Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
46
Trades
5,882
lifetime
Volume
$11.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$434
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
47% 69% +$32
Other
35% 44% $-1
Sports
18% 47% +$8
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +82 $70 89¢ $73 +$3 07-20 13:53
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +48 $31 78¢ $37 +$6 07-20 05:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +41 $20 78¢ $32 +$12 07-21 20:03
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -32 $-31 95¢ $-31 +$0 07-11 10:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -25 $-22 99¢ $-25 $-2 07-04 19:44
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No -20 $-18 92¢ $-18 $-1 06-16 11:52
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +16 $10 84¢ $13 +$4 06-24 12:53
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $12 73¢ $11 $-1 07-13 19:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-10 70¢ $-11 $-0 07-13 14:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -12 $-11 86¢ $-10 +$0 07-11 21:15
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -11 $-10 91¢ $-10 +$0 06-22 14:01
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No -11 $-9 90¢ $-10 $-1 07-01 22:54
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +11 $6 92¢ $10 +$4 07-09 02:20
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $4 96¢ $10 +$6 07-07 01:54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-27 10:36
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No -10 $-10 90¢ $-9 +$1 07-06 11:01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 +$0 07-08 21:37
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +10 $7 88¢ $9 +$2 06-02 15:53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +11 $9 78¢ $9 +$0 07-07 20:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 07-09 18:52
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 07-16 13:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-29 19:37
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +15 $8 58¢ $9 +$1 07-17 16:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$1 06-24 06:24
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -10 $-8 84¢ $-8 $-0 07-13 12:16
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 07-21 18:12
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +42 $5 18¢ $8 +$2 07-19 08:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10 $-9 72¢ $-7 +$2 06-14 07:28
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No -9 $-9 76¢ $-7 +$2 07-06 23:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$1 07-07 05:13