Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
46
Trades
5,430
lifetime
Volume
$9.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$394
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
46% 69% +$32
Other
35% 44% $-1
Sports
20% 47% +$8
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -52 $-51 100¢ $-51 $-1 06-19 10:31
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +50 $47 99¢ $50 +$3 06-22 06:40
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +40 $34 89¢ $36 +$2 06-23 18:58
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -27 $-26 97¢ $-26 $-0 06-20 14:50
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +30 $19 78¢ $23 +$4 06-18 14:43
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +20 $13 93¢ $19 +$5 06-14 21:58
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No -20 $-18 92¢ $-18 $-1 06-16 11:52
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +19 $13 90¢ $17 +$3 06-22 19:01
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +16 $10 84¢ $13 +$4 06-24 12:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -15 $-14 68¢ $-10 +$4 06-30 20:31
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30? No -11 $-8 88¢ $-10 $-2 06-25 14:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -10 $-23 100¢ $-10 +$13 06-19 23:25
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 +$0 06-22 14:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 +$0 06-27 10:36
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-04 09:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10 $-9 86¢ $-9 +$0 06-14 07:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -10 $-9 84¢ $-8 +$0 06-29 19:37
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$2 06-02 15:53
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 06-24 06:24
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -8 $-6 64¢ $-5 +$1 06-24 23:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +9 $4 58¢ $5 +$1 06-26 10:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -5 $-4 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 20:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 00:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-14 01:33
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No -5 $-5 89¢ $-4 +$1 06-17 05:28
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 06-25 14:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +6 $-7 70¢ $4 +$11 06-20 00:07
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -5 $-4 85¢ $-4 +$0 06-09 09:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +7 $3 59¢ $4 +$1 06-23 15:53
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -5 $-4 80¢ $-4 +$0 06-27 10:03