Realized P&L
+$226
Unrealized P&L
+$104
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
418
Trades
1,122
lifetime
Volume
$43.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$1.88K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 03:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Other
74% 66% -$12
Politics
16% 58% -$40
Sports
5% 43% +$258
Crypto
3% 63% +$13
Tech
2% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +862 $609 87¢ $747 +$138 10-23 19:03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No -374 -$312 95¢ $-354 -$42 05-23 18:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -313 -$271 98¢ $-307 -$36 05-14 09:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -276 -$202 52¢ $-144 +$58 09-05 09:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -138 -$91 90¢ $-125 -$34 08-28 14:34
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +169 $100 72¢ $121 +$21 09-04 20:57
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +210 $50 19¢ $41 -$9 08-28 14:27
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +70 $30 41¢ $29 -$1 09-21 15:34
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +28 $12 52¢ $14 +$2 10-27 21:42
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -67 -$7 0¢ $-0 +$7 05-04 13:30