Realized P&L (7d)
-$34.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.47K
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved (7d)
2,079
Trades (7d)
4,313
325,174 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$30.7K
$10.8M lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$36.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 01:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 307 days
Categories
Other
58%
27%
-$236,015
Politics
27%
22%
-$68,311
Sports
8%
31%
-$14,503
Tech
4%
18%
-$14,486
Crypto
2%
23%
-$4,656
Pop-Culture
1%
15%
-$2,273
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 3492 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 29 | $45.3K | 25,120 | 23,120 | +2,000 | Yes | +$1,079 | 03-04 22:21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 347 | $30.2K | 23,160 | 23,635 | -475 | Yes | +$21 | 04-08 15:50 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | 380 | $22.8K | 14,426 | 15,274 | -848 | No | -$95 | 05-09 02:34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 168 | $20.3K | 12,595 | 13,463 | -868 | No | -$42 | 05-11 14:37 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 353 | $20.2K | 16,312 | 16,100 | +212 | No | +$6 | 04-16 18:46 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 199 | $18.4K | 16,250 | 18,401 | -2,152 | No | -$778 | 05-23 06:04 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 249 | $17.5K | 18,377 | 18,714 | -338 | Yes | +$87 | 01-30 01:34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 159 | $16.5K | 13,783 | 13,799 | -17 | No | -$104 | 05-11 06:16 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 206 | $16.2K | 10,618 | 11,946 | -1,328 | No | -$22 | 04-24 13:42 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 377 | $16.2K | 20,122 | 12,586 | +7,536 | No | -$214 | 07-07 18:48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 162 | $15.4K | 16,565 | 14,518 | +2,047 | No | -$45 | 06-27 07:04 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 139 | $14.4K | 13,098 | 12,587 | +511 | No | -$409 | 05-12 12:20 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 228 | $14.3K | 16,750 | 14,741 | +2,009 | Yes | -$489 | 05-23 05:08 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 219 | $13.6K | 9,230 | 9,230 | +0 | No | -$16 | 05-13 04:44 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 52 | $13.6K | 9,189 | 9,189 | +0 | Yes | +$341 | 02-28 23:49 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 218 | $13.6K | 15,774 | 15,774 | +0 | open | — | 07-07 08:03 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 150 | $12.9K | 12,860 | 13,028 | -168 | open | — | 06-08 21:16 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 130 | $12.8K | 7,393 | 8,503 | -1,110 | No | -$179 | 03-29 16:54 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 273 | $12.7K | 13,338 | 9,347 | +3,992 | No | -$90 | 06-21 14:11 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 89 | $12.7K | 8,391 | 8,938 | -548 | No | -$75 | 05-24 12:39 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 145 | $12.3K | 9,670 | 10,742 | -1,072 | No | -$76 | 05-12 12:09 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 40 | $12.3K | 3,889 | 9,444 | -5,555 | No | -$503 | 04-14 15:24 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 217 | $11.8K | 11,935 | 10,612 | +1,323 | No | -$72 | 07-06 18:29 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 164 | $11.7K | 10,655 | 11,374 | -719 | No | +$4 | 05-23 20:16 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 330 | $11.2K | 12,624 | 12,065 | +559 | No | -$76 | 04-14 07:55 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 133 | $11.0K | 11,366 | 10,600 | +766 | open | — | 07-07 19:02 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | 167 | $10.8K | 8,741 | 9,201 | -460 | No | -$72 | 05-14 03:42 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 171 | $10.8K | 12,149 | 9,707 | +2,441 | open | — | 07-06 21:52 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 153 | $10.8K | 8,848 | 8,208 | +640 | No | -$25 | 08-08 02:25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 250 | $10.8K | 4,659 | 9,802 | -5,143 | No | -$972 | 04-16 17:54 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||