Realized P&L
+$360
Unrealized P&L
+$365
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
40
Trades
17,611
lifetime
Volume
$3.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$9.74K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
49% 80% +$337
Other
42% 75% $-3
Sports
4% 71% +$27
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,862 $2,969 55¢ $2.1K $-864 07-20 14:07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +2,183 $1,572 78¢ $1.7K +$131 07-21 14:19
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,200 $1,113 93¢ $1.1K +$2 07-20 16:15
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +1,257 $895 81¢ $1.0K +$122 07-17 16:31
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +1,000 $949 96¢ $956 +$8 07-21 14:33
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -850 $-902 90¢ $-769 +$133 07-04 04:14
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +666 $613 98¢ $654 +$41 07-13 10:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +408 $317 82¢ $336 +$19 07-21 14:40
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +200 $170 97¢ $195 +$25 07-13 10:17
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +200 $189 97¢ $194 +$5 07-14 06:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +223 $-23 76¢ $171 +$194 07-02 06:50
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No -172 $-155 91¢ $-156 $-1 06-14 10:39
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +106 $95 88¢ $94 $-1 07-20 16:39
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -100 $-155 93¢ $-93 +$62 07-19 12:13
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -55 $-178 90¢ $-50 +$128 07-10 01:01
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +51 $34 66¢ $33 $-1 07-15 15:44
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +105 $34 31¢ $33 $-1 07-06 11:33
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No -30 $-27 92¢ $-28 $-1 05-28 07:48
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +13 $11 97¢ $13 +$2 07-13 10:17
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +10 $-162 98¢ $10 +$171 06-30 16:06
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +21 $2 42¢ $9 +$7 07-13 14:41
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +10 $-119 58¢ $6 +$125 07-16 15:42
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +0 $-60 $0 +$60 06-11 19:36