Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$776
Trades
87
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$2,025
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-15 12:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $21 | $33 | $11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $7 | $189 | $182 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $23 | $197 | $174 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $12 | $48 | $36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $25 | $85 | $60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $14 | $209 | $195 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $6 | $2 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $48 | $44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 14 | $17 | $15 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | No | +195 | $183 | $183 | 2 | 08-01 13:58 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +120 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 08-01 13:58 |
| Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | +87 | $79 | $79 | 4 | 07-24 22:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +70 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-17 19:24 |
| Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-15 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 13 | 08-15 12:58 |
| Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | +32 | $2 | $5 | 6 | 08-15 12:58 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-19 11:44 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 07-04 17:16 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 06-22 22:11 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-24 13:54 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +18 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 08-01 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-19 01:12 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 19:24 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-22 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-19 01:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-31 01:37 |
| Only-Reunion 0xa5d3…a6c6 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-02 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-24 13:54 |
| Unruly-Real 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 18:51 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $5 | 2 | 06-17 14:42 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-12 09:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 12:58:04 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9db1bf… |
| 08-15 12:58:04 | Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9db1bf… |
| 08-15 12:58:04 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9db1bf… |
| 08-12 09:51:33 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf9e861… |
| 08-12 09:51:33 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf9e861… |
| 08-07 15:22:58 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x34ca59… |
| 08-07 15:22:58 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x34ca59… |
| 08-07 15:22:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x34ca59… |
| 08-05 09:31:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x89bff4… |
| 08-05 09:31:42 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x89bff4… |
| 08-05 09:31:42 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x89bff4… |
| 08-04 10:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5fa11f… |
| 08-04 10:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x201e…1a3b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5fa11f… |
| 08-04 10:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5fa11f… |
| 08-02 02:41:48 | Only-Reunion 0xa5d3…a6c6 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x7fdf79… |
| 08-02 02:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7fdf79… |
| 08-02 02:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7fdf79… |
| 08-01 13:58:59 | (anonymous) 0x201e…1a3b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x20727f… |
| 08-01 13:58:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x20727f… |
| 08-01 13:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x66079e… |
| 08-01 13:58:56 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x66079e… |
| 08-01 13:58:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x66079e… |
| 07-31 21:44:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xced3c6… |
| 07-31 21:44:24 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0xced3c6… |
| 07-31 21:29:18 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 113 | 94¢ | $106 | 0x6a4362… |
| 07-31 21:29:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x6a4362… |
| 07-31 21:29:18 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | No | BUY | 153 | 94¢ | $143 | 0x6a4362… |
| 07-25 08:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7825a5… |
| 07-25 08:34:48 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7825a5… |
| 07-24 22:16:34 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xca3fe0… |
| 07-24 22:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xca3fe0… |
| 07-24 22:16:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xca3fe0… |
| 07-20 20:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5473fa… |
| 07-20 20:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x5779…168d | No | SELL | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x5473fa… |
| 07-19 01:12:00 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8d6161… |
| 07-19 01:12:00 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8d6161… |
| 07-19 01:12:00 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x8d6161… |
| 07-19 01:12:00 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8d6161… |
| 07-19 01:12:00 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8d6161… |
| 07-19 01:12:00 | Slimy-Dawn 0x69b3…14f8 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x8d6161… |
| 07-17 01:04:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x034d32… |
| 07-17 01:04:41 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x034d32… |
| 07-17 01:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x705ac8… |
| 07-17 01:04:34 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x705ac8… |
| 07-04 22:05:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5f5834… |
| 07-04 22:05:52 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x5f5834… |
| 07-04 17:16:52 | Double-Podcast 0x92a3…4a7d | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2821da… |
| 07-04 17:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x2821da… |
| 07-04 17:16:52 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x2821da… |
| 06-30 17:10:37 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xb92117… |
| 06-30 17:10:37 | (anonymous) 0xbd84…1292 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xb92117… |
| 06-25 22:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9473c5… |
| 06-25 22:13:16 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x9473c5… |
| 06-24 13:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x9c1de8… |
| 06-24 13:54:08 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c1de8… |
| 06-24 13:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c1de8… |
| 06-24 13:54:01 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9bb536… |
| 06-24 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x9bb536… |
| 06-24 13:54:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x9bb536… |
| 06-22 22:11:56 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x942930… |
| 06-22 22:11:56 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x942930… |
| 06-22 18:53:26 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb7b94c… |
| 06-22 18:53:26 | Swift-Divan 0x998a…d949 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xb7b94c… |
| 06-19 11:44:28 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x3feb25… |
| 06-19 11:44:28 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $6 | 0x3feb25… |
| 06-18 18:51:37 | Unruly-Real 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x435eb8… |
| 06-18 18:51:37 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x435eb8… |
| 06-18 18:51:37 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 39 | 77¢ | $30 | 0x435eb8… |
| 06-18 18:51:37 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x435eb8… |
| 06-17 19:24:28 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 102 | 72¢ | $73 | 0xcef185… |
| 06-17 19:24:28 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 44 | 72¢ | $32 | 0xcef185… |
| 06-17 19:24:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 28¢ | $13 | 0xcef185… |
| 06-17 19:24:28 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xcef185… |
| 06-17 14:42:46 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xf6f35e… |
| 06-17 14:42:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xf6f35e… |
| 06-17 14:37:26 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x5a5b76… |
| 06-17 14:37:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x5a5b76… |
| 05-31 01:37:39 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x894319… |
| 05-31 01:37:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x894319… |
| 05-30 23:41:20 | Energetic-Influx 0xd66d…af66 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xade59f… |
| 05-30 23:41:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xade59f… |
| 05-30 23:40:41 | Energetic-Influx 0xd66d…af66 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xefcb14… |
| 05-30 23:40:41 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xefcb14… |
| 05-30 23:40:41 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xefcb14… |
| 05-30 23:40:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe4a9cb… |
| 05-30 23:40:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xe4a9cb… |
| 05-30 23:40:34 | Energetic-Influx 0xd66d…af66 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xe4a9cb… |