Realized P&L
+$980
Unrealized P&L
-$642
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
30
Trades
3,281
lifetime
Volume
$66.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$378
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-30 09:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
65% 40% +$1,338
Crypto
19% 0% $-324
Other
15% 0% $-28
Sports
0% 0% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -3,390 $-216 $-139 +$77 05-31 03:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $120 20¢ $117 $-3 06-19 13:11
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -14,001 $-31 $-42 $-11 06-27 18:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +200 $22 15¢ $29 +$7 06-29 10:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $42 12¢ $25 $-17 05-30 00:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,750 $336 $9 $-327 06-16 04:44
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,700 $180 $5 $-175 06-17 06:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +4,111 $53 $4 $-49 06-17 06:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,600 $40 $3 $-37 06-19 05:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $51 $2 $-48 06-04 05:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +700 $42 $2 $-40 06-11 17:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $16 $1 $-15 06-08 11:00
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes +302 $5 $0 $-4 05-28 09:01