Realized P&L (7d)
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
10
1,204 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$45
$9.43K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$248
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-30 14:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
59% 37% +$94
Politics
35% 64% +$563
Sports
2% 33% -$12
Crypto
2% 25% +$13
Tech
1% 33% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -50 -$44 94¢ $-47 -$3 05-23 20:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $46 41¢ $41 -$6 10-24 18:46
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +100 $14 38¢ $38 +$24 10-26 15:28
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +140 $40 25¢ $35 -$5 10-15 12:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 28¢ $27 +$7 10-14 12:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +50 $14 29¢ $14 +$0 10-30 14:40
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $14 8¢ $8 -$7 10-20 13:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +200 $23 4¢ $7 -$16 06-24 12:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $13 35¢ $7 -$6 10-27 13:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -300 -$53 2¢ $-6 +$47 09-22 03:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $6 29¢ $6 $0 10-30 02:58
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +200 $4 2¢ $4 +$0 08-18 01:01
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -100 -$26 3¢ $-3 +$23 09-21 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +50 $8 6¢ $3 -$5 06-29 19:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -100 $34 1¢ $-1 -$36 10-02 07:59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 09-22 02:52