Realized P&L
+$53.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.39K
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
2,093
Trades
26,453
lifetime
Volume
$4.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$165
Open exposure
$17.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 279 days
Categories
Politics
45% 84% +$26,842
Other
45% 83% +$22,258
Sports
5% 85% +$4,640
Crypto
3% 84% -$2,596
Tech
2% 91% +$2,031
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,888 $2,641 92¢ $2.7K +$31 10-25 10:36
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +3,678 $2,691 68¢ $2.5K -$172 10-28 00:21
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +3,000 $2,207 70¢ $2.1K -$122 10-18 10:54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +1,989 $1,171 88¢ $1.8K +$589 10-28 14:48
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1,509 -$555 84¢ $1.3K +$1,815 10-29 05:54
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,143 -$999 98¢ $-1118 -$119 07-20 03:24
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +999 $876 92¢ $914 +$38 10-28 14:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,333 $823 68¢ $900 +$77 10-22 14:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,000 $645 72¢ $715 +$70 10-28 02:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +777 $517 68¢ $532 +$15 10-29 02:41
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +640 $503 82¢ $528 +$25 10-28 00:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +666 $501 70¢ $470 -$31 10-25 06:29
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +405 $247 66¢ $267 +$20 10-28 12:34
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +333 $211 69¢ $230 +$19 10-27 21:49
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -236 -$287 96¢ $-227 +$60 07-15 12:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $152 68¢ $152 $0 10-25 03:56
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +111 $84 100¢ $111 +$27 10-25 15:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +200 $79 55¢ $109 +$30 10-17 02:34
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +111 $99 98¢ $108 +$9 09-29 02:39
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +111 $102 92¢ $103 +$1 10-27 10:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$6 10-23 14:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +111 $91 82¢ $90 -$1 10-25 03:27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +111 $83 74¢ $83 -$1 10-29 04:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +84 $60 70¢ $59 -$1 10-03 01:57
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +66 $41 56¢ $37 -$4 10-26 03:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +66 $41 52¢ $35 -$7 10-28 13:34
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,111 $27 3¢ $32 +$5 10-23 11:00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $22 88¢ $22 $0 10-26 13:22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$1 10-15 01:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +20 $2 85¢ $17 +$15 07-27 15:22