Idle-Rainstorm 0x7fc6e1…327306
cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$17.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.77K
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
557
Trades
4,069
lifetime
Volume
$92.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.07K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 08-11 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
52% 22% -$1,630
Other
33% 20% -$9,615
Crypto
14% 4% -$6,206
Sports
1% 16% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +70,252 $5,068 2¢ $1.4K -$3,628 05-31 03:11
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +12,131 $1,002 3¢ $315 -$686 06-01 14:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -650 -$202 18¢ $-120 +$81 05-01 19:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,100 $303 6¢ $72 -$232 07-29 19:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $120 6¢ $33 -$87 06-19 13:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $142 3¢ $19 -$123 05-30 00:19
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $28 1¢ $18 -$10 05-04 19:05
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +400 $40 4¢ $15 -$25 07-30 21:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $18 6¢ $13 -$5 07-26 13:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,000 $25 0¢ $7 -$18 07-26 16:20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 05-05 18:49
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +45 $11 9¢ $4 -$6 05-13 12:46
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +404 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 05-13 19:54
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 $0 05-11 18:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $2 5¢ $3 +$0 05-12 00:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $21 0¢ $0 -$21 07-30 16:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 $0 04-28 23:19
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +100 $13 0¢ $0 -$12 06-03 18:50