Realized P&L
-$2.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$819
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
326
Trades
79,468
lifetime
Volume
$3.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$19.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
51% 30% $-3,368
Politics
26% 26% +$858
Sports
15% 26% $-122
Tech
5%
Crypto
3% 0% $-25
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1388 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +2,722 $2,417 94¢ $2.6K +$136 07-21 02:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,427 $936 86¢ $1.2K +$298 07-09 17:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +972 $846 93¢ $907 +$61 07-08 20:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +989 $431 82¢ $811 +$379 07-20 20:56
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1,421 $916 56¢ $789 $-127 07-02 12:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,012 $749 76¢ $774 +$26 07-03 18:02
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +744 $662 96¢ $711 +$49 07-13 20:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +750 $527 88¢ $656 +$129 07-06 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,152 $933 56¢ $639 $-294 07-03 19:38
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,421 $667 44¢ $633 $-35 07-06 22:47
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,172 $742 52¢ $604 $-138 07-01 19:53
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +849 $548 68¢ $573 +$25 07-06 13:05
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +666 $560 86¢ $570 +$9 07-17 11:36
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,172 $553 48¢ $569 +$15 07-04 21:56
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +565 $523 99¢ $559 +$36 06-28 21:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +702 $443 76¢ $537 +$94 07-17 14:58
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +605 $538 87¢ $527 $-11 07-17 20:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,152 $248 44¢ $513 +$265 06-29 05:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +734 $574 66¢ $488 $-85 07-13 11:24
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +499 $482 97¢ $484 +$2 07-20 07:31
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +495 $460 94¢ $468 +$8 07-16 22:16
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +642 $444 71¢ $457 +$13 07-19 21:59
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +766 $447 57¢ $441 $-7 07-06 12:21
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +436 $408 95¢ $414 +$6 07-15 14:11
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +456 $434 87¢ $398 $-35 07-20 21:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +572 $386 67¢ $383 $-3 07-03 18:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +427 $376 88¢ $377 +$1 07-05 21:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +886 $483 42¢ $377 $-106 07-04 23:13
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +447 $358 84¢ $374 +$15 07-15 00:14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +460 $278 80¢ $370 +$92 07-19 17:01