Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$934
Trades
85
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$1,359
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-24 14:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $16 | $113 | $97 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $8 | $24 | $16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $7 | $224 | $217 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $59 | $136 | $78 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $39 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $21 | $144 | $124 |
| Median | 5 | $25 | $10 | +$15 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $100 | $96 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 14 | $25 | $203 | $179 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +129 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 06-25 22:12 |
| Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | +123 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-21 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51c…f9f3 | Yes | +100 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-21 16:21 |
| Dutiful-Airbus 0x0cd0…0e01 | Yes | +100 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-25 22:12 |
| Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | +49 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-19 11:44 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +44 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 06-25 01:47 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +39 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-31 01:37 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-31 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-22 22:11 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-24 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-13 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-21 02:44 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-24 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-24 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-19 12:46 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | +2 | $2 | $23 | 4 | 06-23 01:30 |
| Unruly-Real 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 09:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 09:07 |
| Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | +1 | $2 | $7 | 2 | 07-08 22:10 |
| Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | +1 | $1 | $43 | 3 | 05-31 09:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 14:29:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8321f7… |
| 07-24 14:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8321f7… |
| 07-24 14:29:55 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8321f7… |
| 07-24 10:09:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xff515e… |
| 07-24 10:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xff515e… |
| 07-13 19:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xacb78c… |
| 07-13 19:42:25 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xacb78c… |
| 07-13 19:42:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xacb78c… |
| 07-13 19:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xacb78c… |
| 07-12 11:26:05 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xc5bc38… |
| 07-12 11:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc5bc38… |
| 07-12 11:22:22 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x14c7c4… |
| 07-12 11:22:22 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x14c7c4… |
| 07-12 11:19:13 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x1158ba… |
| 07-12 11:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1158ba… |
| 07-10 14:10:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xdaa373… |
| 07-10 14:10:59 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0xdaa373… |
| 07-08 22:10:55 | Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | SELL | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x14329b… |
| 07-08 22:10:55 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0x14329b… |
| 07-04 22:03:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfac4cd… |
| 07-04 22:03:47 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfac4cd… |
| 07-04 17:17:08 | Double-Podcast 0x92a3…4a7d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x45b80d… |
| 07-04 17:17:08 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x45b80d… |
| 06-28 21:05:53 | Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | BUY | 43 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xbd1b64… |
| 06-28 21:05:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xbd1b64… |
| 06-25 22:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3c82c9… |
| 06-25 22:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x3c82c9… |
| 06-25 22:12:41 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3c82c9… |
| 06-25 22:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3c82c9… |
| 06-25 22:12:41 | Dutiful-Airbus 0x0cd0…0e01 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x3c82c9… |
| 06-25 22:12:41 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 129 | 88¢ | $113 | 0x3c82c9… |
| 06-25 01:47:58 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x51695a… |
| 06-25 01:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x51695a… |
| 06-24 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x8c0619… |
| 06-24 13:54:10 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x8c0619… |
| 06-24 13:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x0e292f… |
| 06-24 13:54:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x0e292f… |
| 06-23 01:30:11 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x9929fa… |
| 06-23 01:30:11 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x9929fa… |
| 06-22 22:11:37 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x91a530… |
| 06-22 22:11:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x91a530… |
| 06-21 16:21:07 | (anonymous) 0xf51c…f9f3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x937552… |
| 06-21 16:21:07 | Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | BUY | 123 | 81¢ | $100 | 0x937552… |
| 06-21 16:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x937552… |
| 06-21 16:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x937552… |
| 06-21 16:21:07 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x937552… |
| 06-21 02:44:10 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x45ea5c… |
| 06-21 02:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x45ea5c… |
| 06-19 12:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xbe16b2… |
| 06-19 12:46:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xbe16b2… |
| 06-19 12:46:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xdf384b… |
| 06-19 12:46:35 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 55 | 81¢ | $45 | 0xdf384b… |
| 06-19 12:46:35 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 124 | 80¢ | $100 | 0xdf384b… |
| 06-19 11:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xfce87f… |
| 06-19 11:46:37 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xfce87f… |
| 06-19 11:44:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xfd0034… |
| 06-19 11:44:50 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | BUY | 49 | 79¢ | $39 | 0xfd0034… |
| 06-19 11:44:50 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xfd0034… |
| 06-19 11:44:50 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xfd0034… |
| 06-17 14:37:26 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xf8c90b… |
| 06-17 14:37:26 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xf8c90b… |
| 06-17 14:37:26 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xf8c90b… |
| 06-07 09:07:58 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x585451… |
| 06-07 09:07:58 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x585451… |
| 06-07 09:07:10 | Unruly-Real 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc688fa… |
| 06-07 09:07:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc688fa… |
| 05-31 09:39:22 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 16 | 68¢ | $11 | 0x0a573e… |
| 05-31 09:39:22 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x0a573e… |
| 05-31 09:39:22 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x0a573e… |
| 05-31 09:38:59 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x20aa28… |
| 05-31 09:38:59 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x20aa28… |
| 05-31 09:38:59 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x20aa28… |
| 05-31 09:38:59 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x20aa28… |
| 05-31 09:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x20aa28… |
| 05-31 09:38:24 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x55563a… |
| 05-31 09:38:24 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x55563a… |
| 05-31 09:38:24 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x55563a… |
| 05-31 09:37:40 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x712e46… |
| 05-31 09:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x712e46… |
| 05-31 09:37:40 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x241976… |
| 05-31 09:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x241976… |
| 05-31 01:37:40 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $23 | 0x99e70a… |
| 05-31 01:37:40 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x99e70a… |
| 05-31 01:37:39 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x67f643… |
| 05-31 01:37:39 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x67f643… |