U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$912
Trades
137
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$10,232
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-30 18:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $20 | $193 | $174 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $21 | $18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $116 | $115 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $61 | $87 | $26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $18 | $123 | $105 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $8 | $7 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $99 | $99 |
| Below median | 10 | $12 | $31 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $86 | $86 |
| unranked | 15 | $50 | $69 | $19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +142 | $94 | $111 | 11 | 07-09 18:52 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 07-28 11:32 |
| Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 06-23 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-10 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5d…e92e | Yes | +34 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-04 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | +29 | $13 | $48 | 22 | 07-12 18:28 |
| Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-17 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +19 | $-10 | $31 | 10 | 06-23 13:11 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +14 | $7 | $33 | 4 | 06-19 19:37 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-09 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +10 | $-0 | $19 | 18 | 07-28 11:32 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 11:36 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +5 | $7 | $26 | 7 | 06-14 16:15 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 18:06 |
| Annual-Standpoint 0x3d28…4bdc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:40 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 18:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:32:30 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x6135ae… |
| 07-30 18:32:30 | Plush-Decadence 0x825c…dfa0 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x6135ae… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 158 | 86¢ | $136 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-17 15:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd52c57… |
| 07-17 15:26:27 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd52c57… |
| 07-16 19:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x56b02d… |
| 07-16 19:34:29 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x56b02d… |
| 07-16 19:29:02 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb7b47b… |
| 07-16 19:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb7b47b… |
| 07-16 19:19:46 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5e9dd6… |
| 07-16 19:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5e9dd6… |
| 07-16 13:12:10 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x1f8300… |
| 07-16 13:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x17e3…6320 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x1f8300… |
| 07-14 20:52:10 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe0aa9e… |
| 07-14 20:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe0aa9e… |
| 07-14 20:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x17e3…6320 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe0aa9e… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xddd9d9… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xddd9d9… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xddd9d9… |
| 07-12 12:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x29827d… |
| 07-12 12:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x29827d… |
| 07-10 18:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0x963753… |
| 07-10 18:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x963753… |
| 07-10 18:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x963753… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-07 11:36:44 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf2814f… |
| 07-07 11:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf2814f… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0xbd5d…e92e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 06-29 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x7b8c66… |
| 06-29 10:00:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x7b8c66… |
| 06-29 07:01:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9849f0… |
| 06-29 07:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9849f0… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd283bf… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd283bf… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3cfa8f… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3cfa8f… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd64d15… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd64d15… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xec3af1… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xec3af1… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb9c6d0… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb9c6d0… |
| 06-23 10:44:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x25b2c2… |
| 06-23 10:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x25b2c2… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x144e47… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x144e47… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1026c5… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1026c5… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x1026c5… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xc8645b… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xc8645b… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdc997c… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdc997c… |
| 06-23 08:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x78e1a2… |
| 06-23 08:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x78e1a2… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc40b45… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc40b45… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x5b821f… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x5b821f… |
| 06-23 02:37:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x48f9a1… |
| 06-23 02:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x48f9a1… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x35e073… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x35e073… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x35e073… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x8e1320… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x8e1320… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x3fd9e0… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x3fd9e0… |
| 06-22 22:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x44e8e5… |
| 06-22 22:53:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x44e8e5… |
| 06-22 10:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…094c | No | SELL | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x87ccc1… |
| 06-22 10:27:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x87ccc1… |
| 06-21 15:49:47 | Good-Horizon 0x729a…87be | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc68332… |
| 06-21 15:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc68332… |
| 06-19 19:37:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 75 | 62¢ | $47 | 0xbada1c… |
| 06-19 19:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 35 | 38¢ | $13 | 0xbada1c… |
| 06-19 19:37:32 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | SELL | 110 | 62¢ | $69 | 0xbada1c… |
| 06-19 19:37:16 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x398a1f… |
| 06-19 19:37:16 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x398a1f… |
| 06-19 19:37:07 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | SELL | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x36f137… |
| 06-19 19:37:07 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x36f137… |
| 06-18 18:06:28 | Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x1259d5… |
| 06-18 18:06:28 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x1259d5… |
| 06-18 18:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1259d5… |
| 06-18 18:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x577398… |
| 06-18 18:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x577398… |
| 06-18 18:05:59 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x577398… |
| 06-15 09:32:12 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…094c | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x14ecda… |
| 06-15 09:32:12 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x14ecda… |
| 06-14 16:15:24 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x2684ef… |