Immediate-Machine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$228

Unrealized P&L

+$77

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,015

lifetime

Volume

$271.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$158

Politics

41% 100% +$70

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+539	$33	20¢	$110	+$77	07-20 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	53	$9.1K	9,508	7,083	+2,425	open	—	06-22 09:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	32	$6.6K	5,593	5,593	+0	open	—	03-30 13:57
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	14	$6.6K	4,030	4,030	+0	open	—	06-17 16:17
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	24	$6.0K	3,513	3,513	+0	open	—	03-22 19:57
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	25	$5.8K	5,022	4,107	+915	open	—	06-17 14:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	5	$5.3K	2,718	2,718	+0	open	—	03-01 09:55
will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	14	$5.0K	4,635	1,851	+2,783	open	—	03-18 17:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	06-01 15:17
iran closes its airspace by june 8	40	$4.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-07 21:08
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	45	$4.2K	3,962	3,962	+0	open	—	07-13 20:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 06:14
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$3.9K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-16 15:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	24	$3.5K	2,615	2,615	+0	open	—	01-30 12:22
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	18	$3.2K	3,193	3,086	+108	open	—	05-25 09:18
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	23	$2.8K	2,394	2,894	-500	open	—	05-05 17:23
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 march 15 be between 16500000 and 17000000 354	1	$2.6K	2,638	0	+2,638	open	—	03-16 12:07
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 march 15 be between 16000000 and 16500000 774	1	$2.6K	2,619	0	+2,619	open	—	03-16 12:08
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	15	$2.4K	2,876	3,171	-295	open	—	06-03 23:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	14	$2.4K	1,899	1,899	+0	open	—	04-28 21:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	62	$2.2K	6,622	6,122	+500	open	—	04-21 20:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$2.2K	1,547	1,547	+0	open	—	06-21 23:37
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	33	$2.1K	2,401	200	+2,201	open	—	04-12 22:46
will iran strike israel on march 10	67	$2.1K	4,864	6,394	-1,530	open	—	03-10 21:50
will the number of us flights delayed on march 26 be between 4000 and 4500	2	$2.1K	2,116	0	+2,116	open	—	03-26 21:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	32	$2.1K	5,153	5,153	+0	No	+$70	05-06 12:32
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	17	$2.1K	1,606	1,931	-326	open	—	07-21 14:25
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$2.0K	1,159	1,159	+0	open	—	04-18 11:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	20	$2.0K	2,130	2,130	+0	open	—	04-20 16:38
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	7	$1.9K	1,964	1,464	+500	open	—	07-06 20:07
atp alcaraz vachero 2026 04 11	9	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 15:23:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	94	57¢	$54	0x97c396…
07-22 15:19:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	94	56¢	$53	0x2b2530…
07-21 14:25:43	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	333	9¢	$30	0x65d3f8…
07-21 14:10:57	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x5c4765…
07-21 14:09:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x10400f…
07-21 11:09:57	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	SELL	401	50¢	$199	0x42fe7b…
07-21 08:34:19	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	401	45¢	$180	0xf2d2c6…
07-20 22:08:10	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x01a169…
07-20 15:55:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	96	40¢	$38	0xdbefd7…
07-20 15:55:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x8b0e3b…
07-20 15:55:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x1ed408…
07-20 15:55:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x93e88f…
07-20 15:55:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x87a41b…
07-20 15:02:31	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb1e0a4…
07-20 14:11:16	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	222	17¢	$38	0x7f242a…
07-20 09:13:33	will darren jones be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533207	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$13	0xfbc931…
07-20 08:32:27	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xcab077…
07-20 07:42:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$32	0xfb9a67…
07-20 07:36:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	75¢	$751	0x3792e6…
07-20 01:35:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x5a23a8…
07-19 23:05:36	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	122	12¢	$15	0x60b0ea…
07-18 22:06:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	255	3¢	$7	0xd8cf11…
07-18 22:06:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x48ce4e…
07-18 16:57:22	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	SELL	104	18¢	$19	0xc81264…
07-18 14:15:42	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0xbf5267…
07-18 13:32:36	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$40	0xcf8557…
07-18 06:10:52	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0xc1633c…
07-17 16:11:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x955ac3…
07-17 16:07:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x306042…
