Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open
Total volume
$1,336,966
$1,104 in 24h
Trades
16,015
Unique wallets
3,036
Liquidity
$2,074,431
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2028-11-08
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 20:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+73.9¢
(top1%: 78% YES on $4.6K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $650.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 59 | $12.4K | $89.1K | $76.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 75 | $1.7K | $65.7K | $64.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 868 | $4.6K | $396.2K | $391.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,034 | $5.2K | $75.7K | $70.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 45 | $3.6K | $1.0K | +$2.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 73 | $579 | $30.3K | $29.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 201 | $121 | $74.8K | $74.7K |
| Median | 1,273 | $2.5K | $211.1K | $208.6K |
| Below median | 909 | $5.9K | $174.0K | $168.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 61 | $287 | $21.1K | $20.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 52 | $1.4K | $106.1K | $104.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $9.5K | $3.6K | +$5.9K |
| unranked | 396 | $82 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grubby-Mantel 0x5d18…4972 | Yes | +441,202 | $4,800 | $12,044 | 1,705 | 07-13 02:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9810…74ba | Yes | +57,465 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 10-19 22:12 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +43,987 | $369 | $414 | 224 | 08-14 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xff00…374d | Yes | +31,440 | $377 | $377 | 3 | 06-30 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e88…24d1 | Yes | +26,333 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 10-10 20:52 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | +21,929 | $173 | $173 | 6 | 09-03 14:14 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +14,969 | $207 | $348 | 43 | 10-26 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d3a…9226 | Yes | +10,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-29 18:40 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +9,263 | $112 | $112 | 28 | 06-13 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7795…9a17 | Yes | +8,250 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-01 05:41 |
| Modest-Meantime 0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | +7,747 | $11 | $42 | 226 | 10-19 22:12 |
| 0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | +6,976 | $42 | $42 | 90 | 09-06 11:02 |
| Darling-Skiing 0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | +6,555 | $72 | $72 | 28 | 07-18 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4451…79f7 | Yes | +6,500 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 10-21 16:04 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +5,298 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 10-23 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cff…45ac | Yes | +5,000 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-06 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | +4,757 | $19 | $19 | 31 | 10-25 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | +3,619 | $22 | $22 | 49 | 08-27 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…85d5 | Yes | +3,333 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | +2,600 | $2,589 | $2,589 | 64 | 10-19 22:12 |
| Idle-Rainstorm 0x7fc6…7306 | Yes | +2,500 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-04 19:05 |
| Svelte-Lawn 0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | +2,222 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 08-12 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1881…f322 | Yes | +2,083 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-22 23:36 |
| Icky-Validity 0x6be0…9ac7 | No | +2,000 | $1,980 | $1,980 | 74 | 07-27 05:08 |
| Icky-Validity 0x6be0…9ac7 | Yes | +2,000 | $20 | $20 | 13 | 07-23 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd83c…6fda | Yes | +1,412 | $16 | $34 | 6 | 08-30 07:07 |
| Positive-Vivo-Face 0x35bd…c749 | Yes | +1,300 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-16 11:02 |
| Last-Humour-Lymphocyte 0xd32f…1170 | Yes | +1,011 | $14 | $152 | 32 | 06-10 07:42 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +1,000 | $21 | $29 | 24 | 09-08 02:51 |
| Immediate-Machine 0x1c4c…8d85 | Yes | +1,000 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-08 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xc511…a34e | Yes | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-19 11:24 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +1,000 | $989 | $989 | 5 | 08-14 08:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +940 | $5 | $8 | 6 | 09-07 09:09 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +500 | $497 | $497 | 1 | 08-17 19:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc934fa… |
| 10-26 20:39:59 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 244 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc934fa… |
| 10-26 08:48:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 188 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa21fc0… |
| 10-26 08:48:53 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa21fc0… |
| 10-26 08:48:53 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa21fc0… |
| 10-26 05:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaecef5… |
| 10-26 05:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaecef5… |
| 10-25 14:13:30 | (anonymous) 0x9a51…25a4 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xbb76fa… |
| 10-25 14:13:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb76fa… |
| 10-25 14:13:17 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x705c9a… |
| 10-25 14:13:17 | (anonymous) 0x9a51…25a4 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x705c9a… |
| 10-25 14:11:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3f38ff… |
| 10-25 14:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x6901…2898 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x3f38ff… |
| 10-25 14:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x6901…2898 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xfa3c08… |
| 10-25 14:11:05 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa3c08… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x80b2e0… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64d714… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | Pale-Pillar 0x67e7…1d33 | No | SELL | 92 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x80b2e0… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x80b2e0… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | (anonymous) 0xcb52…952b | No | SELL | 55 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x64d714… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | Lively-Metronome 0xcca3…559a | No | SELL | 92 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x16f1e2… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | SELL | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16f1e2… |
| 10-25 13:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16f1e2… |
| 10-25 13:40:12 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d1fde… |
| 10-25 13:40:12 | Aware-Parka 0xae81…0b9f | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x9d1fde… |
| 10-25 13:40:00 | Aware-Parka 0xae81…0b9f | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x9c5bfc… |
