Realized P&L
+$360
Unrealized P&L
+$246
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
40
Trades
17,625
lifetime
Volume
$3.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$8.63K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 17:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
49% 80% +$337
Other
42% 75% $-3
Sports
4% 71% +$27
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,862 $2,969 52¢ $2.0K $-980 07-20 14:07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +2,030 $1,450 78¢ $1.6K +$134 07-22 14:06
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,257 $895 82¢ $1.0K +$135 07-17 16:31
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +1,000 $949 95¢ $946 $-2 07-21 14:33
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -850 $-902 91¢ $-772 +$130 07-04 04:14
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +666 $613 99¢ $659 +$46 07-13 10:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +408 $317 80¢ $326 +$9 07-21 14:40
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +258 $237 93¢ $241 +$4 07-21 20:10
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +200 $170 97¢ $193 +$23 07-13 10:17
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +200 $189 96¢ $192 +$3 07-14 06:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +223 $-23 78¢ $173 +$196 07-02 06:50
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No -172 $-155 91¢ $-156 $-1 06-14 10:39
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +106 $95 88¢ $94 $-1 07-20 16:39
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -100 $-155 92¢ $-93 +$62 07-19 12:13
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -55 $-178 90¢ $-50 +$128 07-10 01:01
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +105 $34 32¢ $33 $-1 07-06 11:33
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +51 $34 62¢ $31 $-3 07-15 15:44
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No -30 $-27 92¢ $-28 $-1 05-28 07:48
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +13 $11 96¢ $13 +$2 07-13 10:17
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +10 $-162 98¢ $10 +$171 06-30 16:06
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +21 $2 42¢ $9 +$7 07-13 14:41
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +10 $-119 58¢ $6 +$125 07-16 15:42
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +0 $-60 $0 +$60 06-11 19:36