Negligible-Curtain 0x1a762e…38b26b
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
51
Trades
1,268
lifetime
Volume
$2.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$132
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-10 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
48% — —
Other
38% 39% $-12
Sports
12% 25% $-41
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 29¢ $7 +$1 06-07 09:21
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 76¢ $-6 +$1 05-28 09:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-6 62¢ $-6 $-0 06-06 15:49
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 90¢ $-6 $-2 06-05 14:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 13:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 62¢ $6 $-0 06-10 07:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 05-30 22:45
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -11 $-8 46¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 06:38
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-05 16:06
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 55¢ $5 $-1 06-03 06:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-29 01:48
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:15
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +10 $5 43¢ $4 $-1 06-08 00:09
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +13 $5 32¢ $4 $-1 06-02 11:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-28 16:53
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 06-06 03:42
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +15 $4 28¢ $4 $-0 06-08 07:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-05 14:14
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 06-02 21:33
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 06-08 01:31
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-10 02:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:17
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 $-0 06-07 05:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-03 07:30
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 67¢ $3 +$0 06-06 00:22
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-08 08:58
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-05 14:15
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +15 $3 21¢ $3 $-0 06-09 14:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $-0 06-07 21:05
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-10 02:39