Realized P&L
-$208
Unrealized P&L
-$1.14K
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
128
Trades
1,272
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$474
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 10-29 19:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Politics
81% 38% -$48
Other
18% 33% -$157
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +194 $185 97¢ $189 +$4 09-28 21:44
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +250 $34 29¢ $71 +$38 10-02 00:52
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +54 $52 97¢ $53 +$1 10-08 20:02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +460 $32 10¢ $44 +$12 10-29 17:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +306 $954 7¢ $21 -$933 09-13 08:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $34 30¢ $17 -$17 09-13 11:10
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +205 $42 8¢ $16 -$26 09-15 22:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +46 $20 36¢ $16 -$3 10-03 15:37
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +46 $17 23¢ $11 -$6 09-13 07:11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +281 $25 3¢ $9 -$16 10-29 19:31
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +32 $7 18¢ $6 -$1 10-01 16:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +68 $32 8¢ $5 -$27 09-13 08:34
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $10 8¢ $4 -$6 09-15 22:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $5 24¢ $3 -$2 09-13 07:11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +37 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 09-19 19:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +48 $51 4¢ $2 -$49 09-13 07:11
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +28 $73 6¢ $2 -$71 09-13 07:11
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +55 $16 2¢ $1 -$15 09-13 10:33
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +40 $8 2¢ $1 -$7 09-13 07:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +59 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 09-13 09:54
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 74¢ $0 +$1 09-13 06:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +0 -$1 80¢ $0 +$1 09-13 06:27