Realized P&L (7d)
-$34.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.47K
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved (7d)
2,079
Trades (7d)
4,313
325,174 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$30.7K
$10.8M lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$36.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 01:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 307 days
Categories
Other
58% 27% -$236,015
Politics
27% 22% -$68,311
Sports
8% 31% -$14,503
Tech
4% 18% -$14,486
Crypto
2% 23% -$4,656
Pop-Culture
1% 15% -$2,273
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3492 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +3,256 $2,652 88¢ $2.9K +$225 10-22 11:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +2,388 $2,041 86¢ $2.1K +$24 10-24 18:57
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,074 $1,582 86¢ $1.8K +$196 10-17 01:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,706 $1,398 94¢ $1.6K +$214 10-19 17:37
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +1,670 $1,524 96¢ $1.6K +$79 09-08 03:06
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +1,845 $378 87¢ $1.6K +$1,221 10-26 18:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,611 $1,177 92¢ $1.5K +$298 07-03 18:02
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,487 $761 97¢ $1.4K +$686 08-14 14:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,489 $952 94¢ $1.4K +$455 08-24 15:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +1,415 $1,243 96¢ $1.4K +$112 10-12 23:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,221 $890 97¢ $1.2K +$296 07-02 14:34
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +1,126 $987 99¢ $1.1K +$132 10-08 13:25
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? No +1,283 $1,148 85¢ $1.1K -$62 10-12 03:15
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1,143 $1,036 92¢ $1.0K +$10 09-30 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,152 $244 90¢ $1.0K +$787 06-29 05:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +1,116 $1,066 92¢ $1.0K -$38 10-15 23:07
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +1,175 $887 87¢ $1.0K +$141 10-11 19:39
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1,085 $846 95¢ $1.0K +$181 10-27 01:19
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +1,107 $919 92¢ $1.0K +$94 09-08 04:59
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +1,295 $349 77¢ $992 +$642 10-13 01:06
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,045 $955 88¢ $925 -$31 09-06 16:05
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,003 $709 88¢ $883 +$174 09-12 12:48
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +1,002 $943 87¢ $875 -$68 10-18 18:50
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +889 $729 98¢ $871 +$142 09-27 02:45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,190 $1,049 71¢ $841 -$209 10-13 04:56
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +895 $877 93¢ $836 -$41 10-13 04:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,044 $884 79¢ $821 -$63 08-11 11:08
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +910 $785 90¢ $819 +$34 08-06 01:25
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +959 $961 84¢ $801 -$160 10-24 11:33
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +902 $783 87¢ $785 +$2 09-14 20:11