Realized P&L
+$360
Unrealized P&L
+$603
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
40
Trades
15,861
lifetime
Volume
$3.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$198
Open exposure
$13.9K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
50% 80% +$337
Other
40% 75% $-3
Sports
4% 71% +$27
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -5,000 $-3,520 68¢ $-3375 +$145 06-01 14:00
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,603 80¢ $-1590 +$13 06-01 13:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,606 $964 63¢ $1.0K +$48 06-01 13:40
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1,027 $-1,032 98¢ $-1009 +$23 06-01 09:32
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,105 $853 88¢ $972 +$119 06-10 06:05
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +951 $901 98¢ $935 +$34 06-07 21:58
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +1,010 $889 89¢ $900 +$11 06-10 05:40
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +935 $880 96¢ $895 +$14 06-09 03:55
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +817 $703 88¢ $717 +$14 06-09 05:39
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30? No +549 $511 96¢ $525 +$14 06-03 06:55
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +540 $381 76¢ $411 +$30 06-10 01:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $370 76¢ $382 +$12 06-07 11:21
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +426 $284 74¢ $318 +$33 06-10 07:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +1,854 $144 11¢ $195 +$51 06-10 07:15
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +208 $181 89¢ $186 +$5 06-09 05:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +200 $154 88¢ $177 +$23 06-01 10:42
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +200 $130 66¢ $132 +$2 06-03 15:13
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +100 $98 97¢ $97 $-1 06-10 03:52
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No +40 $24 70¢ $28 +$4 06-01 09:55
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No -30 $-27 92¢ $-28 $-0 05-28 07:48
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 05-29 13:53
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No +15 $12 87¢ $13 +$0 06-01 06:52
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No -55 $-5 $-1 +$4 05-29 09:36
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +0 $-4 90¢ $0 +$5 05-29 21:23