Realized P&L
+$615
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
393
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$9.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$228
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-10 08:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Other
60% 37% +$89
Politics
35% 60% +$529
Sports
2% 33% -$12
Crypto
2% 25% +$13
Tech
1% 33% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $36 17¢ $52 +$16 11-04 03:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-49 -$4 05-23 20:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $46 45¢ $45 -$1 10-24 18:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +50 $25 34¢ $17 -$9 11-05 07:06
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +160 $42 10¢ $16 -$26 11-10 08:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $13 62¢ $12 -$1 10-27 13:57
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +100 $7 8¢ $7 +$0 10-05 12:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 6¢ $6 -$13 10-14 12:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -300 -$53 2¢ $-5 +$48 09-22 03:47
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +200 $4 2¢ $5 +$1 08-18 01:01
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 11-09 15:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +50 $5 7¢ $3 -$2 11-04 20:30
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 10-17 11:34
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +60 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-16 08:22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 09-22 02:52
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -100 -$26 1¢ $-1 +$25 09-21 07:14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -100 $34 1¢ $-1 -$35 10-02 07:59
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? No +20 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 10-04 17:19
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +0 -$4 38¢ $0 +$4 11-09 14:53