U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$599
Trades
104
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$10,232
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 11:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $20 | $101 | $82 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | $107 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $47 | $56 | $9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $18 | $116 | $98 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| Below median | 9 | $12 | $31 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 13 | $36 | $38 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +135 | $88 | $105 | 10 | 06-29 10:00 |
| Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 06-23 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5d…e92e | Yes | +34 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-04 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +19 | $-10 | $31 | 10 | 06-23 13:11 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-19 19:37 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +14 | $7 | $33 | 4 | 06-19 19:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +8 | $-0 | $11 | 7 | 07-04 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 11:36 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +5 | $7 | $26 | 7 | 06-14 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 08:47 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-30 19:20 |
| Annual-Standpoint 0x3d28…4bdc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 22:34 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-23 19:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 11:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf2814f… |
| 07-07 11:36:44 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xf2814f… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 07-04 10:50:35 | (anonymous) 0xbd5d…e92e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xe0e8e6… |
| 06-29 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x7b8c66… |
| 06-29 10:00:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x7b8c66… |
| 06-29 07:01:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9849f0… |
| 06-29 07:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9849f0… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd283bf… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd283bf… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3cfa8f… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3cfa8f… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd64d15… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd64d15… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xec3af1… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xec3af1… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb9c6d0… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb9c6d0… |
| 06-23 10:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x25b2c2… |
| 06-23 10:44:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x25b2c2… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x144e47… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x144e47… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1026c5… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x1026c5… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1026c5… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xc8645b… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xc8645b… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdc997c… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdc997c… |
| 06-23 08:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x78e1a2… |
| 06-23 08:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x78e1a2… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc40b45… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc40b45… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x5b821f… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x5b821f… |
| 06-23 02:37:05 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x48f9a1… |
| 06-23 02:37:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x48f9a1… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x35e073… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x35e073… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x35e073… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x8e1320… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x8e1320… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x3fd9e0… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x3fd9e0… |
| 06-22 22:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x44e8e5… |
| 06-22 22:53:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x44e8e5… |
| 06-22 10:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…094c | No | SELL | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x87ccc1… |
| 06-22 10:27:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x87ccc1… |
| 06-21 15:49:47 | Good-Horizon 0x729a…87be | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc68332… |
| 06-21 15:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc68332… |
| 06-19 19:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 35 | 38¢ | $13 | 0xbada1c… |
| 06-19 19:37:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 75 | 62¢ | $47 | 0xbada1c… |
| 06-19 19:37:32 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | SELL | 110 | 62¢ | $69 | 0xbada1c… |
| 06-19 19:37:16 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x398a1f… |
| 06-19 19:37:16 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x398a1f… |
| 06-19 19:37:07 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x36f137… |
| 06-19 19:37:07 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | SELL | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x36f137… |
| 06-18 18:06:28 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x1259d5… |
| 06-18 18:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1259d5… |
| 06-18 18:06:28 | Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x1259d5… |
| 06-18 18:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x577398… |
| 06-18 18:05:59 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x577398… |
| 06-18 18:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x577398… |
| 06-15 09:32:12 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…094c | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x14ecda… |
| 06-15 09:32:12 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x14ecda… |
| 06-14 16:15:24 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x2684ef… |
| 06-14 16:15:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2684ef… |
| 06-14 15:43:52 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8224aa… |
| 06-14 15:43:52 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8224aa… |
| 06-14 14:35:33 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfcd459… |
| 06-14 14:35:33 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfcd459… |
| 06-11 22:34:39 | Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9dabbd… |
| 06-11 22:34:39 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x9dabbd… |
| 06-11 22:34:39 | Annual-Standpoint 0x3d28…4bdc | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x9dabbd… |
| 06-05 21:56:03 | Weepy-Arrow 0x26ad…8c4e | Yes | BUY | 99 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x425f99… |
| 06-05 21:56:03 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | BUY | 99 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x425f99… |
| 06-05 21:55:34 | Creamy-Shoreline 0x2c2b…e55d | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xe6b778… |
| 06-05 21:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe6b778… |
| 06-02 09:42:06 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xef51f6… |
| 06-02 09:42:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xef51f6… |
| 06-02 09:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf3f5e3… |
| 06-02 09:40:16 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf3f5e3… |
| 06-02 09:31:08 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xb93eb2… |
| 06-02 09:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb93eb2… |
| 06-02 09:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x48d9ae… |
| 06-02 09:20:16 | Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x48d9ae… |
| 06-01 05:39:43 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x23e946… |
| 06-01 05:39:43 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x23e946… |
| 06-01 05:39:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x23e946… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | Homely-Maintenance 0x8301…3bdc | No | SELL | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 27 | 71¢ | $19 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-31 18:18:19 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xb0fbf4… |
| 05-30 19:20:35 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb684ed… |
| 05-30 19:20:35 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb684ed… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | Baggy-Square 0x9b8b…713b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 49 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x3ff048… |
| 05-30 19:20:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3ff048… |