| 10-25 13:40:00 | (anonymous) 0xcb52…952b | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x9c5bfc… |
| 10-25 13:30:36 | (anonymous) 0x04f8…5277 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x026dff… |
| 10-25 13:30:36 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x026dff… |
| 10-25 13:30:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb52…952b | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x51ee1e… |
| 10-25 13:30:24 | (anonymous) 0x04f8…5277 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x51ee1e… |
| 10-25 13:22:08 | Negative-Ratepayer 0x29bd…abb4 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x2e8fb1… |
| 10-25 13:22:08 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e8fb1… |
| 10-25 13:21:51 | (anonymous) 0xcb52…952b | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb05ae7… |
| 10-25 13:21:51 | Negative-Ratepayer 0x29bd…abb4 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb05ae7… |
| 10-25 13:16:35 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7d352… |
| 10-25 13:16:35 | (anonymous) 0xab29…6ee4 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb7d352… |
| 10-25 13:16:23 | (anonymous) 0xab29…6ee4 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf63237… |
| 10-25 13:16:23 | (anonymous) 0xcb52…952b | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf63237… |
| 10-25 12:57:00 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c4184… |
| 10-25 12:57:00 | Criminal-Contrail 0x59dc…aeb7 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7c4184… |
| 10-25 12:56:48 | Criminal-Contrail 0x59dc…aeb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x24058f… |
| 10-25 12:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24058f… |
| 10-25 12:53:41 | Acrobatic-Sleeping 0x7184…5462 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9ba3d0… |
| 10-25 12:53:41 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ba3d0… |
| 10-25 12:53:29 | Acrobatic-Sleeping 0x7184…5462 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xacb172… |
| 10-25 12:53:29 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xacb172… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 92 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeeb3ec… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xcb52…952b | No | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0x1f6bf1… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 92 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f6bf1… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | Lively-Metronome 0xcca3…559a | No | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0xeeb3ec… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e0669… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e0669… |
| 10-25 11:22:05 | Pale-Pillar 0x67e7…1d33 | No | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $92 | 0x6e0669… |
| 10-25 09:12:39 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd42abe… |
| 10-25 09:12:39 | (anonymous) 0xa104…acb8 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xd42abe… |
| 10-25 09:00:29 | (anonymous) 0x19df…6440 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bf8ce… |
| 10-25 09:00:29 | (anonymous) 0xf151…2d0c | Yes | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bf8ce… |
| 10-25 08:25:14 | Wrathful-Detention 0x0027…c760 | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xcb8325… |
| 10-25 08:25:14 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb8325… |
| 10-25 08:19:33 | Wrathful-Detention 0x0027…c760 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x7fc9a8… |
| 10-25 08:19:33 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fc9a8… |
| 10-25 08:16:08 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38624e… |
| 10-25 08:16:08 | (anonymous) 0xa104…acb8 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x38624e… |
| 10-25 07:54:24 | Wrathful-Detention 0x0027…c760 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x3560eb… |
| 10-25 07:54:24 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3560eb… |
| 10-25 05:07:32 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32a4a4… |
| 10-25 05:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32a4a4… |
| 10-25 05:07:32 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 94 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x32a4a4… |
| 10-25 05:07:32 | Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | BUY | 252 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x32a4a4… |
| 10-25 02:36:20 | Hairy-Siding 0xae2c…e3e5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd7f9e… |
| 10-25 02:36:20 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd7f9e… |
| 10-25 02:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1d58e… |
| 10-25 02:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xf736…4c1f | Yes | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1d58e… |
| 10-25 00:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x3481…cfdd | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6b2b81… |
| 10-25 00:13:20 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b2b81… |
| 10-25 00:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e6a74… |
| 10-25 00:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x3481…cfdd | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2e6a74… |
| 10-24 23:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x62a9…8515 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x38c0f7… |
| 10-24 23:24:54 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38c0f7… |
| 10-24 23:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7580f… |
| 10-24 23:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x62a9…8515 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa7580f… |
| 10-24 23:03:53 | (anonymous) 0xa5f2…99d9 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5d2117… |
| 10-24 23:03:53 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d2117… |
| 10-24 23:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xa5f2…99d9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x179142… |
| 10-24 23:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x179142… |
| 10-24 23:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x16e4…f27c | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9044ab… |
| 10-24 23:02:32 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9044ab… |
| 10-24 23:02:30 | (anonymous) 0xe9dc…9cf3 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xbe196c… |
| 10-24 23:02:30 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe196c… |
| 10-24 23:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3797a… |
| 10-24 23:02:17 | (anonymous) 0xe9dc…9cf3 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf3797a… |
| 10-24 22:25:53 | (anonymous) 0xd8dc…da7a | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7b9b74… |
| 10-24 22:25:53 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b9b74… |
| 10-24 22:25:41 | (anonymous) 0xd8dc…da7a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x55fb79… |
| 10-24 22:25:41 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55fb79… |
| 10-24 22:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x80ae…c256 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf4f1fb… |
| 10-24 22:10:56 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4f1fb… |
| 10-24 22:10:44 | (anonymous) 0x23e7…993d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x788141… |
| 10-24 22:10:44 | (anonymous) 0x80ae…c256 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x788141… |