Useless-Smoking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

10,138

lifetime

Volume

$140.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

64% 61% +$21

Sports

16% — —

Crypto

12% 71% +$43

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ng reach 2 80 by april 13 2026	59	$3.4K	2,952	2,329	+623	open	—	04-17 16:57
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$1.1K	707	707	+0	open	—	06-24 00:29
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	10	$1.1K	620	566	+54	open	—	03-23 12:10
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$901	704	760	-56	open	—	06-19 23:07
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	22	$855	428	524	-96	open	—	07-01 21:58
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	44	$848	666	666	+0	open	—	07-10 21:17
will nvda dip to 152 in march	22	$796	490	490	+0	open	—	03-07 11:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	18	$698	480	461	+19	open	—	05-25 23:20
meta above 700 on february 27 2026	9	$696	431	331	+100	open	—	02-26 09:52
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	6	$682	467	334	+133	open	—	06-15 13:42
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	4	$672	342	340	+2	open	—	04-21 12:57
will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	18	$665	547	545	+2	open	—	06-25 17:53
will coin reach 200 in june 2026	11	$663	365	365	+0	open	—	06-24 03:15
will propr launch a token by june 30 2027	16	$654	425	425	+0	open	—	06-20 02:39
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	78	$635	898	897	+1	open	—	07-10 21:17
will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	27	$613	630	629	+1	open	—	06-30 03:53
will ewy dip to 170 in june 2026	36	$610	665	629	+36	open	—	06-24 10:40
will ewy dip to 172 in june 2026	36	$575	504	498	+6	open	—	06-24 10:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	8	$566	335	335	+0	open	—	05-24 06:23
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?	36	$562	429	390	+39	open	—	05-31 06:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$545	288	276	+12	open	—	04-05 17:33
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	17	$545	390	389	+1	open	—	05-22 22:29
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	12	$496	330	329	+1	open	—	06-17 03:56
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 first half total 0pt5	4	$470	285	285	+0	open	—	06-13 19:21
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?	6	$456	283	235	+48	open	—	06-02 22:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	12	$452	282	368	-86	open	—	05-25 23:03
will ivory coast reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120753	8	$441	306	363	-57	open	—	06-30 18:45
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	10	$434	270	270	+0	open	—	05-19 13:30
will xagusd reach 80 in june 2026	13	$433	468	467	+1	open	—	06-25 17:36
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	24	$431	291	290	+1	open	—	06-30 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:05:37	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 total 7pt5	Over	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xa4ab79…
08-06 22:18:09	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xa3c9a8…
08-06 19:10:59	3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd8ed14…
08-06 08:46:41	3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x03bbcb…
08-05 23:10:03	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x42f21e…
08-05 18:47:32	3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0xd3fc93…
08-05 16:32:27	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	56	32¢	$18	0xf56268…
08-05 16:32:27	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	56	78¢	$44	0xb2c6c1…
08-05 16:32:08	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xfe5106…
08-05 16:32:06	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0xac3fa7…
08-02 12:02:35	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x97ecb4…
08-02 12:02:35	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x78c8e3…
08-01 10:10:45	Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x41bc45…
08-01 09:49:06	Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	84¢	$33	0x5dc20d…
07-31 00:30:41	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xfbb094…
07-31 00:30:41	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xee0f58…
07-30 22:46:00	base fdv above 5b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0xe73481…
07-30 22:46:00	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0x2a7d12…
07-30 00:58:35	Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x06343e…
07-29 21:59:39	Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3d7dbd…
07-29 21:59:39	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x041fb7…
07-29 19:06:29	Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa8ed6a…
07-29 19:06:29	Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x66309e…
07-29 19:06:27	Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc3cb7d…
07-29 08:42:05	Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x98a7bb…
07-29 08:42:05	Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x3e85b6…
07-28 16:31:14	Tori FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0xd60748…
07-28 16:31:14	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x261299…
07-26 15:04:31	Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xa22217…
07-26 15:04:30	Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x384cb8…
07-26 13:18:21	3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x7da30a…
07-26 13:18:21	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0x307afb…
07-23 05:42:03	Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x78c31d…
07-22 08:16:18	Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x29a268…
07-21 20:30:49	QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x97ccaa…
07-21 20:30:49	QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x364704…
07-21 19:01:39	Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x2a3d3a…
