Realized P&L
+$980
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
30
Trades
3,029
lifetime
Volume
$59.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$683
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-08 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
64% 40% +$1,338
Crypto
21% 0% $-324
Other
15% 0% $-28
Sports
0% 0% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -3,390 $-216 $-185 +$32 05-31 03:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,550 $298 10¢ $147 $-150 06-03 22:57
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +3,221 $71 $105 +$34 06-04 02:37
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,500 $100 $82 $-17 06-05 21:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +400 $84 16¢ $62 $-22 06-06 08:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $51 $42 $-10 06-04 05:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $42 18¢ $37 $-5 05-30 00:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $16 11¢ $21 +$5 06-08 11:00
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes +302 $5 $3 $-2 05-28 09:01