Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$404,867
$83,781 in 24h
Trades
4,037
Unique wallets
597
Liquidity
$112,808
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 20:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+30.8¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $22.6K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $259.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 50 | $3.9K | $136.7K | $132.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 85 | $7.2K | $59.3K | $52.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 106 | $2.2K | $31.0K | $28.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 356 | $3.2K | $15.8K | $12.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $8.4K | $14.2K | $5.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 61 | $1.7K | $24.0K | $22.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 32 | $50 | $41.0K | $40.9K |
| Median | 53 | $52 | $4.3K | $4.2K |
| Below median | 88 | $84 | $5.9K | $5.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 28 | $150 | $5.9K | $5.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 42 | $1.7K | $19.2K | $17.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 28 | $1.8K | $81.6K | $79.8K |
| unranked | 245 | $2.5K | $46.9K | $44.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +52,985 | $4,720 | $4,720 | 6 | 06-06 22:08 |
| Handy-Disconnection 0xa52b…9480 | No | +34,188 | $31,856 | $31,856 | 19 | 06-01 04:57 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | +18,377 | $17,247 | $17,247 | 33 | 06-06 16:20 |
| Bitter-Hypochondria 0xfd66…fb6d | Yes | +17,000 | $1,139 | $1,139 | 7 | 06-08 11:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | +10,055 | $9,452 | $9,452 | 10 | 06-04 19:15 |
| Windy-Vector 0x9859…1650 | Yes | +8,200 | $606 | $856 | 16 | 06-07 21:45 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | +7,029 | $6,384 | $6,384 | 12 | 06-09 01:11 |
| Smug-Avalanche 0xc302…f388 | No | +6,955 | $6,500 | $6,500 | 4 | 06-09 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf913…969b | Yes | +6,892 | $795 | $795 | 2 | 06-05 10:17 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65 | No | +6,004 | $5,513 | $5,513 | 13 | 06-07 20:36 |
| Substantial-Coupon 0xc615…e982 | Yes | +5,784 | $289 | $289 | 55 | 06-04 01:42 |
| Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | +5,457 | $319 | $1,328 | 96 | 06-09 19:40 |
| Vapid-Workshop 0x9ca1…13b5 | No | +5,185 | $4,718 | $5,506 | 407 | 06-08 22:16 |
| Passionate-Left 0xaa75…a864 | No | +4,410 | $4,177 | $4,177 | 2 | 06-08 01:04 |
| Adolescent-Wrecker 0x7db3…919c | No | +3,909 | $3,574 | $3,574 | 10 | 06-07 12:08 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +3,621 | $3,074 | $34,418 | 86 | 06-09 06:29 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +3,500 | $3,240 | $3,240 | 3 | 06-08 14:25 |
| Giving-Petticoat 0xd426…334a | Yes | +3,226 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 05-29 16:25 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +2,757 | $185 | $185 | 9 | 06-06 14:31 |
| Wet-Logistics 0xf6dc…246e | No | +2,615 | $2,389 | $2,389 | 3 | 06-06 21:46 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | +2,418 | $2,165 | $2,165 | 10 | 06-05 10:18 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +2,259 | $2,123 | $2,123 | 415 | 06-03 08:54 |
| Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | +2,247 | $2,021 | $3,325 | 21 | 06-07 16:37 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | +2,062 | $1,925 | $3,383 | 42 | 06-08 11:48 |
| Impish-Cupola 0xc406…ba02 | Yes | +2,033 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 06-03 08:54 |
| Orderly-Fennel 0x43f0…1b3d | No | +2,000 | $1,860 | $1,860 | 1 | 06-09 06:29 |
| Jolly-Gingerbread 0xbab9…3499 | No | +1,826 | $1,661 | $4,111 | 12 | 06-05 09:14 |
| Acidic-Taxi 0x9765…436b | No | +1,630 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 05-28 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5637…7599 | No | +1,506 | $1,396 | $1,396 | 1 | 06-07 17:58 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | +1,411 | $1,236 | $4,164 | 12 | 06-09 06:29 |
| logan 0x33c5…2230 | Yes | +1,250 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 06:32 |
| Grotesque-Siding 0xbb98…6d3c | No | +1,248 | $1,019 | $9,360 | 15 | 06-06 17:20 |
| Grown-Flanker 0xc4c1…7324 | No | +1,237 | $1,138 | $1,138 | 1 | 06-07 08:08 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +1,224 | $39 | $466 | 33 | 06-08 22:16 |
| Hollow-Rumor 0xc9d5…d1bb | Yes | +1,200 | $83 | $83 | 5 | 06-02 02:51 |
| Failing-Manhunt 0x8199…bb6d | No | +1,169 | $1,076 | $1,076 | 14 | 06-08 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc204…7927 | Yes | +1,100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-08 22:16 |
| Insistent-Door 0xdb8e…31f7 | No | +1,000 | $923 | $1,957 | 3 | 06-09 17:38 |
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-29 16:44 |
| Junior-Thistle 0x8eac…3600 | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 2 | 06-06 14:31 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 1 | 06-08 23:50 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +1,000 | $929 | $929 | 3 | 06-08 19:18 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +1,000 | $936 | $936 | 3 | 06-04 19:15 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 1 | 05-30 15:24 |
