Realized P&L
-$72
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
743
Trades
21,386
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$31
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 11-02 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Sports
35% 16% -$54
Other
33% 16% -$34
Crypto
15% 22% +$40
Politics
14% 12% +$5
Tech
3% 0% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 1017 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $4 +$3 09-05 10:35
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +5 $2 69¢ $3 +$1 07-27 21:35
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +3 $2 73¢ $2 +$0 06-24 20:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$1 07-24 15:22
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-05 21:59
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-12 15:54
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-08 15:50
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-07 17:00
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-14 07:30
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-05 15:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $1 $0 07-26 05:08
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-07 01:30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4 $1 18¢ $1 -$1 06-29 17:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 07-04 19:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 $0 06-29 17:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$2 89¢ $1 +$3 08-21 03:03
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +26 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 08-06 12:59
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? Yes +464 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 08-24 11:25
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 08-08 01:28
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +388 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 09-14 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1 $1 43¢ $1 $0 07-17 14:20
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $1 -$1 07-15 11:52
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes +4 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 07-11 18:25
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +13 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-05 21:10
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 11-01 17:45
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-20 14:02
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138 Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-17 12:32
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 $0 07-03 08:32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 11¢ $0 $0 07-24 22:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $0 52¢ $0 $0 07-28 21:08