Realized P&L
-$2.67K
Unrealized P&L
+$799
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
319
Trades
46,503
lifetime
Volume
$2.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$17.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
51%
30%
$-3,366
Politics
30%
26%
+$858
Sports
14%
26%
$-122
Tech
3%
—
—
Crypto
2%
—
—
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
$-42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 1094 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 29 | $45.3K | 25,120 | 23,120 | +2,000 | open | — | 03-04 22:21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 347 | $30.2K | 23,160 | 23,635 | -475 | open | — | 04-08 15:50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 168 | $20.3K | 12,595 | 13,463 | -868 | open | — | 05-11 14:37 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 353 | $20.2K | 16,312 | 16,100 | +212 | open | — | 04-16 18:46 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 195 | $17.9K | 15,465 | 17,951 | -2,486 | open | — | 05-23 06:04 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 249 | $17.5K | 18,377 | 18,714 | -338 | open | — | 01-30 01:34 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | 320 | $17.0K | 9,562 | 10,410 | -848 | open | — | 04-22 20:26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 158 | $16.3K | 13,783 | 13,541 | +242 | open | — | 05-11 06:16 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 206 | $16.2K | 10,618 | 11,946 | -1,328 | No | $-22 | 04-24 13:42 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 138 | $14.4K | 13,098 | 12,574 | +524 | open | — | 05-12 12:20 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 227 | $14.3K | 16,750 | 14,566 | +2,184 | open | — | 05-23 05:08 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 52 | $13.6K | 9,189 | 9,189 | +0 | open | — | 02-28 23:49 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 130 | $12.8K | 7,393 | 8,503 | -1,110 | open | — | 03-29 16:54 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 88 | $12.7K | 8,391 | 8,936 | -546 | open | — | 05-24 12:39 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 40 | $12.3K | 3,889 | 9,444 | -5,555 | open | — | 04-14 15:24 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 142 | $12.1K | 9,670 | 10,492 | -822 | open | — | 05-12 11:12 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 161 | $11.6K | 10,455 | 11,221 | -766 | open | — | 05-23 20:16 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 330 | $11.2K | 12,624 | 12,065 | +559 | open | — | 04-14 07:55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 250 | $10.8K | 4,659 | 9,802 | -5,143 | open | — | 04-16 17:54 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 109 | $10.4K | 8,336 | 8,957 | -621 | open | — | 05-22 13:09 |
| will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 271 | $10.3K | 5,009 | 5,476 | -467 | open | — | 03-23 13:02 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 103 | $10.1K | 6,708 | 6,158 | +550 | open | — | 05-11 10:21 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 133 | $10.0K | 7,575 | 7,445 | +130 | open | — | 04-12 20:47 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 149 | $9.9K | 8,323 | 8,109 | +214 | open | — | 05-10 19:06 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | 193 | $9.1K | 5,979 | 5,541 | +438 | open | — | 05-12 13:05 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 94 | $9.0K | 7,734 | 7,496 | +238 | open | — | 05-11 11:49 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 95 | $8.8K | 6,792 | 6,935 | -144 | open | — | 05-26 07:17 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 138 | $8.7K | 7,453 | 7,287 | +167 | open | — | 05-01 18:40 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 127 | $8.6K | 10,383 | 9,247 | +1,136 | open | — | 05-11 01:46 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 185 | $8.4K | 9,352 | 10,342 | -990 | open | — | 04-26 02:25 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 561 | $4.15M | 73,328 | 06-10 04:02 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 530 | $1.31M | 102,955 | 06-10 04:04 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 509 | $73.9M | 128,492 | 06-10 04:03 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | 480 | $1.09M | 11,078 | 06-09 23:30 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 454 | $426.3K | 5,828 | 06-09 12:04 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 401 | $1.10M | 87,356 | 06-01 05:37 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 390 | $53.2K | 10,433 | 06-10 01:26 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | 385 | $1.22M | 19,004 | 06-05 10:26 |