Ripe-Cake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$360

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

18,883

lifetime

Volume

$3.51M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

48% 80% +$337

Other

42% 75% $-3

Sports

5% 71% +$27

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	535	$111.6K	88,884	75,842	+13,042	open	—	01-23 09:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	93	$54.5K	30,006	29,962	+44	open	—	03-01 05:43
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	307	$53.9K	34,099	33,789	+310	open	—	04-02 15:42
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	192	$51.4K	32,121	31,438	+683	open	—	05-11 04:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	340	$50.4K	44,758	45,052	-294	open	—	05-29 18:48
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	37	$43.2K	27,311	16,054	+11,257	open	—	01-03 17:08
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	239	$41.1K	34,929	34,148	+781	open	—	03-25 12:13
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	233	$40.6K	16,720	24,623	-7,903	open	—	01-22 09:35
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	72	$38.8K	29,468	14,468	+15,000	open	—	04-10 03:43
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	58	$38.7K	15,279	24,263	-8,984	open	—	01-15 04:14
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	67	$36.5K	25,958	12,581	+13,377	open	—	02-09 04:35
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	47	$35.5K	18,739	17,821	+918	open	—	02-28 07:04
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	106	$32.4K	19,320	19,446	-126	open	—	05-13 07:21
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	27	$31.3K	21,354	10,800	+10,554	open	—	02-19 18:06
will iran strike turkey in march	148	$31.1K	17,601	18,164	-563	open	—	03-24 10:26
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	64	$30.3K	21,437	12,709	+8,728	open	—	02-09 03:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	77	$29.9K	18,338	17,338	+1,000	open	—	04-23 03:02
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	8	$29.6K	20,995	9,107	+11,888	open	—	02-24 00:26
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	59	$29.3K	19,823	12,349	+7,474	open	—	03-11 04:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	47	$28.1K	14,651	14,950	-299	open	—	03-19 17:08
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	70	$27.1K	13,454	13,941	-487	open	—	02-08 10:50
Iran leadership change by March 13?	51	$26.3K	13,822	13,822	+0	open	—	03-14 09:17
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	49	$25.7K	15,047	13,401	+1,647	open	—	02-28 07:13
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	157	$25.3K	18,332	9,423	+8,909	open	—	01-27 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	136	$24.1K	16,615	14,455	+2,160	open	—	04-27 12:33
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	80	$24.1K	14,403	10,948	+3,455	open	—	02-19 07:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	45	$24.0K	11,545	13,490	-1,946	open	—	04-30 12:21
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	23	$22.5K	12,200	12,200	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	146	$21.5K	15,271	14,109	+1,163	open	—	03-16 05:25
fact check maduro capture staged	41	$21.4K	11,666	10,247	+1,419	open	—	03-30 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:52:40	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3123a9…
08-12 08:34:24	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	809	98¢	$794	0xa3120f…
08-12 06:54:58	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	SELL	240	90¢	$216	0x548ac9…
08-12 04:52:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xd37ec6…
08-12 04:52:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb9bec6…
08-12 04:52:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x4f15d1…
08-12 04:51:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	588	98¢	$575	0x7428a4…
08-12 04:51:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0xc9f919…
08-12 04:51:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xd2e047…
08-12 03:36:58	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x98166d…
08-12 00:31:18	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xbf062b…
08-11 21:54:04	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xccd9ef…
08-11 21:13:19	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x03603c…
08-11 21:05:30	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	113	90¢	$102	0x9beacb…
08-11 17:17:30	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by august 31 20260731174241516	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xe31179…
08-11 17:17:18	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by august 31 20260731174241516	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x7727d8…
08-11 17:17:13	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by august 31 20260731174241516	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xf67e51…
08-11 17:17:06	will bytedances valuation hit high 600b by august 31 20260731174241517	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x81c979…
08-11 16:28:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	688	79¢	$544	0x8a1b33…
08-11 14:56:57	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc28343…
08-11 12:08:51	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc6f470…
08-11 11:04:43	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb6aa11…
08-11 10:51:45	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	333	79¢	$263	0xae9112…
08-11 10:41:04	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0xd42996…
08-11 10:39:31	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	185	84¢	$155	0x9ddbac…
08-11 08:33:19	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	150	85¢	$127	0x29e2ad…
08-11 08:30:21	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	188	70¢	$132	0xc85adc…
08-11 08:20:58	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x935ab7…
08-11 08:13:36	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x28f0ae…
08-11 08:09:42	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x943fa5…
