Realized P&L
+$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
79.6%
Resolved
1,327
Trades
9,543
lifetime
Volume
$21.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$943
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 00:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Politics
50% 54% +$729
Other
35% 51% +$342
Sports
15% 55% +$215
Crypto
0% 57% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +168 $113 97¢ $163 +$50 09-07 13:54
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +147 $111 90¢ $133 +$22 09-28 17:05
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +150 $94 80¢ $120 +$26 10-12 21:22
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -72 -$73 97¢ $-70 +$3 07-28 01:51
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +104 $83 57¢ $59 -$24 09-07 12:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +55 $48 87¢ $48 $0 10-05 00:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -32 -$26 96¢ $-31 -$5 04-29 20:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +35 $27 82¢ $29 +$2 10-23 15:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +241 $26 12¢ $29 +$2 09-21 20:04
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -28 -$48 97¢ $-27 +$20 10-20 05:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +30 $6 87¢ $26 +$20 10-17 23:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +128 $26 17¢ $21 -$5 09-14 06:07
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +18 $14 89¢ $16 +$2 09-23 20:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +85 $38 18¢ $16 -$22 10-19 00:48
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -16 -$14 97¢ $-15 -$1 06-15 09:45
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +16 $11 90¢ $14 +$3 10-20 15:35
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +114 $10 12¢ $14 +$4 10-11 11:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -12 -$12 97¢ $-12 $0 07-29 20:28
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -11 -$18 86¢ $-10 +$8 09-14 06:10
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +24 $12 41¢ $10 -$3 10-27 01:10
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 07-08 21:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 06-12 20:19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -46 -$12 21¢ $-10 +$2 06-23 17:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 -$1 06-27 10:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -10 -$8 92¢ $-9 -$1 07-13 14:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 09-05 14:24
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +64 $22 12¢ $7 -$14 08-12 20:58
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 05-11 01:28
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +15 $2 34¢ $5 +$3 10-15 22:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 +$0 06-29 19:37