Realized P&L
-$2.67K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.21K
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
319
Trades
62,281
lifetime
Volume
$2.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$20.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
49% 30% $-3,366
Politics
29% 26% +$858
Sports
15% 26% $-122
Tech
5%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,537 $1,274 100¢ $1.5K +$262 06-17 23:08
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,464 $1,443 100¢ $1.5K +$18 06-30 20:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,500 $1,158 84¢ $1.3K +$94 06-28 17:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,377 $894 80¢ $1.1K +$215 06-28 03:56
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +1,671 $1,078 64¢ $1.1K $-17 06-30 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,243 $1,008 84¢ $1.0K +$30 06-29 02:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +944 $789 100¢ $942 +$153 06-26 19:28
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +931 $871 95¢ $883 +$12 06-26 21:12
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +865 $799 100¢ $860 +$61 06-30 04:41
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +968 $418 74¢ $721 +$303 06-28 16:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,172 $739 56¢ $662 $-77 06-29 04:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +706 $586 94¢ $660 +$74 06-21 00:06
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +704 $625 92¢ $645 +$21 06-22 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +621 $542 99¢ $618 +$76 06-26 05:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +676 $583 84¢ $571 $-12 06-30 15:21
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +565 $523 96¢ $544 +$21 06-28 21:30
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +520 $501 100¢ $519 +$19 06-28 16:22
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +626 $516 82¢ $516 +$0 06-26 18:57
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,172 $539 44¢ $510 $-29 06-29 04:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +500 $483 100¢ $498 +$14 06-06 22:17
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +500 $465 94¢ $468 +$2 06-27 04:18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +646 $401 68¢ $436 +$35 06-29 13:46
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,171 $560 36¢ $428 $-133 06-29 10:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,054 $531 40¢ $427 $-104 06-27 20:35
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +429 $405 96¢ $412 +$7 06-26 13:37
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +420 $393 96¢ $401 +$8 06-30 17:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -400 $-384 100¢ $-400 $-15 05-31 05:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -400 $-383 100¢ $-400 $-17 06-07 22:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-394 100¢ $-399 $-5 06-14 14:37
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +374 $177 99¢ $372 +$195 06-30 18:16