07-21 19:01:39	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x2901c2…
07-20 09:11:33	Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xf3fb83…
07-20 09:11:33	Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xddccfe…
07-20 01:47:13	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xf6aba5…
07-18 19:35:04	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xf9e64b…
07-18 19:35:03	will perplexitys valuation hit high 30b by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1d7387…
07-18 10:59:34	QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x6c3629…
07-18 10:59:34	QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x5f8bf5…
07-17 18:23:54	credible fdv above 50m one day after launch 20260708144505954	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xf04aa2…
07-17 18:23:52	credible fdv above 40m one day after launch 20260708144505953	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x544f58…
07-17 16:27:21	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by december 31	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x773266…
07-17 16:27:19	will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xabf244…
07-17 10:30:19	will tori launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x91c4a0…
07-17 10:30:19	will tori launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x25b192…
07-16 23:30:47	will canvas valuation hit high 75b by december 31	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0xc42daa…
07-16 23:30:47	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by december 31	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x0438ca…
07-16 20:17:25	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xaeb4f8…
07-16 20:17:23	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xe1404b…
07-16 20:17:23	3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x062ffc…
07-16 16:56:28	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xda5630…
07-16 16:56:26	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x6e4451…
07-16 13:16:17	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x563bcf…
07-16 11:31:32	will ansem dip to 0pt06 before 2027	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xa5aead…
07-16 11:31:32	will ansem dip to 0pt04 before 2027	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x9be681…
07-16 11:31:17	will ansem dip to 0pt04 before 2027	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xec5dd3…
07-16 11:31:17	will ansem dip to 0pt06 before 2027	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xe68e96…
07-16 06:01:29	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 11b 20260703213709255	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x506d10…
07-15 20:22:44	Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x3fdad6…
07-15 04:49:34	will gte launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xa9c074…
07-15 04:49:34	will gte launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x3276bf…
07-15 03:50:11	gmgn fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xd11ac4…
07-15 03:50:11	gmgn fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xcb836b…
07-15 01:47:17	will kast launch a token by march 31 2027	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x995b26…
07-15 01:47:16	will kast launch a token by september 30 2027	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xccba9b…
07-15 01:47:04	City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xe68d1c…
07-14 14:41:14	Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x15c545…
07-14 14:41:14	Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x0d52d7…
07-13 11:33:55	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xb0910f…
07-13 11:26:07	3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$0	0x6b0f5e…
07-13 09:46:56	3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xdb38d7…
07-13 09:46:53	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x3cb998…
07-13 09:46:25	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xa0b4eb…
07-13 09:26:58	3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xeafc24…
07-12 21:01:50	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xcdc809…
07-12 06:53:38	City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x113f1d…
07-12 06:50:55	Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xd56d36…
07-12 06:00:38	will catena launch a token by september 30 2027	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x594c90…
07-12 05:57:49	Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x6a4bb6…
07-12 05:17:10	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xf2ebc5…
07-12 04:55:17	will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x843b2f…
07-12 04:51:58	Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x216602…
07-12 04:38:44	3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x9a0946…
07-12 04:29:28	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xd888ac…
07-12 04:22:29	3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x28ec19…
07-12 02:55:07	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x91400b…
07-12 02:08:37	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x9cc964…
07-12 02:08:37	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x956259…
07-11 22:33:22	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 11pt2b 20260703213709256	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x8abd1d…
07-11 22:33:19	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 11pt2b 20260703213709256	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x645cba…
07-11 20:57:19	will prime intellect launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xafd9f5…
07-11 20:57:19	will prime intellect launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x6b1189…
07-11 18:41:55	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xdaabad…
07-11 18:41:16	3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xe34f2c…