Unacceptable-Diarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.8%

Resolved

160

Trades

1,265

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 08-18 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

89% 30% -$885

Sports

8% 40% -$10

Crypto

3% 17% -$124

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	66	$2.3K	2,464	2,464	+0	No	-$7	07-10 07:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	26	$976	1,450	1,052	+398	Yes	+$316	08-11 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	13	$882	855	855	+0	Yes	+$62	07-10 17:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	50	$776	2,531	2,531	+0	No	-$25	07-10 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	14	$648	2,297	797	+1,500	No	-$1	07-09 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	3	$646	330	330	+0	No	+$5	08-10 05:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	50	$636	1,234	1,234	+0	Yes	+$41	07-14 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	22	$576	1,193	1,193	+0	Yes	-$188	08-14 08:37
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$496	2,060	2,060	+0	No	+$147	07-08 11:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	45	$488	830	694	+136	No	-$120	07-17 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	26	$482	693	463	+230	No	-$11	08-14 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	36	$455	536	536	+0	Yes	+$1	07-17 15:43
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$447	7,000	3,900	+3,100	No	-$107	07-06 00:56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	47	$444	2,900	1,318	+1,582	No	-$138	08-12 17:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	28	$361	927	927	-0	No	+$1	08-13 22:09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	22	$347	2,770	2,770	+0	No	-$237	07-09 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	45	$305	916	916	+0	No	-$10	07-14 15:46
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	5	$270	258	130	+128	No	-$10	07-05 22:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	9	$254	794	685	+109	No	-$37	07-09 22:49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$212	2,900	2,900	-0	No	+$90	07-07 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	28	$210	450	450	+0	No	-$6	08-16 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	9	$206	500	500	+0	No	-$118	08-11 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	13	$203	700	700	+0	No	-$12	07-17 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	5	$195	109	109	+0	No	+$3	08-15 05:13
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	2	$194	110	110	+0	Yes	+$13	07-07 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	10	$170	747	747	+0	No	+$1	08-10 05:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	43	$139	300	300	+0	No	-$55	08-18 13:05
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$139	2,010	0	+2,010	No	-$139	07-05 20:02
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	14	$127	327	327	+0	No	-$2	07-16 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	13	$110	338	273	+65	No	-$27	08-18 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 21:39:15	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	14¢	$29	0xf9fc43…
08-18 13:20:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xef4ee9…
08-18 13:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x1bf995…
08-18 13:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2cbbb2…
08-18 13:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x22d42e…
08-18 13:05:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x275852…
08-17 18:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x177930…
08-17 18:33:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa0103d…
08-17 16:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x40e477…
08-17 15:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf6c7b8…
08-17 15:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x85ed70…
08-17 15:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x628b4f…
08-17 15:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x67ed04…
08-17 15:31:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x28773d…
08-17 11:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x03c9c4…
08-17 10:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xc8190b…
08-17 08:43:31	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xdc7438…
08-17 08:43:15	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa9e27c…
08-17 08:43:09	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x519505…
08-17 08:43:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc4f706…
08-17 08:42:55	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe031d0…
08-17 08:42:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xae5b4f…
08-17 08:42:40	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xcc4162…
08-17 08:42:34	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xb062c2…
08-17 08:42:19	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x48ea07…
08-17 08:42:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe4e1d1…
08-17 08:42:04	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xa9ca74…
08-17 08:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?	Yes	SELL	160	8¢	$12	0x2b953c…
08-17 05:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 17?	Yes	BUY	548	0¢	$1	0x0366b3…
08-17 04:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?	Yes	BUY	160	19¢	$31	0x9e4c23…
08-17 00:42:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	10¢	$12	0x4eb4b3…
08-17 00:40:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	10¢	$15	0x7718bc…
08-16 23:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	968	1¢	$11	0x93d240…
08-16 23:53:45	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xc56e94…
08-16 23:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6b2a01…
08-16 23:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x08372d…
08-16 23:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x7c3b0b…
08-16 23:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	1¢	$2	0x1578ff…
08-16 23:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0xe3f07e…
08-16 23:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x884f2a…
08-16 23:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0xc75d28…
08-16 23:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xb88e28…
08-16 23:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x2a2b40…
08-16 23:37:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x769741…
08-16 23:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x542706…
08-16 23:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x285ac7…
08-16 23:03:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x6ca3f4…
08-16 23:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xdd9e37…
08-16 23:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x61f964…
08-16 20:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9b7ecc…
08-16 20:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x31efca…
08-16 20:21:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5addcf…
08-16 19:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x69ca53…
08-16 17:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x198942…
08-16 17:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa01e6e…
08-16 17:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x71b976…
08-16 15:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfadc4f…
08-16 14:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x656736…
08-16 13:43:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe7f57f…
08-16 09:34:33	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x83347d…
08-16 09:29:58	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3af745…
08-16 09:29:27	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcdb5c8…
08-16 09:28:46	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x21079a…
08-16 09:28:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x383877…
08-16 09:25:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x61ea8b…
08-16 09:24:16	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc12ad0…
08-16 09:21:40	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x78b480…
08-16 09:19:28	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd93995…
08-16 09:13:01	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xfdbe9f…
08-16 07:07:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x993741…
08-16 07:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xddf2d2…
08-16 00:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xfcd099…
08-16 00:41:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	18¢	$7	0xc37cc8…
08-16 00:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	39¢	$29	0x1b5b95…
08-16 00:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	26¢	$73	0xcd16a7…
08-15 23:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xa5e08d…
08-15 23:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xcf4408…
08-15 23:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x54cd89…
08-15 23:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x40a745…
08-15 13:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x72a833…
08-15 13:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0xb86cb3…
08-15 13:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x34730b…
08-15 12:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x45ba14…
08-15 12:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x3b2827…
08-15 12:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x37d3c3…
08-15 11:55:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x01b2a7…
08-15 11:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8c2d90…
08-15 11:51:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b6af9…
08-15 11:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc6ca43…
08-15 11:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xded338…
08-15 11:40:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xad0953…
08-15 11:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x167b26…
08-15 11:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8bef52…
08-15 11:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf8175f…
08-15 11:26:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x65e391…
08-15 11:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x66b524…
08-15 11:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfbf508…
08-15 11:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb55d91…
08-15 11:23:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf1e5af…
08-15 11:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x612e12…