Ripe-Cake 0xeec50e…7fb6fe
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$283
Unrealized P&L
+$2.51K
Hit rate
92.3%
Resolved (7d)
28
Trades (7d)
480
26,482 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$57.4K
$4.38M lifetime
Avg / trade
$165
Open exposure
$16.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 279 days
Categories
Politics
45% 84% +$26,842
Other
45% 83% +$22,264
Sports
5% 85% +$4,640
Crypto
3% 84% -$2,596
Tech
2% 91% +$2,031
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,888 $2,641 92¢ $2.7K +$31 10-25 10:36
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +3,000 $2,207 70¢ $2.1K -$122 10-18 10:54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +1,989 $1,171 88¢ $1.8K +$589 10-28 14:48
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1,433 -$619 84¢ $1.2K +$1,815 10-29 17:51
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,143 -$999 98¢ $-1118 -$119 07-20 03:24
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,110 $976 91¢ $1.0K +$34 10-29 17:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,333 $823 68¢ $913 +$90 10-22 14:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes — +1,110 $1,041 68¢ $756 -$285 10-29 20:06
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +1,000 $645 76¢ $755 +$110 10-28 02:43
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +888 $704 83¢ $737 +$33 10-29 23:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +777 $517 70¢ $540 +$23 10-29 02:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +666 $480 76¢ $509 +$30 10-29 11:49
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +666 $501 71¢ $473 -$28 10-25 06:29
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +405 $247 62¢ $253 +$6 10-28 12:34
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -236 -$287 96¢ $-228 +$59 07-15 12:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $180 76¢ $191 +$11 10-29 11:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $152 70¢ $157 +$4 10-25 03:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +212 $92 64¢ $135 +$43 10-29 21:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +200 $79 58¢ $117 +$38 10-17 02:34
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +111 $84 99¢ $110 +$26 10-25 15:33
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +111 $99 96¢ $106 +$7 09-29 02:39
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +111 $103 93¢ $103 +$0 10-29 17:17
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +111 $102 90¢ $100 -$2 10-27 10:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +111 -$33 90¢ $99 +$132 10-29 22:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$6 10-23 14:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +111 $91 82¢ $92 +$1 10-25 03:27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +111 $83 71¢ $79 -$4 10-29 04:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +84 $60 70¢ $59 -$1 10-03 01:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +66 $41 53¢ $35 -$6 10-28 13:34
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +66 $41 52¢ $34 -$7 10-26 03:41