Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
21.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$112
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$38
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 06-01 18:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55%
Politics
27%
Crypto
13% 25% +$0
Sports
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No -4 $-3 95¢ $-3 $-0 05-28 19:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? No -4 $-3 85¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? No -4 $-3 86¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 +$0 06-01 18:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -4 $-3 76¢ $-3 +$0 05-28 19:50
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -3 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 18:44
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -7 $-3 31¢ $-2 +$1 06-01 18:44
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 $-1 36¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 18:44
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 48¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 18:44
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 30¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 18:44