Realized P&L
+$615
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
393
Trades
1,227
lifetime
Volume
$9.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$322
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-06 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Other
60% 37% +$89
Politics
35% 60% +$529
Sports
2% 33% -$12
Crypto
2% 25% +$13
Tech
1% 33% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $36 18¢ $53 +$17 11-04 03:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-49 -$4 05-23 20:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $46 46¢ $46 -$1 10-24 18:46
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No +50 $15 84¢ $42 +$28 10-20 11:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +140 $40 22¢ $31 -$9 10-15 12:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +50 $25 46¢ $23 -$2 11-05 07:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 22¢ $22 +$2 10-14 12:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $13 65¢ $13 $0 10-27 13:57
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +50 $15 20¢ $10 -$5 11-06 08:47
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +100 $7 8¢ $8 +$1 10-05 12:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -300 -$53 2¢ $-5 +$48 09-22 03:47
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +200 $4 2¢ $5 +$1 08-18 01:01
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +200 $23 2¢ $3 -$20 06-24 12:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +50 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 11-04 20:30
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 10-17 11:34
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -100 -$26 2¢ $-2 +$24 09-21 07:14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -100 $34 1¢ $-1 -$35 10-02 07:59
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +60 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-16 08:22
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? No +20 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 10-04 17:19
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-22 02:52