Realized P&L (90d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved (90d)
62
Trades (90d)
190
1,208 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.72K
$9.44K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$235
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-04 20:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
59% 37% +$89
Politics
35% 61% +$535
Sports
2% 33% -$12
Crypto
2% 25% +$13
Tech
1% 33% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $36 17¢ $51 +$15 11-04 03:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -50 -$44 96¢ $-48 -$4 05-23 20:34
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +140 $40 30¢ $41 +$1 10-15 12:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $46 41¢ $41 -$6 10-24 18:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 22¢ $21 +$1 10-14 12:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $13 57¢ $11 -$2 10-27 13:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -300 -$53 2¢ $-6 +$48 09-22 03:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +50 $5 10¢ $5 $0 11-04 20:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +200 $23 2¢ $5 -$18 06-24 12:25
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -100 -$26 2¢ $-2 +$23 09-21 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +50 $8 4¢ $2 -$6 06-29 19:37
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? No +20 $10 4¢ $1 -$9 10-04 17:19
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -100 $34 1¢ $-1 -$35 10-02 07:59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-22 02:52