Realized P&L
+$2.85K
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
2,441
Trades
12,388
lifetime
Volume
$178.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$87
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 03:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
56% 58% +$1,648
Sports
26% 58% +$609
Crypto
10% 67% +$229
Politics
6% 64% +$293
Tech
2% 58% +$73
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -37 -$36 98¢ $-36 $0 06-12 07:34
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -18 -$18 94¢ $-17 +$1 06-25 05:21
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -13 -$1 72¢ $-9 -$8 05-20 05:44
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $6 90¢ $5 -$1 05-25 17:02
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -3 -$2 98¢ $-3 -$1 06-22 08:49
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +3 $10 95¢ $3 -$7 08-02 12:02
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 05-18 20:49
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +1 -$5 99¢ $1 +$6 07-01 21:58
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 -$1 07-10 21:17
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 06-18 01:12
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$1 06-01 13:59
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +1 -$11 96¢ $1 +$11 06-30 12:09
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 No +1 -$6 89¢ $1 +$7 06-04 01:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +1 $3 88¢ $1 -$2 06-09 15:33
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $2 88¢ $1 -$2 05-24 12:51
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +1 $7 82¢ $1 -$6 07-20 01:47
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 65¢ $1 $0 05-31 11:12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -1 -$1 60¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 08:58
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1 $5 96¢ $1 -$5 06-25 02:07
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +1 -$1 40¢ $0 +$1 05-22 19:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +15 -$1 3¢ $0 +$2 07-08 03:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes +1 $1 52¢ $0 -$1 05-22 19:30
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +6 -$3 5¢ $0 +$3 06-25 06:07
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 -$6 23¢ $0 +$7 07-02 11:37
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 38¢ $0 $0 06-12 05:31
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +1 -$15 16¢ $0 +$15 07-05 10:19
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2 -$7 6¢ $0 +$7 06-26 10:57
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +1 -$2 12¢ $0 +$2 06-18 01:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $18 8¢ $0 -$17 07-10 21:17
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 07-01 15:00