Realized P&L
+$56.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.29K
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
2,170
Trades
27,362
lifetime
Volume
$4.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$164
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 15:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Politics
46% 85% +$31,675
Other
44% 83% +$21,196
Sports
5% 85% +$4,485
Crypto
3% 84% -$2,583
Tech
2% 91% +$2,031
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3,413 $1,338 86¢ $2.9K +$1,579 11-04 15:47
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,940 $1,832 68¢ $2.0K +$153 11-01 16:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +2,000 $1,181 88¢ $1.8K +$579 11-02 02:37
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -1,143 -$999 98¢ $-1116 -$116 07-20 03:24
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +1,110 $712 59¢ $655 -$58 11-01 13:34
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +500 $373 92¢ $460 +$87 11-01 08:58
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -236 -$287 96¢ $-226 +$60 07-15 12:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +335 $198 68¢ $226 +$28 11-02 06:27
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +280 $129 76¢ $211 +$83 11-03 19:41
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +222 -$1,640 90¢ $199 +$1,839 11-01 08:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +188 $84 95¢ $179 +$94 11-04 13:12
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,412 -$16 12¢ $169 +$185 10-31 01:57
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +111 $102 96¢ $107 +$4 10-27 10:36
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +111 $83 92¢ $103 +$19 10-29 04:46
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $72 62¢ $61 -$10 11-03 00:19
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,111 $27 3¢ $38 +$12 10-23 11:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +66 $41 50¢ $33 -$9 10-28 13:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +25 $22 72¢ $18 -$4 10-26 13:22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 10-15 01:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -16 -$14 92¢ $-15 -$1 09-18 07:13
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +20 $2 71¢ $14 +$12 07-27 15:22
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +20 -$118 29¢ $6 +$124 07-27 15:21
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $23 8¢ $2 -$21 11-04 03:11
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +34 $9 3¢ $1 -$8 08-24 14:14
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +0 -$24 98¢ $0 +$24 06-27 00:27
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +0 -$315 90¢ $0 +$315 10-03 14:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -0 -$4 98¢ $-0 +$4 10-27 00:07
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +0 -$158 82¢ $0 +$158 10-27 09:36
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +0 -$35 84¢ $0 +$35 10-30 22:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +0 -$120 96¢ $0 +$120 08-01 20:40