tech
0% 33% -$2,518
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6,780
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +115,564 $88,629 86¢ $98.8K +$10,178 11-05 16:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +79,954 $66,624 98¢ $78.2K +$11,611 11-04 07:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +54,530 $41,225 96¢ $52.5K +$11,261 11-05 16:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50,261 $27,914 67¢ $33.5K +$5,560 11-12 00:50
Spread: Magic (-4.5) Magic +24,265 $11,647 98¢ $23.9K +$12,254 11-11 22:28
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +26,920 $22,418 82¢ $22.1K -$344 11-07 20:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,585 $16,969 77¢ $19.8K +$2,821 11-11 03:43
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,766 $18,185 98¢ $18.4K +$234 11-09 02:05
Warriors vs. Rockets Rockets +16,947 $11,469 86¢ $14.5K +$3,021 11-12 02:14
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +18,943 $11,857 76¢ $14.4K +$2,540 11-09 22:43
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +14,191 $13,920 99¢ $14.1K +$172 09-23 10:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +37,845 $17,067 33¢ $12.6K -$4,426 11-09 19:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +11,890 $10,189 99¢ $11.8K +$1,636 11-11 03:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,560 $10,214 99¢ $11.5K +$1,276 11-06 04:13
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,177 $10,126 99¢ $10.1K -$20 10-27 12:37
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,285 $9,240 100¢ $9.3K +$21 10-27 12:37
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,285 $9,257 100¢ $9.3K +$5 10-27 12:37
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,285 $9,266 100¢ $9.3K -$14 10-27 12:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10,221 $7,944 90¢ $9.1K +$1,204 11-04 21:00
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,000 $8,982 100¢ $9.0K -$4 10-27 12:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +60,596 $14,677 15¢ $8.8K -$5,890 11-10 13:30
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +11,581 $7,212 55¢ $6.3K -$900 09-29 15:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26,858 $10,329 23¢ $6.1K -$4,246 11-06 16:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10,275 $1,479 56¢ $5.8K +$4,326 11-06 21:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,912 $4,751 92¢ $5.5K +$718 10-25 08:33
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? No +5,563 $1,864 97¢ $5.4K +$3,524 11-10 22:52
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +6,597 $4,681 81¢ $5.3K +$633 10-31 17:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,737 $3,287 72¢ $4.9K +$1,564 11-06 08:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,987 $7,297 44¢ $4.8K -$2,517 09-13 08:25
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10,476 $4,552 46¢ $4.8K +$215 11-03 21:48