U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,669
Trades
186
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$10,232
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-21 15:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $38 | $390 | $352 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $119 | $116 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $7 | $224 | $217 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $77 | $121 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $24 | $418 | $394 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $8 | $7 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $99 | $99 |
| Below median | 11 | $14 | $31 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $86 | $86 |
| unranked | 22 | $69 | $212 | $142 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | +234 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 08-20 03:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +142 | $94 | $111 | 11 | 07-09 18:52 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | +118 | $99 | $99 | 7 | 08-18 10:23 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 07-28 11:32 |
| Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +89 | $12 | $12 | 8 | 08-20 10:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | +77 | $65 | $65 | 4 | 08-18 10:23 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +63 | $10 | $15 | 7 | 08-21 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe773…e1b0 | Yes | +54 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-18 09:10 |
| Some-Rooster 0x0845…c4ed | No | +47 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 08-21 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-10 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5d…e92e | Yes | +34 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-04 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +32 | $3 | $27 | 23 | 08-21 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | +29 | $13 | $48 | 22 | 07-12 18:28 |
| Some-Rooster 0x0845…c4ed | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-20 03:43 |
| Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-17 15:26 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +14 | $7 | $33 | 4 | 06-19 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +11 | $-12 | $35 | 12 | 08-20 21:18 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-09 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f85…ecf9 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-20 21:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 11:36 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +5 | $7 | $26 | 7 | 06-14 16:15 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-21 06:25 |
| Annual-Standpoint 0x3d28…4bdc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:10:42 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | SELL | 25 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x0ea485… |
| 08-21 15:10:42 | Some-Rooster 0x0845…c4ed | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x0ea485… |
| 08-21 15:10:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0ea485… |
| 08-21 06:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x49ec3d… |
| 08-21 06:25:24 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x49ec3d… |
| 08-20 21:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5fd63d… |
| 08-20 21:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x4f85…ecf9 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x5fd63d… |
| 08-20 10:33:12 | Putrid-Partridge 0x507a…be1f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6d6580… |
| 08-20 10:33:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x6d6580… |
| 08-20 10:33:12 | Some-Rooster 0x0845…c4ed | No | BUY | 28 | 89¢ | $25 | 0x6d6580… |
| 08-20 03:43:46 | Some-Rooster 0x0845…c4ed | Yes | BUY | 24 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xa0da8e… |
| 08-20 03:43:46 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 210 | 84¢ | $177 | 0xa0da8e… |
| 08-20 03:43:46 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 234 | 84¢ | $197 | 0xa0da8e… |
| 08-18 10:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x48ca69… |
| 08-18 10:23:54 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x48ca69… |
| 08-18 10:23:54 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x43839c… |
| 08-18 10:23:54 | (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x43839c… |
| 08-18 09:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x0a17c2… |
| 08-18 09:10:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x0a17c2… |
| 08-18 09:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0a17c2… |
| 08-18 09:10:10 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x0a17c2… |
| 08-18 09:10:10 | Putrid-Partridge 0x507a…be1f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0a17c2… |
| 08-18 09:10:10 | (anonymous) 0xe773…e1b0 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x0a17c2… |
| 08-17 09:00:30 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xf76d71… |
| 08-17 09:00:30 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xf76d71… |
| 08-17 09:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | BUY | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0xd2301e… |
| 08-17 09:00:19 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0xd2301e… |
| 08-17 09:00:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 16¢ | $9 | 0xc58ef7… |
| 08-17 09:00:18 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 57 | 84¢ | $48 | 0xc58ef7… |
| 08-17 08:59:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x95dfa8… |
| 08-17 08:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x95dfa8… |
| 08-17 08:59:15 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x35372f… |
| 08-17 08:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x35372f… |
| 08-17 08:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x308d5f… |
| 08-17 08:59:03 | Putrid-Partridge 0x507a…be1f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xcc4e6b… |
| 08-17 08:59:03 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xcc4e6b… |
| 08-17 08:59:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x308d5f… |
| 08-17 08:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xc06938… |
| 08-17 08:43:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc06938… |
| 08-17 08:43:01 | Unacceptable-Diarist 0x3d77…04c9 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xc4f706… |
| 08-17 08:43:01 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xc4f706… |
| 08-17 02:57:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xff49e7… |
| 08-17 02:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xff49e7… |
| 08-16 09:21:40 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x78b480… |
| 08-16 09:21:40 | Unacceptable-Diarist 0x3d77…04c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x78b480… |
| 08-07 08:51:34 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x205fd1… |
| 08-07 08:51:34 | (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x205fd1… |
| 08-07 08:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x1a8ab8… |
| 08-07 08:51:33 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x1a8ab8… |
| 07-30 18:32:30 | Plush-Decadence 0x825c…dfa0 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x6135ae… |
| 07-30 18:32:30 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x6135ae… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 158 | 86¢ | $136 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-28 11:32:58 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0527dd… |
| 07-17 15:26:27 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd52c57… |
| 07-17 15:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd52c57… |
| 07-16 19:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x56b02d… |
| 07-16 19:34:29 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x56b02d… |
| 07-16 19:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb7b47b… |
| 07-16 19:29:02 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb7b47b… |
| 07-16 19:19:46 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5e9dd6… |
| 07-16 19:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5e9dd6… |
| 07-16 13:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x17e3…6320 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x1f8300… |
| 07-16 13:12:10 | Same-Abrogation 0x37b6…81e1 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x1f8300… |
| 07-14 20:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x17e3…6320 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe0aa9e… |
| 07-14 20:52:10 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe0aa9e… |
| 07-14 20:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe0aa9e… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xddd9d9… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xddd9d9… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xddd9d9… |
| 07-12 12:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x29827d… |
| 07-12 12:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x29827d… |
| 07-10 18:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0x963753… |
| 07-10 18:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x963753… |
| 07-10 18:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x963753… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x3eee03… |
| 07-07 11:36:44 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf2814f… |
| 07-07 11:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf2814f… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0xbd5d…e92e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 06-29 10:00:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x7b8c66… |
| 06-29 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x7b8c66… |
| 06-29 07:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9849f0… |
| 06-29 07:01:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9849f0… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd283bf… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd283bf… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3cfa8f… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3cfa8f… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd64d15… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd64d15… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xec3af1… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xec3af1… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb9c6d0… |