Immediate-Machine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$228

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,781

lifetime

Volume

$255.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$158

Politics

42% 100% +$70

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No		+1,409	$-30	1¢	$11	+$41	06-29 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	53	$9.1K	9,508	7,083	+2,425	open	—	06-22 09:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	32	$6.6K	5,593	5,593	+0	open	—	03-30 13:57
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	14	$6.6K	4,030	4,030	+0	open	—	06-17 16:17
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	24	$6.0K	3,513	3,513	+0	open	—	03-22 19:57
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	25	$5.8K	5,022	4,107	+915	open	—	06-17 14:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	5	$5.3K	2,718	2,718	+0	open	—	03-01 09:55
will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	14	$5.0K	4,635	1,851	+2,783	open	—	03-18 17:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-01 15:17
iran closes its airspace by june 8	40	$4.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-07 21:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 06:14
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$3.9K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-16 15:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	24	$3.5K	2,615	2,615	+0	open	—	01-30 12:22
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	18	$3.2K	3,193	3,086	+108	open	—	05-25 09:18
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	23	$2.8K	2,394	2,894	-500	open	—	05-05 17:23
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 march 15 be between 16500000 and 17000000 354	1	$2.6K	2,638	0	+2,638	open	—	03-16 12:07
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 march 15 be between 16000000 and 16500000 774	1	$2.6K	2,619	0	+2,619	open	—	03-16 12:08
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	15	$2.4K	2,876	3,171	-295	open	—	06-03 23:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	14	$2.4K	1,899	1,899	+0	open	—	04-28 21:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	62	$2.2K	6,622	6,122	+500	open	—	04-21 20:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$2.2K	1,547	1,547	+0	open	—	06-21 23:37
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	33	$2.1K	2,401	200	+2,201	open	—	04-12 22:46
will iran strike israel on march 10	67	$2.1K	4,864	6,394	-1,530	open	—	03-10 21:50
will the number of us flights delayed on march 26 be between 4000 and 4500	2	$2.1K	2,116	0	+2,116	open	—	03-26 21:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	32	$2.1K	5,153	5,153	+0	No	+$70	05-06 12:32
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$2.0K	1,159	1,159	+0	open	—	04-18 11:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	20	$2.0K	2,130	2,130	+0	open	—	04-20 16:38
atp alcaraz vachero 2026 04 11	9	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 14:57
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	32	$1.9K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	open	—	05-12 17:19
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	22	$1.8K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	04-26 07:35
1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	12	$1.8K	740	1,168	-427	open	—	03-30 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 23:42:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x516e29…
07-01 20:21:41	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0x2cfdf3…
07-01 20:15:58	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0xa156a4…
07-01 20:09:10	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x767d99…
07-01 20:07:59	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xea9084…
07-01 18:28:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xa5bd5c…
07-01 18:20:23	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	298	34¢	$101	0xa3b1ed…
07-01 16:22:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	423	6¢	$25	0x51c8c7…
07-01 16:14:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x4660e5…
07-01 15:58:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xd47ca2…
07-01 15:57:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	275	6¢	$17	0xd440a2…
07-01 15:57:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	247	6¢	$15	0xf45ec0…
07-01 15:33:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0xb815a0…
07-01 15:08:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x693b1a…
07-01 14:49:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	1,000	39¢	$389	0x42d9d2…
06-30 22:04:41	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	999	81¢	$809	0x6e4d87…
06-30 19:21:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xf922cf…
06-30 19:20:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xc652a0…
06-30 16:48:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	632	31¢	$196	0x2ce3f5…
06-30 16:45:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa55fba…
06-30 16:45:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	97	31¢	$30	0x6b8499…
06-30 16:45:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x5f3fca…
06-30 16:45:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	173	31¢	$54	0x36077c…
06-30 16:43:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	143	31¢	$44	0x3e1c1a…
06-30 15:36:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	354	80¢	$283	0xe0b74d…
06-30 13:40:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0xae1c71…
06-30 12:13:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	246	35¢	$86	0x1dddb7…
06-30 12:11:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	248	35¢	$87	0x4d3f41…
06-30 12:10:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6c0d40…
06-30 12:09:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	65	35¢	$23	0x067e20…
06-29 22:56:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xe9d2a9…
06-29 20:04:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0x9f0ea9…
06-29 20:04:01	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc9e063…
06-29 20:03:29	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x794c81…
06-29 20:03:16	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	59	36¢	$21	0x953f05…
06-29 20:02:47	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	57	36¢	$21	0xb0919c…
06-29 20:02:16	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0xc92c53…
06-29 20:01:53	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xbd2f3f…
06-29 20:01:32	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0xd57dcd…
06-29 20:01:04	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	125	36¢	$45	0xbe54b0…
06-29 20:00:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0x36ee0b…
06-29 19:58:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	312	36¢	$112	0x900796…
06-29 19:58:35	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x52200d…
06-29 19:58:11	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xd6a611…
06-29 19:57:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x33ba5b…
06-29 19:57:44	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0x498413…
06-29 17:16:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xa8bdf4…
06-29 01:22:50	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0x6b523c…
06-28 20:59:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	42¢	$420	0x9ebb75…
06-28 20:27:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0xb4bf4e…
06-28 14:39:56	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	481	3¢	$12	0xa68ca7…
06-28 08:48:34	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x0b390b…
06-27 15:26:50	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$38	0x03a0b9…
06-26 17:29:08	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	280	14¢	$40	0xa9f21a…
06-26 16:50:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	BUY	268	38¢	$102	0x50944d…
06-26 16:50:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x5bccc0…
06-26 07:43:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	115	81¢	$93	0x07b864…
06-26 07:37:46	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x872f40…
06-26 07:32:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	470	74¢	$349	0xdb089d…
06-26 06:29:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xeeafd4…
06-26 06:26:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x6c61a9…
06-25 22:03:04	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	322	1¢	$3	0x366893…
06-25 22:02:55	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	434	1¢	$5	0x08b0c0…
06-25 16:19:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,000	50¢	$500	0x344ba5…
06-25 15:15:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$525	0x65bb3a…
06-25 11:50:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,553	8¢	$124	0x5aff94…
06-25 11:39:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	440	8¢	$35	0x364675…
06-25 11:37:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xcb9064…
06-25 10:21:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x0fd1e1…
06-25 08:28:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x5b1bd5…
06-24 10:23:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	201	55¢	$111	0x8bc340…
06-24 10:15:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0x83ad61…
06-24 10:12:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x01a547…
06-24 09:33:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x4481be…
06-24 09:31:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x7c00fd…
06-24 09:25:37	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc74d8b…
06-24 09:24:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x87930b…
06-24 09:24:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x809b4d…
06-24 09:24:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x2d371f…
06-24 09:24:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xb68ede…
06-24 09:24:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x71259e…
06-24 09:24:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x0f65ec…
06-24 09:24:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd90410…
06-24 09:24:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa66b8c…
06-24 09:24:41	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x14c0d5…
06-24 09:24:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc46bb5…
06-24 09:24:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xaf65c9…
06-24 09:23:10	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xc4588b…
06-24 09:16:17	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	396	8¢	$32	0xb270f9…
06-24 09:14:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xb4cd5f…
06-24 09:14:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x898bbe…
06-24 09:14:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x5f80a2…
06-24 09:14:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x312875…
06-24 09:14:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x2fb476…
06-24 09:14:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa0049f…
06-24 09:14:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x90eeff…
06-24 09:07:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x6b63a1…
06-24 09:06:16	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x09c9b1…
06-24 09:04:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc034c6…
06-24 09:04:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x0ab14c…