Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$152
Trades
25
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$6,716
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-02 12:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $24
vs crowd: 9% YES on $91)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $5 | $69 | $63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $45 | $45 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | +55 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 06:37 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +48 | $45 | $45 | 10 | 06-24 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-29 19:28 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +21 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $1 | 4 | 06-29 20:19 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 06-29 20:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 12:26:32 | Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8…d240 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xb1477c… |
| 07-02 12:26:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb1477c… |
| 06-29 20:19:01 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x75e5c4… |
| 06-29 20:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x75e5c4… |
| 06-29 20:19:01 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x75e5c4… |
| 06-29 20:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x31f5bb… |
| 06-29 20:16:34 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x31f5bb… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | Tricky-Dredger 0x3e0e…8110 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8…d240 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-29 19:28:31 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xfaf682… |
| 06-27 22:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9194b3… |
| 06-27 22:01:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9194b3… |
| 06-24 06:37:19 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x8b3c46… |
| 06-24 06:37:19 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x8b3c46… |
| 06-24 06:37:19 | Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8…d240 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x8b3c46… |
| 06-10 01:01:52 | Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8…d240 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x49f0eb… |
| 06-10 01:01:52 | Spotless-Critic 0x9da9…0505 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x49f0eb… |
| 06-01 18:44:49 | Faint-Obedience 0xca76…b9c1 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x12e071… |
| 06-01 18:44:49 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x12e071… |
| 06-01 13:11:13 | Spotless-Critic 0x9da9…0505 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xa6867d… |
| 06-01 13:11:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa6867d… |