Realized P&L (90d)
-$549
Unrealized P&L
-$5.00K
Hit rate
42.1%
Resolved (90d)
20
Trades (90d)
1
4,034 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$405
$90.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.63K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 08-11 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
52% 22% -$1,642
Other
33% 19% -$9,964
Crypto
14% 4% -$6,206
Sports
1% 16% -$36
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +70,252 $5,068 2¢ $1.1K -$3,979 05-31 03:11
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +12,131 $1,002 2¢ $273 -$729 06-01 14:41
will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026 Yes +459 $143 22¢ $99 -$44 06-08 16:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -650 -$202 10¢ $-62 +$140 05-01 19:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $120 4¢ $22 -$98 06-19 13:11
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes +342 $117 6¢ $19 -$98 05-27 05:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +600 $142 3¢ $17 -$125 05-30 00:19
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $28 0¢ $11 -$16 05-04 19:05
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +404 $4 3¢ $11 +$6 05-13 19:54
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +400 $40 2¢ $6 -$34 07-30 21:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $18 3¢ $5 -$13 07-26 13:22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 $0 05-05 18:49
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +45 $11 8¢ $4 -$7 05-13 12:46
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $2 5¢ $3 +$1 05-12 00:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 $0 05-11 18:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 $0 04-28 23:19