Dutiful-Airbus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

835

lifetime

Volume

$6.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-09 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

56% 30% +$23

Politics

39% 67% +$63

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	25	$387	368	568	-200	open	—	03-19 09:25
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	05-11 01:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	14	$171	150	150	+0	open	—	02-28 07:52
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$150	331	181	+150	open	—	04-04 03:03
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	9	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 19:51
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	6	$134	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 02:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	07-19 14:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$115	210	160	+50	open	—	03-27 20:58
Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$105	200	100	+100	open	—	08-07 16:20
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	4	$99	150	100	+50	open	—	07-13 23:58
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$97	86	100	-14	open	—	05-15 00:19
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	8	$95	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 15:56
will tisza win at least 130 seats	3	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 18:35
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$82	500	400	+100	open	—	01-15 01:53
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	3	$79	80	80	+0	open	—	03-12 07:55
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	10	$76	340	340	+0	open	—	04-29 13:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	3	$73	52	52	+0	open	—	04-18 14:44
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	3	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 11:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$71	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 16:25
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	7	$68	141	141	+0	open	—	04-29 09:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$68	160	160	+0	open	—	05-05 18:53
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	06-22 03:42
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$66	80	80	+0	open	—	04-19 12:43
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 14:11
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$66	101	101	+0	open	—	03-01 17:13
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	5	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 20:31
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	11	$64	81	132	-51	open	—	07-10 07:09
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	5	$62	100	100	+0	open	—	08-02 11:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$62	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 02:11
will ethereum dip to 1600 in june 2026	4	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 15:26:09	cs2 1win ace1 2026 08 09	Acend	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x8c739d…
08-09 15:25:24	cs2 1win ace1 2026 08 09	Acend	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbb0a63…
08-07 16:20:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x4b8fc5…
08-07 16:20:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	91	49¢	$44	0x35d320…
08-07 16:20:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x498ad1…
08-06 21:52:36	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x30fa9a…
08-05 13:11:17	dota2 playti yb1 2026 08 05 game1	PlayTime	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x477a3c…
08-05 13:01:47	dota2 playti yb1 2026 08 05 game1	PlayTime	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x010402…
08-03 02:19:23	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xc3945b…
08-02 11:49:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xccea6f…
08-01 12:08:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x6d9f93…
08-01 07:54:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x9d841c…
08-01 07:45:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0e63de…
07-31 09:27:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x652b21…
07-27 22:58:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xe7a00a…
07-27 14:15:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x366062…
07-26 15:01:22	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	Wildcard	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xfb8c6c…
07-26 15:01:21	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	Wildcard	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xc9468c…
07-26 14:46:22	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	Wildcard	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x9023dd…
07-23 10:52:03	cs2 aur1 fokus 2026 07 23	FOKUS	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x2d45f8…
07-23 10:42:00	cs2 aur1 fokus 2026 07 23	FOKUS	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xa8bcfc…
07-23 10:41:58	cs2 aur1 fokus 2026 07 23	FOKUS	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90fd96…
07-23 10:41:58	cs2 aur1 fokus 2026 07 23	FOKUS	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7159a3…
07-22 09:35:12	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0xb60566…
07-21 14:35:30	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xc29061…
07-21 06:34:12	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3b84b1…
07-20 00:25:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0xb68589…
07-20 00:08:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x568bc7…
07-19 15:36:28	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x85141b…
07-19 15:36:25	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x14056c…
07-19 14:50:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xac9849…
07-19 14:47:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x35119e…
07-19 09:04:07	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xcb3a81…
07-16 12:10:34	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa8fe60…
07-15 15:05:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0x675b0e…
07-14 12:11:46	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game1	Team Liquid	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6eef62…
07-14 11:48:14	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6802e8…
07-13 23:58:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x828aa1…
07-13 14:24:07	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x069d80…
07-11 22:40:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xa87309…
07-10 07:09:37	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xcf7c33…
07-09 10:06:01	dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09	GamerLegion	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x389ce8…
07-09 09:52:41	dota2 gl flc 2026 07 09	GamerLegion	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xd33271…
07-09 08:46:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x4d141e…
07-09 06:55:14	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x2ea802…
07-09 04:56:53	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd7a505…
07-09 01:16:59	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xbe05aa…
07-08 15:20:55	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x6cd348…
07-08 09:19:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xd78ba5…
07-08 09:18:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x073651…
07-08 08:41:02	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xfdde42…
07-08 08:40:02	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xa1c22c…
07-08 08:21:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x484b48…
07-08 08:19:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbd3af2…
07-07 16:26:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x16d57d…
07-07 14:55:29	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x41cccd…
07-07 02:39:02	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3150db…
07-07 01:23:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xb57b7f…
07-06 15:15:35	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xff346b…
07-06 15:14:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdd86a0…
07-06 01:48:25	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xe27d94…
07-05 16:20:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xba906e…
07-04 04:59:10	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x908cdb…
07-03 23:53:37	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe3cd84…
07-03 20:08:04	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xac718c…
07-01 17:24:46	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xe0eb7b…
07-01 17:24:40	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x9053a2…
07-01 16:40:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa483f4…
06-30 12:57:16	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x59b944…
06-30 08:39:47	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x7d7b4a…
06-30 07:27:08	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdc2213…
06-29 19:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x47865d…
06-29 10:17:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x9f64bf…
06-29 10:15:01	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xff88b7…
06-28 08:08:05	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xdc85e5…
06-28 01:10:08	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0c3009…
06-27 17:32:28	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x367b53…
06-26 23:10:01	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x7bc206…
06-26 23:08:14	Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x8937c3…
06-26 19:27:25	Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa10022…
06-26 15:19:52	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x0fbc92…
06-26 15:18:19	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4ab866…
06-26 02:28:14	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x18b6c9…
06-26 02:19:29	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x82ec89…
06-26 02:19:02	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x018f3a…
06-25 22:42:31	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6ae405…
06-25 22:12:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x3c82c9…
06-24 15:14:31	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xed1ae4…
06-24 15:13:13	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb2dce8…
06-24 12:25:43	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	83	7¢	$6	0x555e52…
06-24 12:19:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe51de2…
06-24 07:13:49	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x651879…
06-24 03:41:29	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xe9ecf5…
06-23 23:59:38	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	75	10¢	$8	0x6dedc3…
06-23 22:07:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xff0ceb…
06-23 15:03:52	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xeb2c9f…
06-23 08:49:29	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xf47c43…
06-23 02:50:31	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x5b539d…
06-22 23:38:55	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x99b602…
06-22 16:01:32	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xac161d…