Realized P&L (30d)
+$175
Unrealized P&L
+$4.73K
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved (30d)
140
Trades (30d)
2,027
27,234 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$206.0K
$4.45M lifetime
Avg / trade
$163
Open exposure
$15.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 04:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 284 days
Categories
Politics
46% 85% +$28,101
Other
44% 83% +$20,748
Sports
5% 85% +$4,485
Crypto
3% 84% -$2,583
Tech
2% 91% +$2,031
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,333 $2,290 78¢ $2.6K +$293 11-01 02:05
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,940 $1,832 66¢ $1.9K +$94 11-01 16:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,567 $1,850 74¢ $1.9K +$63 11-02 10:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +2,000 $1,181 88¢ $1.8K +$579 11-02 02:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,512 $1,157 78¢ $1.2K +$19 11-03 04:09
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,143 -$999 98¢ $-1117 -$118 07-20 03:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +888 $741 94¢ $839 +$99 10-31 23:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,166 $866 72¢ $834 -$32 11-01 02:37
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +1,110 $712 62¢ $694 -$19 11-01 13:34
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +763 $506 74¢ $569 +$63 11-02 09:07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +500 $373 86¢ $428 +$54 11-01 08:58
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -236 -$287 96¢ $-227 +$60 07-15 12:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +335 $198 66¢ $219 +$21 11-02 06:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $180 80¢ $201 +$21 10-29 11:49
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +222 -$1,640 85¢ $189 +$1,829 11-01 08:15
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,412 -$16 12¢ $163 +$179 10-31 01:57
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $152 72¢ $159 +$6 10-25 03:56
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +111 $102 94¢ $104 +$2 10-27 10:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? No +100 $71 96¢ $96 +$25 11-03 05:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +111 $91 84¢ $93 +$2 10-25 03:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +111 -$1,410 80¢ $89 +$1,499 10-31 02:17
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +111 $83 76¢ $85 +$2 10-29 04:46
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $72 70¢ $70 -$1 11-03 00:19
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $75 70¢ $70 -$6 10-31 18:27
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +84 $60 72¢ $60 $0 10-03 01:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,111 $27 4¢ $42 +$15 10-23 11:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +66 $41 53¢ $35 -$6 10-28 13:34
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +66 $41 38¢ $25 -$16 10-26 03:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $22 85¢ $21 -$1 10-26 13:22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 10-15 01:26