U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$16
Trades
22
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$5,231
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-07-01
last 07-30 11:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $7 | $2 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6193…7c38 | Yes | +57 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-30 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-19 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-15 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 12:10 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 12:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x6193…7c38 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x13d9bb… |
| 07-30 11:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x13d9bb… |
| 07-30 11:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x13d9bb… |
| 07-30 11:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x13d9bb… |
| 07-30 11:56:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x13d9bb… |
| 07-30 11:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x13d9bb… |
| 07-27 17:33:48 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfdc98e… |
| 07-27 17:33:48 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfdc98e… |
| 07-19 17:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd84cfb… |
| 07-19 17:21:27 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd84cfb… |
| 07-19 03:34:09 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x896ca4… |
| 07-19 03:34:09 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x896ca4… |
| 07-19 03:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x96598e… |
| 07-19 03:30:21 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x96598e… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x37261e… |
| 07-19 03:27:30 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x37261e… |
| 07-15 14:16:22 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x387163… |
| 07-15 14:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x387163… |
| 07-13 00:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x821925… |
| 07-13 00:26:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x821925… |
| 07-01 12:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7cc7b4… |
| 07-01 12:10:49 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x7cc7b4… |