Realized P&L
-$561
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
1,875
Trades
28,763
lifetime
Volume
$38.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-28 01:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
34% 45% -$398
Sports
28% 45% +$27
Crypto
27% 41% +$73
Politics
10% 53% -$289
Tech
1% 67% +$56
Pop-Culture
0% 21% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta join the US? No -7 -$7 98¢ $-6 +$0 05-09 01:50
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 05-03 19:55
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No -6 -$4 61¢ $-4 +$1 05-04 02:59
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 +5 $3 67¢ $3 $0 05-09 15:49
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-02 23:49
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +0 $0 80¢ $0 $0 05-06 04:05
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +0 -$8 95¢ $0 +$8 07-18 11:58
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 05-09 02:36
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 05-06 08:55
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +0 $0 64¢ $0 $0 05-11 19:43
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +0 $1 60¢ $0 -$1 05-15 12:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 44¢ $0 $0 05-23 10:03
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-03 22:44
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 05-08 19:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -0 $0 29¢ $-0 $0 09-08 10:37
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes -1 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 09-17 11:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 09-22 18:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-16 23:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes -3 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 09-26 17:18
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 05-23 10:36
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes -0 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 08-06 21:51
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-23 16:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-23 09:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-08 13:12
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 09-03 00:02
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -0 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 09-19 14:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-09 06:28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-09 21:02
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-20 20:13