| Delirious-Porcupine 0x1b50…ea47 | Yes | +997 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5a…5086 | Yes | +792 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-05 01:21 |
| Monthly-Dollop-Sideburns 0xc20a…e328 | Yes | +755 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 06-05 19:43 |
| Anxious-Run 0x57dc…414b | Yes | +700 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 05-31 17:47 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +679 | $62 | $357 | 73 | 06-08 11:00 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +600 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 05-31 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x853b…475b | Yes | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-03 14:47 |
| Decisive-Dioxide 0xa12d…c4da | Yes | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-03 08:19 |
| Nonstop-Antique 0xb2c4…43e8 | Yes | +422 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-04 19:50 |
| truthbeautyjustice 0x506f…e8bb | Yes | +400 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-06 10:56 |
| Comfortable-Bob 0x6186…6816 | Yes | +343 | $31 | $76 | 3 | 06-09 10:22 |
| Vigilant-Senior 0xe7c6…5529 | Yes | +340 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-08 18:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 20:20:19 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4ded2d… |
| 06-09 20:20:19 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x4ded2d… |
| 06-09 20:18:36 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6e6547… |
| 06-09 20:18:36 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x6e6547… |
| 06-09 20:16:45 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x09c36d… |
| 06-09 20:16:45 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x09c36d… |
| 06-09 20:14:57 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xca98bd… |
| 06-09 20:14:57 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xca98bd… |
| 06-09 20:13:03 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3b586c… |
| 06-09 20:13:03 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x3b586c… |
| 06-09 19:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x1f08…0aac | No | BUY | 112 | 94¢ | $105 | 0xa050b1… |
| 06-09 19:40:45 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xa050b1… |
| 06-09 19:26:40 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6b9d42… |
| 06-09 19:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x71ab…5407 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x6b9d42… |
| 06-09 19:19:42 | (anonymous) 0xefab…b927 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 6¢ | $30 | 0x300078… |
| 06-09 19:19:42 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 6¢ | $30 | 0x300078… |
| 06-09 19:15:06 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x190660… |
| 06-09 19:15:06 | (anonymous) 0x0627…655a | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x190660… |
| 06-09 17:54:07 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xed0107… |
| 06-09 17:54:07 | (anonymous) 0xe37e…9de0 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xed0107… |
| 06-09 17:38:55 | Insistent-Door 0xdb8e…31f7 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 94¢ | $940 | 0x6247e6… |
| 06-09 17:38:55 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x6247e6… |
| 06-09 17:28:52 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe58c0f… |
| 06-09 17:28:52 | Sympathetic-Container 0xa038…c08d | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe58c0f… |
| 06-09 17:17:36 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xd036f4… |
| 06-09 17:17:36 | Likable-Concentrate 0xf390…6b74 | No | BUY | 176 | 94¢ | $165 | 0xd036f4… |
| 06-09 15:33:51 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xc98789… |
| 06-09 15:33:51 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc98789… |
| 06-09 15:33:28 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4b1ca3… |
| 06-09 15:33:28 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4b1ca3… |
| 06-09 15:32:51 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x269985… |
| 06-09 15:32:51 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x269985… |
| 06-09 15:32:49 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x775472… |
| 06-09 15:32:49 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x775472… |
| 06-09 15:32:45 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x617023… |
| 06-09 15:32:45 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x617023… |
| 06-09 15:32:42 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2e2f09… |
| 06-09 15:32:42 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2e2f09… |
| 06-09 15:32:18 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2d0150… |
| 06-09 15:32:18 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2d0150… |
| 06-09 15:32:04 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x445b39… |
| 06-09 15:32:04 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x445b39… |
| 06-09 14:31:25 | (anonymous) 0x826e…df69 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xa45f65… |