08-11 07:59:39	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	239	85¢	$203	0x27e2a3…
08-11 07:39:57	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	188	94¢	$177	0x33827b…
08-11 07:34:58	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x759534…
08-11 06:58:49	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x457ea8…
08-11 06:41:34	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	219	76¢	$167	0xdec67c…
08-11 06:28:25	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x779883…
08-11 06:08:36	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	144	95¢	$137	0xc12477…
08-11 06:07:58	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	222	86¢	$191	0xe6917f…
08-11 03:53:36	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa7a93d…
08-11 03:52:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	388	94¢	$365	0x953981…
08-11 02:03:12	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	848	94¢	$797	0x21cc23…
08-11 02:01:37	will any former nba player be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	684	4¢	$27	0x4d1a9c…
08-11 01:55:46	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	198	76¢	$150	0xc9ea40…
08-11 01:52:04	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0xe66cd9…
08-11 01:51:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xaeba21…
08-11 01:38:40	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xfcc5c8…
08-11 01:38:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xc3e3d2…
08-11 01:22:43	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x5cbe85…
08-10 17:19:22	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x022e77…
08-10 15:24:45	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x4ff2b4…
08-10 14:56:00	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	666	90¢	$599	0x0c8da7…
08-10 14:55:09	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	183	86¢	$157	0x24410a…
08-10 14:54:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xa23d5a…
08-10 13:46:19	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	188	88¢	$165	0x5f8ef0…
08-10 12:42:34	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	193	77¢	$148	0x251ef9…
08-10 10:08:10	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	87	74¢	$64	0xce0276…
08-10 09:05:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x84634e…
08-10 09:02:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xd056f8…
08-10 04:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	888	49¢	$435	0xf8812e…
08-10 03:05:55	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x949c0f…
08-10 03:05:55	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	110	88¢	$97	0x3a50d4…
08-10 02:45:01	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xc37897…
08-10 01:49:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xfd3464…
08-10 00:39:25	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	SELL	281	94¢	$263	0xbf8e9a…
08-09 23:37:16	us x china tariff agreement by august 31 20260730193605176	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x9db835…
08-09 23:37:12	us x china tariff agreement by august 31 20260730193605176	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xfa1f5d…
08-09 17:03:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	1,342	97¢	$1,298	0x5ed8de…
08-09 16:38:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xf5c26c…
08-09 13:13:07	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	109	87¢	$95	0x4afd3b…
08-09 12:41:06	will jared kushner visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126052	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7ae0b1…
08-09 12:27:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	179	35¢	$63	0x069110…
08-09 12:14:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x17e22b…
08-09 12:13:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xf96953…
08-09 12:11:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	124	72¢	$89	0xf996cf…
08-09 12:11:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	76	72¢	$55	0xf8008f…
08-09 12:07:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x81e462…
08-09 11:58:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xfe6763…
08-09 11:58:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x4fea17…
08-09 11:56:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	174	38¢	$66	0xccde3f…
08-09 11:55:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	888	45¢	$400	0x7e25fc…
08-09 11:54:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	600	39¢	$234	0x143a5c…
08-09 11:53:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x305c01…
08-09 11:49:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	49	25¢	$12	0xf08493…
08-09 11:40:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x6ce819…
08-09 11:33:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	62	38¢	$24	0x13591d…
08-09 11:31:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	388	37¢	$144	0x625f36…
08-09 11:28:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x7c9e82…
08-09 11:28:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	466	40¢	$186	0x3bbbb0…
08-09 11:26:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	189	38¢	$72	0xf2ccdc…
08-09 11:24:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x50eafc…
08-09 11:07:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	888	27¢	$240	0xab6832…
08-09 11:07:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	27¢	$540	0x9c7d14…
08-09 11:06:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xba5820…
08-09 05:32:13	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x3287a9…
08-09 05:30:22	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x8aee3f…
08-09 04:19:52	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	138	84¢	$116	0x366dd4…
08-09 04:19:46	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$847	0x350582…
08-09 03:35:25	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	No	BUY	111	80¢	$89	0xaf3998…
08-09 03:19:46	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x1b8d1b…
08-09 03:19:30	will jared kushner visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126052	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xc9b889…