07-17 16:06:42	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	66	61¢	$40	0xa0c569…
07-17 16:06:33	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	74	61¢	$45	0x9e2b15…
07-17 15:30:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$107	0x3fbff9…
07-16 21:02:55	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x2bc014…
07-16 19:00:10	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	SELL	64	23¢	$15	0x056574…
07-16 17:45:31	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x6652d9…
07-16 12:43:26	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	BUY	91	17¢	$15	0x23dbc0…
07-16 12:42:37	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	Yes	BUY	110	17¢	$19	0xd928e6…
07-16 08:33:04	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0xdd74e7…
07-16 08:32:04	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	113	87¢	$98	0x7cb66a…
07-16 08:32:01	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	887	87¢	$772	0x27fe6e…
07-16 00:37:49	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	SELL	250	22¢	$55	0x07e485…
07-15 22:37:46	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	315	16¢	$49	0x560f92…
07-15 20:12:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	250	52¢	$131	0x9a9e14…
07-15 12:30:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	85	19¢	$16	0xc5cb6e…
07-15 11:22:55	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0x750a05…
07-14 21:01:55	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x68d7ef…
07-14 19:38:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xaa8dbe…
07-14 19:09:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	500	56¢	$279	0x6a1b13…
07-13 20:19:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	650	81¢	$526	0xefbac4…
07-13 20:18:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	350	81¢	$284	0x300a9a…
07-13 16:50:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x1e5654…
07-12 22:02:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0x428120…
07-12 21:29:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	362	50¢	$181	0x7db13d…
07-12 21:16:20	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	211	48¢	$101	0xf82c28…
07-12 21:16:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	211	48¢	$101	0x86f5c8…
07-12 21:16:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x82676d…
07-12 21:16:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	211	48¢	$101	0x0f19dd…
07-12 13:35:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	340	10¢	$34	0x0ba964…
07-12 12:49:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	160	10¢	$16	0xf36897…
07-12 11:53:34	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xf2ab6f…
07-12 11:51:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0x940580…
07-12 11:51:55	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	774	45¢	$348	0x3f06d0…
07-12 09:01:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	68	66¢	$45	0x5ec67f…
07-12 08:45:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0xa551b5…
07-12 07:57:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	123	64¢	$79	0x846393…
07-12 06:14:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9fa14a…
07-12 06:14:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xc6965a…
07-12 06:14:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x29e8cc…
07-12 06:14:14	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd26b91…
07-12 06:14:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb9f884…
07-12 06:14:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x687629…
07-12 06:14:11	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x901393…
07-12 06:14:11	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x83f1ed…
07-12 06:14:11	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x666892…
07-12 06:14:10	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb39b57…
07-12 06:14:10	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4a8028…
07-12 06:14:10	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1ab87e…
07-12 06:14:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc7dfc6…
07-12 06:14:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x888bc9…
07-12 06:14:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x35d757…
07-12 06:14:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xfeed26…
07-12 06:14:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x80e345…
07-12 06:14:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x32d823…
07-12 06:14:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xfd51d5…
07-12 06:14:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe7f530…
07-12 06:14:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc695b4…
07-12 06:14:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc66400…
07-12 06:14:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x27912a…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xed45a0…
07-12 04:55:46	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x5debd3…
07-12 04:55:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x0d48e2…
07-12 04:54:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa57394…
07-12 04:17:01	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x421780…
07-12 04:16:32	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xa25cfd…
07-12 01:59:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0x541205…
07-12 00:18:32	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	962	44¢	$423	0xd3c1df…
07-11 20:05:41	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	181	18¢	$33	0x4f9689…
07-11 20:05:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0x9bdb1c…
07-11 17:50:04	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0xdc5025…
07-11 12:44:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0xc01300…