Relieved-Return 0x8f2031…04875c
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
271
lifetime
Volume
$735
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$123
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 18:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Politics
33% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 72¢ $7 $-1 06-21 01:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-08 01:23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-08 21:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 19:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-24 21:27
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-09 22:19
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-31 08:10
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-24 21:54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-12 00:43
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-01 08:37
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-09 03:16
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-20 20:29
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-26 11:29
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-29 13:32
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? No -5 $-4 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 18:52
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-29 17:12
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +5 $5 87¢ $4 $-0 06-20 13:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-20 10:59
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-01 15:19
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-18 18:06
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-22 20:05
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 06-18 19:51
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30? No -4 $-3 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 11:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 36¢ $4 $-1 06-19 07:19
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 72¢ $4 +$1 06-30 16:07
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-19 02:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-1 06-20 13:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-21 13:46
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 $-0 06-08 19:38
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 $-1 06-10 17:48