Realized P&L (30d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved (30d)
13
Trades (30d)
54
1,212 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$521
$9.45K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$265
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-03 13:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
59% 37% +$89
Politics
36% 63% +$561
Sports
2% 33% -$12
Crypto
2% 25% +$13
Tech
1% 33% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +100 $14 58¢ $58 +$44 10-26 15:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -50 -$44 96¢ $-48 -$3 05-23 20:34
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +140 $40 29¢ $41 +$0 10-15 12:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $46 40¢ $40 -$6 10-24 18:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 24¢ $23 +$3 10-14 12:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $13 26¢ $13 +$1 11-03 13:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +50 $14 26¢ $13 -$1 10-30 14:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $13 46¢ $9 -$4 10-27 13:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -300 -$53 2¢ $-6 +$47 09-22 03:47
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +200 $4 2¢ $4 +$0 08-18 01:01
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +200 $23 2¢ $4 -$19 06-24 12:25
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -100 -$26 3¢ $-3 +$23 09-21 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +50 $8 2¢ $1 -$6 06-29 19:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -100 $34 1¢ $-1 -$35 10-02 07:59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-22 02:52