U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$290
Trades
40
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$10,232
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 09:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $8 | $4 | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $13 | $42 | $29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $8 | $23 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| Below median | 7 | $12 | $26 | $15 |
| unranked | 6 | $1 | $16 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | +111 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 06-05 21:56 |
| Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-11 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +33 | $-1 | $14 | 6 | 06-14 16:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 05:39 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +13 | $7 | $32 | 2 | 05-31 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d52…094c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 09:32 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +5 | $7 | $26 | 7 | 06-14 16:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-30 19:20 |
| Annual-Standpoint 0x3d28…4bdc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 09:32:12 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…094c | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x14ecda… |
| 06-15 09:32:12 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x14ecda… |
| 06-14 16:15:24 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x2684ef… |
| 06-14 16:15:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2684ef… |
| 06-14 15:43:52 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8224aa… |
| 06-14 15:43:52 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8224aa… |
| 06-14 14:35:33 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfcd459… |
| 06-14 14:35:33 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfcd459… |
| 06-11 22:34:39 | Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9dabbd… |
| 06-11 22:34:39 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x9dabbd… |
| 06-11 22:34:39 | Annual-Standpoint 0x3d28…4bdc | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x9dabbd… |
| 06-05 21:56:03 | Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | BUY | 99 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x425f99… |
| 06-05 21:56:03 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | BUY | 99 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x425f99… |
| 06-05 21:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe6b778… |
| 06-05 21:55:34 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xe6b778… |
| 06-02 09:42:06 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xef51f6… |
| 06-02 09:42:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xef51f6… |
| 06-02 09:40:16 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf3f5e3… |
| 06-02 09:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3f5e3… |
| 06-02 09:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb93eb2… |
| 06-02 09:31:08 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xb93eb2… |
| 06-02 09:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x48d9ae… |
| 06-02 09:20:16 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x48d9ae… |
| 06-01 05:39:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x23e946… |
| 06-01 05:39:43 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x23e946… |
| 06-01 05:39:43 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x23e946… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 27 | 71¢ | $19 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | Homely-Maintenance 0x8301…3bdc | No | SELL | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-30 19:20:35 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb684ed… |
| 05-30 19:20:35 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb684ed… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 49 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | Baggy-Square 0x9b8b…713b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | SELL | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-28 14:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2a9eb4… |
| 05-28 14:40:59 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x2a9eb4… |