(anonymous) 0xe77368…75e1b0
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Realized P&L
-$762
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
252
Trades
426
lifetime
Volume
$6.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$285
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 10-27 08:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
82% 54% -$630
Politics
15% 30% -$109
Crypto
3% 18% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +200 $40 21¢ $43 +$3 07-04 06:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +61 $20 62¢ $38 +$18 08-18 11:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +45 $15 44¢ $20 +$5 10-18 20:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +271 $25 6¢ $18 -$7 08-28 04:10
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +476 $40 4¢ $17 -$23 07-02 08:46
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +16 $5 99¢ $16 +$11 10-25 16:02
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +16 $5 99¢ $16 +$11 10-27 04:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +18 $5 77¢ $14 +$9 10-26 02:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +12 $9 98¢ $12 +$3 10-06 00:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +16 $5 65¢ $10 +$5 08-25 08:33
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +9 $4 98¢ $8 +$5 08-04 01:25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $5 16¢ $8 +$3 08-25 15:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +16 $5 48¢ $8 +$3 10-02 12:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $5 73¢ $7 +$3 10-27 08:02
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +143 $10 5¢ $7 -$3 08-09 14:11
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +7 $5 92¢ $6 +$2 08-25 12:05
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +6 $4 93¢ $5 +$1 07-05 21:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +16 $5 32¢ $5 +$0 10-06 12:01
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +25 $10 19¢ $5 -$5 08-19 17:26
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +98 $5 5¢ $5 $0 08-20 21:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +186 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 06-30 20:07
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +29 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 09-16 12:55
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +62 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 08-30 22:09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 16¢ $1 -$3 08-25 08:33
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +66 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 08-18 18:03
ukraine election called by december 31 2026 Yes +27 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 08-20 15:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +102 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 10-11 23:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +71 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-26 16:02
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +12 $1 7¢ $1 $0 08-17 06:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +11 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 10-01 08:00