Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
46
Trades
4,890
lifetime
Volume
$7.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$139
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
42% 69% +$32
Other
35% 44% $-1
Sports
24% 47% +$8
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +25 $21 86¢ $21 +$1 06-05 13:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-16 84¢ $-17 $-1 06-07 01:30
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +15 $12 89¢ $13 +$1 06-04 13:43
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? No +10 $7 81¢ $8 +$1 05-31 12:28
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-04 09:18
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +10 $7 71¢ $7 +$0 06-02 15:53
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-6 +$0 06-06 22:59
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 15:39
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 16:25
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 +$0 06-09 09:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 +$0 06-09 00:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 05-28 22:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 +$0 05-31 15:03
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 +$0 06-09 19:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +6 $3 64¢ $4 +$1 06-04 00:00
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +6 $3 64¢ $4 +$1 06-08 20:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $1 70¢ $3 +$2 05-29 15:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 05-28 15:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +25 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-09 12:59
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? No -10 $-3 24¢ $-2 +$1 06-01 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-2 32¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 22:37
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +5 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 06-07 19:30
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No +25 $2 $2 $-0 06-03 17:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -5 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$1 06-01 15:57
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:36
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 29¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 19:46
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? No +20 $0 $0 +$0 06-03 19:35
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 06-07 16:14
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-08 22:28
Weed rescheduled by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 04:46