| 06-09 14:31:25 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa45f65… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x86a509… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 500 | 93¢ | $465 | 0x86a509… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 174 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x86a509… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | No | BUY | 125 | 93¢ | $116 | 0x86a509… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x86a509… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x477e…23b3 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x86a509… |
| 06-09 13:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x01a6…9bad | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x6ddae5… |
| 06-09 13:56:37 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6ddae5… |
| 06-09 13:12:21 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbe9a57… |
| 06-09 13:12:21 | Overcooked-Prevention 0x0ded…8623 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xbe9a57… |
| 06-09 12:52:28 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xcd3315… |
| 06-09 12:52:28 | Delectable-Diary 0x8537…0694 | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0xcd3315… |
| 06-09 12:18:28 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x75ed57… |
| 06-09 12:18:28 | (anonymous) 0xd0b1…542e | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x75ed57… |
| 06-09 11:18:54 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x439831… |
| 06-09 11:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xe99b…2f86 | No | BUY | 88 | 94¢ | $83 | 0x439831… |
| 06-09 11:17:15 | Fuzzy-Astrolabe 0xab19…4876 | No | SELL | 3,419 | 94¢ | $3,214 | 0x3ca786… |
| 06-09 11:17:15 | Attentive-Crib 0xe102…f569 | Yes | BUY | 234 | 6¢ | $14 | 0x3ca786… |
| 06-09 11:17:15 | Smug-Avalanche 0xc302…f388 | No | BUY | 5,319 | 94¢ | $5,000 | 0x3ca786… |
| 06-09 10:22:06 | Comfortable-Bob 0x6186…6816 | Yes | BUY | 343 | 7¢ | $24 | 0xae2870… |
| 06-09 10:22:06 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | No | BUY | 328 | 93¢ | $305 | 0xae2870… |
| 06-09 10:22:06 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xae2870… |
| 06-09 10:10:52 | Fuzzy-Astrolabe 0xab19…4876 | No | SELL | 375 | 94¢ | $352 | 0x3b25c5… |
| 06-09 10:10:52 | Comfortable-Bob 0x6186…6816 | Yes | SELL | 375 | 6¢ | $22 | 0x3b25c5… |
| 06-09 09:55:18 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf9af04… |
| 06-09 09:55:18 | (anonymous) 0x0bb4…0544 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf9af04… |
| 06-09 09:54:39 | (anonymous) 0xc7b0…bbac | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xc8242f… |
| 06-09 09:54:39 | Fuzzy-Astrolabe 0xab19…4876 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xc8242f… |
| 06-09 09:12:54 | Rigid-Kebab 0xed35…c4ec | Yes | SELL | 500 | 6¢ | $30 | 0xc09779… |
| 06-09 09:12:54 | Fuzzy-Astrolabe 0xab19…4876 | No | SELL | 417 | 94¢ | $392 | 0xc09779… |
| 06-09 09:12:54 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xc09779… |
| 06-09 06:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf65ae7… |
| 06-09 06:32:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 29 | 93¢ | $27 | 0xf65ae7… |
| 06-09 06:32:24 | Oval-Treaty 0xfc75…8604 | No | BUY | 37 | 93¢ | $34 | 0xf65ae7… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Orderly-Fennel 0x43f0…1b3d | No | BUY | 2,000 | 93¢ | $1,860 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | SELL | 150 | 93¢ | $139 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 140 | 93¢ | $130 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 201 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:29:09 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1,292 | 93¢ | $1,202 | 0x8fc838… |
| 06-09 06:19:48 | Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x399840… |
| 06-09 06:19:48 | Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | No | BUY | 215 | 93¢ | $200 | 0x399840… |
| 06-09 06:19:48 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x399840… |
| 06-09 06:19:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x399840… |
| 06-09 04:46:18 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 86 | 93¢ | $80 | 0x14d75e… |
| 06-09 04:46:18 | Fat-Mess 0x6fa0…3609 | No | BUY | 86 | 93¢ | $80 | 0x14d75e… |
| 06-09 03:19:33 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xde34d2… |
| 06-09 03:19:33 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xde34d2… |
| 06-09 01:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x447b…a39c | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc6aa35… |
| 06-09 01:16:33 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc6aa35… |
| 06-09 01:11:39 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x97a977… |
| 06-09 01:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x4a54…e1dd | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x97a977… |
| 06-09 00:19:42 | French-Spokesman 0x2f20…f150 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x29ac98… |
| 06-09 00:19:42 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x29ac98… |
| 06-08 23:50:27 | Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | BUY | 1,000 | 93¢ | $930 | 0xa2ae62… |