Realized P&L
-$88
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
44
Trades
130
lifetime
Volume
$294
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$72
27 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-22 17:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% -$19
Other
40% 0% -$29
Crypto
14% 0% -$40
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $15 +$5 10-15 18:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +497 $5 2¢ $8 +$3 10-12 17:54
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $3 1¢ $7 +$4 10-19 11:24
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,250 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-12 17:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +157 $3 3¢ $5 +$2 10-13 11:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +500 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 10-16 11:37
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +667 $4 1¢ $4 $0 10-16 18:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +250 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 10-19 09:11
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 10-19 11:25
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 10-19 11:26
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +1,500 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-16 11:38
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-13 16:41
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +51 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-14 10:36
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +45 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-16 11:44
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-13 14:01
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? Yes +32 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-16 11:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +1,026 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 10-12 17:55
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +26 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-13 16:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +52 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-12 17:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +66 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-14 16:23
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-19 09:07
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-20 12:46
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-20 12:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-18 12:27
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +48 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-18 12:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +358 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-12 17:55
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-12 17:56