Realized P&L
-$2.67K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.19K
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
319
Trades
61,656
lifetime
Volume
$2.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$20.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
49% 30% $-3,366
Politics
29% 26% +$858
Sports
15% 26% $-122
Tech
5%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,634 $1,613 100¢ $1.6K +$17 06-28 16:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,537 $1,274 100¢ $1.5K +$260 06-17 23:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,500 $1,158 84¢ $1.3K +$94 06-28 17:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,377 $894 80¢ $1.1K +$215 06-28 03:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,243 $1,008 82¢ $1.0K +$18 06-29 02:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +944 $789 100¢ $940 +$151 06-26 19:28
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +865 $799 100¢ $862 +$63 06-30 04:41
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +931 $871 90¢ $842 $-29 06-26 21:12
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1,171 $758 64¢ $756 $-3 06-29 07:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +968 $418 74¢ $721 +$303 06-28 16:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,172 $739 57¢ $674 $-65 06-29 04:14
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +704 $625 92¢ $645 +$20 06-22 06:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +706 $586 90¢ $639 +$53 06-21 00:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +717 $619 88¢ $631 +$12 06-30 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +621 $542 100¢ $618 +$76 06-26 05:25
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +565 $523 96¢ $544 +$21 06-28 21:30
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +626 $516 83¢ $521 +$5 06-26 18:57
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +520 $501 99¢ $515 +$14 06-28 16:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +500 $483 100¢ $499 +$16 06-06 22:17
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,172 $539 42¢ $498 $-41 06-29 04:31
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +500 $465 94¢ $468 +$2 06-27 04:18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +646 $401 68¢ $436 +$35 06-29 13:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,054 $531 40¢ $427 $-104 06-27 20:35
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +429 $405 98¢ $420 +$15 06-26 13:37
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,171 $560 36¢ $416 $-145 06-29 10:28
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +439 $239 95¢ $415 +$176 06-30 01:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -400 $-383 100¢ $-400 $-17 06-07 22:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -400 $-384 100¢ $-399 $-15 05-31 05:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-394 100¢ $-399 $-5 06-14 14:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +368 $313 98¢ $360 +$47 06-25 20:04