Immediate-Machine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,112

lifetime

Volume

$293.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$158

Politics

39% 100% +$70

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	53	$9.1K	9,508	7,083	+2,425	open	—	06-22 09:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	32	$6.6K	5,593	5,593	+0	open	—	03-30 13:57
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	14	$6.6K	4,030	4,030	+0	open	—	06-17 16:17
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	24	$6.0K	3,513	3,513	+0	open	—	03-22 19:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	17	$5.8K	5,000	4,000	+1,000	open	—	08-11 11:02
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	25	$5.8K	5,022	4,107	+915	open	—	06-17 14:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	5	$5.3K	2,718	2,718	+0	open	—	03-01 09:55
will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	14	$5.0K	4,635	1,851	+2,783	open	—	03-18 17:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-01 15:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	6	$4.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	08-12 14:52
iran closes its airspace by june 8	40	$4.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-07 21:08
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	45	$4.2K	3,962	3,962	+0	open	—	07-13 20:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 06:14
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$3.9K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-16 15:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	24	$3.5K	2,615	2,615	+0	open	—	01-30 12:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	8	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-10 16:49
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	18	$3.2K	3,193	3,086	+108	open	—	05-25 09:18
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	23	$2.8K	2,394	2,894	-500	open	—	05-05 17:23
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 march 15 be between 16500000 and 17000000 354	1	$2.6K	2,638	0	+2,638	open	—	03-16 12:07
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 march 15 be between 16000000 and 16500000 774	1	$2.6K	2,619	0	+2,619	open	—	03-16 12:08
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	15	$2.4K	2,876	3,171	-295	open	—	06-03 23:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	14	$2.4K	1,899	1,899	+0	open	—	04-28 21:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	62	$2.2K	6,622	6,122	+500	open	—	04-21 20:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$2.2K	1,547	1,547	+0	open	—	06-21 23:37
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	33	$2.1K	2,401	200	+2,201	open	—	04-12 22:46
will iran strike israel on march 10	67	$2.1K	4,864	6,394	-1,530	open	—	03-10 21:50
will the number of us flights delayed on march 26 be between 4000 and 4500	2	$2.1K	2,116	0	+2,116	open	—	03-26 21:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	32	$2.1K	5,153	5,153	+0	No	+$70	05-06 12:32
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	17	$2.1K	1,606	1,931	-326	open	—	07-21 14:25
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$2.0K	1,159	1,159	+0	open	—	04-18 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:52:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	2,000	73¢	$1,455	0x82cedb…
08-12 11:54:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xf6ebec…
08-11 20:30:55	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x0b8fed…
08-11 12:06:42	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0x6f5deb…
08-11 11:32:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$682	0x8b4407…
08-11 11:31:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x44bce6…
08-11 11:02:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x7c6378…
08-11 08:29:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	715	73¢	$522	0xd50abd…
08-11 08:28:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0x262dd9…
08-11 08:05:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	258	73¢	$188	0x3b0c7e…
08-10 20:11:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	868	70¢	$608	0x32062d…
08-10 16:49:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1,000	80¢	$805	0x080f07…
08-10 12:01:13	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xedb364…
08-10 09:44:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0x202576…
08-10 08:30:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0x330a29…
08-10 08:29:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	480	84¢	$403	0xc13dd9…
08-10 08:29:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x08645e…
08-09 23:04:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x6e66f0…
08-09 21:19:54	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5c67e7…
08-09 14:34:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x6e20b4…
08-09 14:17:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	331	85¢	$281	0x746153…
08-09 13:54:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	254	85¢	$216	0x77a619…
08-09 13:12:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	415	85¢	$353	0x22623f…
08-09 11:41:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x237811…
08-09 09:32:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	357	73¢	$261	0x9eeed5…
08-09 09:22:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$16	0x2bccd0…
08-09 08:20:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x90b91f…
08-09 08:20:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xccf713…
08-09 08:13:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x07492d…
08-09 00:55:00	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	110	45¢	$50	0xa7a2c3…
08-09 00:11:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0x13c798…
08-08 23:52:25	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0x847eab…
