Realized P&L
+$53.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.59K
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
2,101
Trades
26,824
lifetime
Volume
$4.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$164
Open exposure
$16.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 281 days
Categories
Politics
46% 84% +$26,842
Other
44% 83% +$22,400
Sports
5% 85% +$4,293
Crypto
3% 84% -$2,596
Tech
2% 91% +$2,031
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,888 $2,641 94¢ $2.7K +$89 10-25 10:36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +1,989 $1,171 88¢ $1.8K +$579 10-28 14:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +1,333 $1,242 94¢ $1.2K +$7 10-31 05:28
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1,343 -$694 84¢ $1.1K +$1,816 10-31 05:57
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,143 -$999 98¢ $-1117 -$118 07-20 03:24
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,110 $976 92¢ $1.0K +$51 10-29 17:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,332 $911 70¢ $939 +$28 10-30 16:03
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +999 $798 85¢ $849 +$52 10-30 14:50
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +1,002 $703 76¢ $762 +$58 10-31 14:03
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +1,000 $651 72¢ $725 +$74 10-30 13:52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +666 $480 81¢ $539 +$60 10-29 11:49
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +666 $501 72¢ $476 -$24 10-25 06:29
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +555 $329 69¢ $383 +$54 10-31 15:35
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +555 $338 62¢ $344 +$6 10-30 06:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +333 $268 86¢ $288 +$20 10-30 14:55
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -236 -$287 96¢ $-227 +$60 07-15 12:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $180 82¢ $204 +$24 10-29 11:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $152 74¢ $163 +$11 10-25 03:56
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,412 -$16 11¢ $160 +$175 10-31 01:57
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +111 $84 100¢ $111 +$27 10-25 15:33
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +111 $99 99¢ $110 +$11 09-29 02:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +200 $79 53¢ $106 +$27 10-17 02:34
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +111 $103 95¢ $106 +$2 10-29 17:17
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +111 $102 92¢ $102 -$1 10-27 10:36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +111 $91 81¢ $90 -$1 10-25 03:27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +111 $83 80¢ $89 +$6 10-29 04:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +111 -$1,410 80¢ $89 +$1,499 10-31 02:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +84 $60 72¢ $60 $0 10-03 01:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,111 $27 3¢ $36 +$9 10-23 11:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +66 $41 52¢ $35 -$7 10-28 13:34