Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
open
Total volume
$542
Trades
98
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,807
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-12 07:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $8 | $170 | $162 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 5 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 12 | $8 | $170 | $162 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | +114 | $5 | $5 | 23 | 06-04 17:13 |
| Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | +47 | $45 | $116 | 23 | 06-04 17:13 |
| Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | +43 | $41 | $43 | 17 | 06-04 17:13 |
| Trained-Scooter 0x6e1a…971e | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 12:53 |
| Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-06 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb959…2755 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-09 10:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 07:34:22 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x8313c9… |
| 06-12 07:34:22 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8313c9… |
| 06-09 10:50:00 | (anonymous) 0xe4e1…b244 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xde9e00… |
| 06-09 10:50:00 | (anonymous) 0xb959…2755 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xde9e00… |
| 06-09 10:50:00 | (anonymous) 0x8ec0…08ec | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xde9e00… |
| 06-07 19:35:24 | Frequent-Protection 0x41e7…97a8 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfa6240… |
| 06-07 19:35:24 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfa6240… |
| 06-06 07:04:55 | Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xb16e2e… |
| 06-06 07:04:55 | Zealous-Habit 0xf0ad…7a64 | No | SELL | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xb16e2e… |
| 06-05 14:35:58 | Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x1561eb… |
| 06-05 14:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xcea9…9b79 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x1561eb… |
| 06-05 07:27:25 | Coordinated-Republic 0xe444…9495 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x75aec3… |
| 06-05 07:27:25 | Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x75aec3… |
| 06-04 17:13:52 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd91808… |
| 06-04 17:13:52 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd91808… |
| 06-04 17:13:45 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf883e7… |
| 06-04 17:13:45 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf883e7… |
| 06-04 13:24:46 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd11ab6… |
| 06-04 13:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd11ab6… |
| 06-04 13:24:40 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeac14c… |
| 06-04 13:24:40 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xeac14c… |
| 06-04 13:24:39 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeb0409… |
| 06-04 13:24:39 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xeb0409… |
| 06-04 09:32:37 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x92ad96… |
| 06-04 09:32:37 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x92ad96… |
| 06-04 09:32:31 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc81fde… |
| 06-04 09:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc81fde… |
| 06-04 09:32:30 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x031040… |
| 06-04 09:32:30 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x031040… |
| 06-03 11:44:16 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf7afce… |
| 06-03 11:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf7afce… |
| 06-03 11:44:09 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x495385… |
| 06-03 11:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x428f4c… |
| 06-03 11:44:09 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x495385… |
| 06-03 11:44:09 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x428f4c… |
| 06-03 11:44:08 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x577d2d… |
| 06-03 11:44:08 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb29672… |
| 06-03 11:44:08 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb29672… |
| 06-03 11:44:08 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x577d2d… |
| 06-03 11:43:41 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0e8380… |
| 06-03 11:43:41 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0e8380… |
| 06-03 11:42:37 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x573c5f… |
| 06-03 11:42:37 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x573c5f… |
| 06-03 11:42:35 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x259a08… |
| 06-03 11:42:35 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x259a08… |
| 06-03 10:36:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc4ee07… |
| 06-03 10:36:36 | Frequent-Protection 0x41e7…97a8 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc4ee07… |
| 06-03 09:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0237e5… |
| 06-03 09:59:32 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0237e5… |
| 06-03 09:58:26 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xefc538… |
| 06-03 09:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbba32f… |
| 06-03 09:58:26 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xefc538… |
| 06-03 09:58:26 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xbba32f… |
| 06-03 09:58:24 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x91b73f… |
| 06-03 09:58:24 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xefd3f2… |
| 06-03 09:58:24 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xefd3f2… |
| 06-03 09:58:24 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x91b73f… |
| 06-03 09:42:55 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x95c3df… |
| 06-03 09:42:55 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x95c3df… |
| 06-03 09:42:51 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf1f38e… |
| 06-03 09:42:51 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf1f38e… |
| 06-02 18:45:31 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8668bb… |
| 06-02 18:45:31 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8668bb… |
| 06-02 18:45:27 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x65802a… |
| 06-02 18:45:27 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x65802a… |
| 06-02 18:40:35 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5a59e5… |
| 06-02 18:40:35 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5a59e5… |
| 06-02 18:40:31 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x2616a3… |
| 06-02 18:40:31 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2616a3… |
| 06-02 18:27:34 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd29a9a… |
| 06-02 18:27:34 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd29a9a… |
| 06-02 18:27:31 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd12e80… |
| 06-02 18:27:31 | Utilized-Merchandise 0x03d6…873e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xd12e80… |
| 06-02 18:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x55db5b… |
| 06-02 18:08:07 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x55db5b… |
| 06-02 18:07:16 | Ideal-Cleat 0x8ef7…7b01 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb4a0df… |
| 06-02 18:07:16 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb4a0df… |
| 06-02 18:06:57 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbbce11… |
| 06-02 18:06:57 | Ideal-Cleat 0x8ef7…7b01 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbbce11… |
| 06-02 18:06:50 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x585fbe… |
| 06-02 18:06:50 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x585fbe… |
| 06-02 18:06:45 | (anonymous) 0xf518…31d5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7889c2… |
| 06-02 18:06:45 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7889c2… |
| 06-02 18:06:40 | Ideal-Cleat 0x8ef7…7b01 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd5a8e2… |
| 06-02 18:06:40 | Naive-Cockroach 0xac10…bf99 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd5a8e2… |
| 06-01 18:44:49 | Faint-Obedience 0xca76…b9c1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x388a78… |
| 06-01 18:44:49 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x388a78… |
| 06-01 02:39:59 | Necessary-Den 0x2ce4…d707 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2e0534… |
| 06-01 02:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x8ec0…08ec | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x2e0534… |
| 05-31 11:51:01 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x6bf118… |
| 05-31 11:51:01 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6bf118… |
| 05-30 12:30:05 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1c5a50… |
| 05-30 12:30:05 | (anonymous) 0xb1d6…3a8d | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x1c5a50… |
| 05-30 12:30:05 | (anonymous) 0xb7bd…8d8d | No | SELL | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x1c5a50… |
| 05-29 21:27:28 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe1d31f… |
| 05-29 21:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x81a0…dd29 | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xe1d31f… |
| 05-29 12:53:35 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0c6fa2… |
| 05-29 12:53:35 | Trained-Scooter 0x6e1a…971e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0c6fa2… |