Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,001
lifetime
Volume
$5.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$312
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-22 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61% 0% $-20
Politics
29% 0% $-1
Crypto
4%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -98 $-76 90¢ $-89 $-13 06-02 15:22
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-6 91¢ $-22 $-16 06-03 10:46
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +50 $16 31¢ $16 +$0 07-04 09:00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +70 $14 18¢ $13 $-1 07-02 23:00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? Yes +82 $14 16¢ $13 $-1 07-11 17:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 12¢ $12 +$4 06-27 19:08
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No -28 $-9 43¢ $-12 $-3 07-12 02:26
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $3 20¢ $10 +$7 07-17 09:47
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +85 $5 11¢ $9 +$4 07-08 22:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $10 13¢ $9 $-1 07-15 20:18
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? Yes +60 $4 13¢ $8 +$4 06-22 12:52
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -75 $-19 10¢ $-7 +$12 06-16 23:30
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes +135 $2 $7 +$5 06-01 19:18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? Yes +95 $7 $7 $-1 07-19 03:30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? Yes +66 $-2 10¢ $7 +$8 07-06 06:37
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -50 $-6 12¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 20:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +20 $6 29¢ $6 $-0 06-22 05:29
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +51 $4 11¢ $6 +$2 07-11 17:28
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $6 +$0 06-27 16:00
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +10 $-5 53¢ $5 +$11 07-01 07:49
Remote IPO before 2027? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 07-21 05:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes +54 $3 $5 +$2 06-30 11:00
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +40 $4 12¢ $5 +$0 07-14 04:30
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +35 $8 12¢ $4 $-4 06-02 16:57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? Yes +30 $4 15¢ $4 +$0 07-08 00:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes -35 $-6 12¢ $-4 +$2 07-08 19:57
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +25 $5 16¢ $4 $-1 06-05 18:12
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +67 $4 $4 $-0 07-07 14:22
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes +38 $2 10¢ $4 +$2 07-05 00:10
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $-1 15¢ $4 +$4 07-12 11:15