Ripe-Cake 0xeec50e…7fb6fe
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$53.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.66K
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
2,081
Trades
26,257
lifetime
Volume
$4.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$166
Open exposure
$22.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 277 days
Categories
Politics
45% 84% +$26,775
Other
45% 83% +$22,329
Sports
5% 86% +$4,665
Crypto
3% 84% -$2,596
Tech
2% 91% +$2,031
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +4,500 $3,276 65¢ $2.9K -$351 10-20 06:05
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +3,007 $2,077 90¢ $2.7K +$629 10-25 09:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,888 $2,641 92¢ $2.6K +$2 10-25 10:36
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +3,000 $2,207 69¢ $2.1K -$137 10-18 10:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +2,544 $538 78¢ $2.0K +$1,434 10-26 10:09
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +2,046 -$109 82¢ $1.7K +$1,787 10-24 14:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,666 $1,144 70¢ $1.2K +$30 10-23 16:53
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,143 -$999 98¢ $-1116 -$117 07-20 03:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $931 94¢ $940 +$9 10-25 12:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,333 $823 66¢ $873 +$50 10-22 14:48
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +999 $849 86¢ $854 +$5 10-25 04:46
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +666 $573 86¢ $569 -$3 10-25 03:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +666 $559 82¢ $543 -$17 10-08 06:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +666 $501 74¢ $490 -$11 10-25 06:29
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +888 $386 47¢ $417 +$31 10-18 14:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +333 $315 97¢ $323 +$8 10-14 04:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -236 -$287 96¢ $-227 +$60 07-15 12:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +333 $214 66¢ $218 +$4 10-25 04:23
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +256 $26 71¢ $182 +$155 10-26 20:14
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $152 68¢ $152 $0 10-25 03:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +200 $79 63¢ $126 +$47 10-17 02:34
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +111 $84 98¢ $109 +$26 10-25 15:33
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +111 $99 94¢ $105 +$6 09-29 02:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$6 10-23 14:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +111 $91 82¢ $92 +$1 10-25 03:27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +111 $69 65¢ $72 +$3 10-16 15:04
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +84 $60 74¢ $63 +$2 10-03 01:57
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +66 $41 62¢ $41 $0 10-26 03:41
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,111 $27 3¢ $32 +$5 10-23 11:00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $22 88¢ $22 $0 10-26 13:22