Realized P&L
+$335
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
660
Trades
2,276
lifetime
Volume
$20.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-15 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
80% 47% +$39
Crypto
11% 51% +$111
Politics
5% 50% +$13
Sports
3% 64% +$161
Tech
1% 58% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +138 $84 93¢ $128 +$44 07-03 04:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +121 $110 100¢ $120 +$10 06-26 22:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +123 $114 97¢ $119 +$5 06-29 16:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +121 $115 97¢ $118 +$3 05-30 15:54
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? No +77 $60 89¢ $68 +$8 05-24 02:33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +66 $62 99¢ $65 +$3 05-22 19:21
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +61 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 05-22 19:18
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +49 $36 95¢ $47 +$11 06-26 08:12
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +46 $25 94¢ $43 +$18 06-26 12:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +37 $18 98¢ $37 +$19 05-20 23:53
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +37 $30 93¢ $34 +$4 06-15 11:36
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +39 $14 81¢ $32 +$17 06-04 04:18
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +30 $29 98¢ $30 +$1 07-13 10:18
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$1 06-02 07:19
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$1 06-16 16:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +31 $29 88¢ $27 -$2 05-27 04:07
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +26 $13 55¢ $15 +$1 08-21 19:24
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +122 $46 8¢ $10 -$36 06-26 12:31
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +428 $16 2¢ $9 -$6 05-27 04:55
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +83 $25 4¢ $4 -$21 06-22 04:23
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +19 $11 18¢ $3 -$7 06-04 04:17
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +53 $19 6¢ $3 -$16 07-03 04:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +121 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 06-18 23:37
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 06-15 17:20
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +30 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 06-19 17:52
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +28 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 06-10 15:35
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-16 16:45
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 05-20 11:38
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +92 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 05-25 12:45
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 5¢ $1 -$3 05-26 12:47