Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
76
Trades
1,576
lifetime
Volume
$3.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$49
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-30 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
45%
Other
42% 44% $-11
Sports
11% 39% $-24
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -17 $-10 56¢ $-9 +$1 06-07 22:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 12:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -7 $-5 100¢ $-7 $-2 06-08 04:18
US recession by end of 2026? No -8 $-6 88¢ $-7 $-1 06-02 21:26
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 68¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 12:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-02 21:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 12:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:13
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 14:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 14:54
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 03:43
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 18:30