Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
282
Trades
442
lifetime
Volume
$1.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$95
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 09-29 15:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
60% 47% -$23
Politics
33% 58% +$8
Crypto
3% 100% +$5
Tech
2% 50% +$3
Sports
2% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 94¢ $9 +$5 06-19 07:19
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-21 01:15
will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31 Yes +10 $4 62¢ $6 +$3 07-01 18:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-20 13:24
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-22 20:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-26 20:23
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-20 13:08
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 06-10 16:11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-29 17:12
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-01 01:14
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 07-01 18:16
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026 No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 06-18 20:45
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 No +5 $2 90¢ $4 +$2 07-01 18:20
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-18 19:51
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +5 $2 81¢ $4 +$2 07-02 09:36
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$0 07-19 04:03
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 78¢ $4 +$2 06-30 16:07
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 28¢ $1 $0 07-03 21:43
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 Yes +5 $3 27¢ $1 -$2 06-09 23:29
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 09-29 15:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 06-21 13:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 $0 06-18 19:06
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-01 07:43
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-08 19:38
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-11 22:52