Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
908
lifetime
Volume
$4.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$237
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-01 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61% 0% $-20
Politics
29% 0% $-1
Crypto
4%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -98 $-76 90¢ $-88 $-12 06-02 15:22
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -75 $-19 12¢ $-9 +$10 06-16 23:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $8 $-0 06-27 19:08
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? Yes +54 $11 16¢ $8 $-2 06-25 15:01
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? Yes +60 $4 12¢ $8 +$3 06-22 12:52
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +135 $2 $7 +$5 06-01 19:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? No +15 $4 48¢ $7 +$3 05-31 17:34
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $7 16¢ $7 $-1 06-15 17:38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +20 $6 32¢ $6 +$0 06-22 05:29
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-6 24¢ $-6 +$0 06-03 10:46
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No -18 $-4 32¢ $-6 $-1 07-01 14:28
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $6 +$0 06-27 16:00
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +25 $5 22¢ $5 +$1 06-05 18:12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? Yes +96 $2 $5 +$3 06-11 23:19
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -50 $-6 10¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 20:15
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 06-01 19:00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +20 $3 24¢ $5 +$2 06-12 15:06
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes +54 $3 $5 +$2 06-30 11:00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? Yes +76 $7 $5 $-2 07-01 12:11
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $4 $-3 06-22 16:07
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes -50 $-6 $-4 +$1 06-28 23:35
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +35 $8 12¢ $4 $-4 06-02 16:57
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $4 19¢ $4 $-1 06-01 20:58
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 12¢ $-3 +$1 06-01 13:28
Obama divorce before 2027? Yes +63 $4 $3 $-1 06-15 12:42
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +28 $1 10¢ $3 +$2 07-01 01:07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? Yes +20 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 06-29 09:56
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +39 $4 $3 $-1 06-15 15:58
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +27 $2 10¢ $3 +$1 06-29 23:14
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +54 $3 $2 $-0 06-25 12:57