08-08 23:31:25	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xd5c08c…
08-08 23:17:34	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf26ec3…
08-08 23:13:27	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe9a6e1…
08-08 22:49:37	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	93	45¢	$42	0x249245…
08-08 19:29:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x52c6be…
08-08 19:02:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	377	81¢	$305	0x62035c…
08-08 15:49:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	261	65¢	$170	0x4c7c43…
08-08 15:14:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x184bb5…
08-08 15:11:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	539	65¢	$350	0xbe3437…
08-08 11:56:16	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	281	51¢	$143	0x6f795a…
08-08 08:40:22	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x7cfda6…
08-08 08:40:22	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	705	54¢	$377	0x0ddcf5…
08-08 08:39:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	1,000	74¢	$740	0xeb1330…
08-07 23:01:01	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xe4827a…
08-07 18:54:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	335	74¢	$248	0xc00b62…
08-07 18:50:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xfb5cca…
08-07 18:45:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x51d6f2…
08-07 18:44:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	657	74¢	$486	0xd8f6ce…
08-07 18:12:54	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by october 31	Yes	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x9c0a1d…
08-06 20:26:54	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	209	76¢	$159	0xd1fe6d…
08-06 20:26:54	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	249	76¢	$189	0xaa7cec…
08-06 20:25:53	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	156	76¢	$119	0xdda5c0…
08-06 20:23:11	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	386	76¢	$293	0x9371c6…
08-06 18:19:24	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	75¢	$747	0x734827…
08-06 16:37:15	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	421	68¢	$287	0x33c6d2…
08-06 12:41:29	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	Yes	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0x2cedb5…
08-06 11:55:06	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0x48d0b7…
08-06 08:02:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	565	34¢	$192	0xfa1481…
08-06 08:02:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	141	34¢	$48	0xe80054…
08-05 21:50:50	le pen ankle monitor before french presidential election 20260708202050689	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd3bb72…
08-05 09:00:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$247	0x54d4bb…
08-05 08:32:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	206	52¢	$107	0x150ffb…
08-05 00:38:20	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x565930…
08-04 21:20:50	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	421	55¢	$231	0x904686…
08-04 19:33:06	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	250	19¢	$47	0x2b4387…
08-04 19:12:11	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	189	23¢	$43	0x7c5031…
08-04 19:04:41	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x2ddef1…
08-04 19:03:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	58	23¢	$13	0x0db240…
08-04 18:01:15	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x31ff62…
08-04 15:30:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1,000	26¢	$260	0xe043ab…
08-04 13:49:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x960364…
08-04 07:34:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0x7a93c2…
08-02 13:45:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0xc12aed…
08-01 14:19:36	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xcf3905…
08-01 00:22:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x62db9d…
08-01 00:09:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xa3880e…
07-29 23:10:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x169cc9…
07-29 23:04:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x461d97…
07-29 14:37:50	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$6	0xeea483…
07-29 14:15:59	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x83930f…
07-28 22:12:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1,000	72¢	$719	0x40f982…
07-28 22:11:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	138	68¢	$94	0x1c34e3…
07-28 22:10:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	862	68¢	$586	0x784ee9…
07-28 11:16:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	772	55¢	$425	0x28276f…
07-28 10:47:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	228	55¢	$125	0xc445db…
07-26 11:21:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x784030…
07-25 17:41:31	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x8d2897…
07-24 09:33:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x6513b4…
07-24 09:27:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0x1103ab…
07-24 09:07:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xa1f2b7…
07-23 17:50:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0xd28c5e…
07-23 16:48:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0xb78294…
07-23 02:52:31	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	942	80¢	$753	0xcbb8d4…
07-23 01:26:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x668162…
07-22 23:48:07	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	400	37¢	$148	0x9f0eb0…
07-22 21:39:25	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$685	0xc12c9e…
07-22 15:23:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	94	57¢	$54	0x97c396…
07-22 15:19:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	94	56¢	$53	0x2b2530…