Realized P&L
+$64
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
30
Trades
10,100
lifetime
Volume
$140.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 09:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
64% 61% +$21
Sports
16%
Crypto
12% 71% +$43
Politics
6%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -116 $-107 96¢ $-112 $-5 06-09 15:33
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +110 $115 94¢ $103 $-12 07-12 04:22
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -96 $-90 91¢ $-87 +$2 07-01 21:58
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? No -67 $-63 95¢ $-64 $-1 06-29 09:20
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +56 $50 98¢ $55 +$5 07-10 11:37
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch? No +70 $52 77¢ $54 +$2 07-12 06:53
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +58 $50 88¢ $51 +$2 07-12 06:50
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +51 $21 80¢ $41 +$19 07-12 04:38
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026? No -45 $-38 84¢ $-38 $-0 06-07 10:44
Will Trump's approval rating hit 45% in 2026? No +41 $36 90¢ $37 +$1 06-28 15:02
Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +46 $33 77¢ $36 +$3 06-26 15:23
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +70 $11 49¢ $34 +$23 07-15 01:47
Neutrl FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +42 $31 76¢ $32 +$0 06-26 19:23
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No -27 $-26 97¢ $-26 $-0 06-12 07:34
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +36 $24 69¢ $25 +$1 06-27 00:31
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +47 $18 48¢ $23 +$4 06-20 05:28
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -28 $-23 80¢ $-23 +$0 06-18 01:12
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -22 $-21 97¢ $-22 $-0 06-12 07:34
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-22 15:49
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? No +19 $17 96¢ $18 +$1 06-08 15:37
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -25 $-3 68¢ $-17 $-14 06-17 10:45
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -20 $-9 82¢ $-17 $-8 06-26 05:03
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -19 $-22 80¢ $-15 +$7 06-26 02:07
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-14 97¢ $-15 $-0 06-24 14:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? No +15 $13 94¢ $14 +$1 06-25 05:13
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -15 $-14 92¢ $-14 +$0 06-25 22:55
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +15 $10 91¢ $14 +$4 07-18 10:59
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -19 $-13 70¢ $-13 $-0 06-11 16:06
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +24 $12 55¢ $13 +$1 06-28 23:54
Tori FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +18 $14 68¢ $12 $-1 07-08 05:21